Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Hamburg Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Alexander Bublik
Result
2:0
20/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Hamburg, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
107
Double Faults
52
1st Serve Percentage
66%68%
1st Serve Points Won
81% (42/52)70% (31/44)
2nd Serve Points Won
48% (13/27)57% (12/21)
Break Points Saved
80% (4/5)50% (2/4)
1st Return Points Won
30% (13/44)19% (10/52)
2nd Return Points Won
43% (9/21)52% (14/27)
Break Points Converted
50% (2/4)20% (1/5)
Winners
3527
Unforced Errors
1820
Net Points Won
85% (17/20)83% (5/6)
Service Points Won
70% (55/79)66% (43/65)
Return Points Won
34% (22/65)30% (24/79)
Total Points Won
53% (77/144)47% (67/144)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
91% (10/11)82% (9/11)
Return Games Won
18% (2/11)9% (1/11)
Total Games Won
55% (12/22)45% (10/22)

Chances of winning


Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
45%
Alexander Bublik
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.2% 48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2% 49.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard's form might have worsened.
  • Alexander Bublik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alexander Bublik's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alexander Bublik, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Alexander Bublik Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.11
    (1.86)

    1.73
    (1.96)
    5.2%
    (4.9%)
    What is the prediction for Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Alexander Bublik?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Mpetshi Perricard will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Bublik will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Mpetshi Perricard: 42%87.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Mpetshi Perricard (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Mpetshi Perricard is ranked ATP: 36. Bublik is ranked ATP: 76.
    • Mpetshi Perricard is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Bublik is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Mpetshi Perricard may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • We predict that Bublik will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mpetshi Perricard won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Alexander Bublik were as follows:
    24.05.2024 Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Alexander Bublik 2:0
    20.10.2023 Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Alexander Bublik 1:2
    Latest results of Alexander Bublik
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Kovacevic A. (Q)2 : 0
    2Ymer E. (Q)Muller A.0 : 2
    3Mpetshi Perricard G.Bublik A.2 : 0
    4Altmaier D.Auger-Aliassime F. (6)0 : 2
    5Rublev A. (3)Dzumhur D.2 : 0
    6Struff J-L. (WC)Engel J. (WC)0 : 2
    7Dedura D. (WC)Darderi L.0 : 2
    8Collignon R. (RET.) (Q)Nakashima B. (7)0 : 0
    9Baez S. (8)Ugo Carabelli C.1 : 2
    10Etcheverry T. M.Comesana F.2 : 0
    11Gojo B. (Q)Lehecka J.1 : 2
    12Martinez P.Cerundolo F. (4)0 : 2
    13Davidovich Fokina A. (5)Monfils G.2 : 0
    14Sachko V. (LL)Cobolli F.1 : 2
    15Giron M.Bautista-Agut R.0 : 2
    16Bu Y.Tiafoe F. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Muller A.1 : 2
    2Mpetshi Perricard G.Auger-Aliassime F. (6)0 : 2
    3Rublev A. (3)Engel J.2 : 0
    4Darderi L.Nakashima B. (7)2 : 1
    5Ugo Carabelli C.Etcheverry T. M.0 : 2
    6Lehecka J.Cerundolo F. (4)2 : 0
    7Davidovich Fokina A. (5)Cobolli F.0 : 2
    8Bautista-Agut R.Tiafoe F. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Muller A.Auger-Aliassime F. (6)1 : 2
    2Rublev A. (3)Darderi L.2 : 1
    3Etcheverry T. M.Lehecka J.2 : 0
    4Cobolli F.Bautista-Agut R.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Rublev A. (3)0 : 2
    2Etcheverry T. M.Cobolli F.1 : 2

    Final
    1Rublev A. (3)Cobolli F.0 : 2