Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Denis Shapovalov – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Basel Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Denis Shapovalov
Result
2:1
25/10/2024 at 14:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Basel (Switzerland), hard (indoor) - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports 1
brazilBrazilESPN 2
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 2
czech-republicCzech-republicPremier Sport 2
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
franceFranceEurosport 2
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 6
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 5, Ziggo Sport
polandPolandPolsat Sport 3, Polsat Sport Premium 2
portugalPortugalSport TV2
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 2
switzerlandSwitzerlandRTS 2, RTS 2, SRF 2, SRF 2

Match Stats

Aces
277
Double Faults
66
1st Serve Percentage
65%57%
1st Serve Points Won
81% (58/72)80% (45/56)
2nd Serve Points Won
63% (24/38)65% (28/43)
Break Points Saved
100% (3/3)67% (2/3)
1st Return Points Won
20% (11/56)19% (14/72)
2nd Return Points Won
35% (15/43)37% (14/38)
Break Points Converted
33% (1/3)0% (0/3)
Winners
4627
Unforced Errors
3728
Net Points Won
50% (12/24)68% (15/22)
Service Points Won
75% (82/110)74% (73/99)
Return Points Won
26% (26/99)25% (28/110)
Total Points Won
52% (108/209)48% (101/209)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
100% (17/17)94% (15/16)
Return Games Won
6% (1/16)0% (0/17)
Total Games Won
55% (18/33)45% (15/33)

Chances of winning


Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
37.9%
Denis Shapovalov
62.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.6% 55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6% 53.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard's form might have worsened.
  • Denis Shapovalov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Denis Shapovalov's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Denis Shapovalov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Denis Shapovalov Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.52
    (2.11)

    1.54
    (1.7)
    4.7%
    (6.3%)
    What is the prediction for Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Denis Shapovalov?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Mpetshi Perricard will win (votes: 7 - 35%). Shapovalov will win (votes: 13 - 65%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Shapovalov: 44.1%85.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Mpetshi Perricard is ranked ATP: 50. Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 95.
    • Recent matches Mpetshi Perricard is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Shapovalov is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Shapovalov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Shapovalov will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Our prediction for today's Shapovalov to win the game is with odds 1.53.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Denis Shapovalov
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Rublev A. (1)Borges N.2 : 0
    2Cilic M. (PR)Tabilo A.0 : 2
    3Mannarino A.Wawrinka S. (WC)1 : 2
    4Etcheverry T. M.Shelton B. (6)0 : 2
    5Tsitsipas S. (3)Cerundolo F.2 : 1
    6Van De Zandschulp B. (Q)Bublik A. (RET.)1 : 1
    7Martinez P.Lehecka J.2 : 0
    8Altmaier D. (Q)Fils A. (7)0 : 2
    9Humbert U. (5)Kym J. (Q)2 : 1
    10Goffin D. (LL)Arnaldi M.2 : 1
    11Stricker D. (WC)Griekspoor T.2 : 0
    12Jarry N.Rune H. (4)0 : 2
    13Auger-Aliassime F. (8)Baez S.2 : 0
    14Duckworth J. (Q)Mpetshi Perricard G.0 : 2
    15Shapovalov D. (WC)Shang J.2 : 0
    16Bautista-Agut R. (SE)Ruud C. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Rublev A. (1)Tabilo A.2 : 0
    2Wawrinka S.Shelton B. (6)0 : 2
    3Tsitsipas S. (3)Van De Zandschulp B.2 : 0
    4Martinez P.Fils A. (7)0 : 2
    5Humbert U. (5)Goffin D.1 : 2
    6Stricker D.Rune H. (4)0 : 2
    7Auger-Aliassime F. (8)Mpetshi Perricard G.0 : 2
    8Shapovalov D.Bautista-Agut R.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Rublev A. (1)Shelton B. (6)1 : 2
    2Tsitsipas S. (3)Fils A. (7)0 : 2
    3Goffin D.Rune H. (4)0 : 2
    4Mpetshi Perricard G.Shapovalov D.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Shelton B. (6)Fils A. (7)2 : 0
    2Rune H. (4)Mpetshi Perricard G.0 : 2

    Final
    1Shelton B. (6)Mpetshi Perricard G.0 : 2