Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Matsumoto Yamaga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J3 League Giravanz Kitakyushu - Matsumoto Yamaga
Result
1:2
26/04/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J3 League - Round 1
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
76
Shots on target
52
Corner Kicks
15
Yellow Cards
11
Total shots
76
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
24
Corner Kicks
15
Goalkeeper Saves
04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 36', Nonomura T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Yamamoto R. , Higuchi D. ,
  • 54', 0 - 1, Nonomura T. , Kikui Y. (A),
  • 56', 1 - 1, Kabayama R. ,
  • 61', Machida Y. , Ushinohama T. ,
  • 66', Saso K. , Murakoshi K. ,
  • 66', Ohashi H. , Yasunaga R. ,
  • 70', Kiyama K. , Izawa H. ,
  • 70', Nagai R. , Watanabe S. ,
  • 81', Yamawaki K. 🟨,
  • 84', Yamamoto K. , Ishiyama A. ,
  • 86', Takayanagi F. , Hirahara R. ,
  • 86', Okano R. , Yoshinaga M. ,
  • 90', Ogawa D. , Asakawa H. ,
  • 90+3', 1 - 2, Murakoshi K. ,

Chances of winning


Giravanz Kitakyushu
33.8%
Draw
30%
Matsumoto Yamaga
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.7% 26.6% 29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3% 26.2% 29.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Giravanz Kitakyushu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Giravanz Kitakyushu's form might have worsened.
  • Matsumoto Yamaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Matsumoto Yamaga's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giravanz Kitakyushu than the current prediction. (+10.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Giravanz Kitakyushu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matsumoto Yamaga than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matsumoto Yamaga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Giravanz Kitakyushu - Matsumoto Yamaga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.71
    (2.07)
    3.06
    (3.4)
    2.53
    (3.05)
    9.1%
    (10.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 17).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Giravanz won 0.
    • Recent matches Giravanz is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Matsumoto Yamaga is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Giravanz could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • Last 15 head-to-head matches Giravanz won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 11:19 (average 0.7:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Giravanz won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 5:12 (average 0.6:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Giravanz Kitakyushu - Matsumoto Yamaga were as follows:
    20.07.2024 Giravanz Kitakyushu - Matsumoto Yamaga 0:0
    18.05.2024 Matsumoto Yamaga - Giravanz Kitakyushu 1:1
    05.11.2023 Matsumoto Yamaga - Giravanz Kitakyushu 1:0
    09.04.2023 Giravanz Kitakyushu - Matsumoto Yamaga 2:4
    Latest results of Giravanz Kitakyushu
    Latest results of Matsumoto Yamaga
    Japan J3 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vanraure24155433:161750
    2Osaka24136536:191745
    3Tochigi City24136536:241245
    4Kagoshima Utd24128446:252144
    5Tegevajaro Miyazaki24118533:26741
    6Nara Club24117633:25840
    7Giravanz Kitakyushu241031125:25033
    8Gainare Tottori24951023:25-232
    9Tochigi SC24951021:23-232
    10Yamaga2487926:28-231
    11Kochi United2487933:40-731
    12Fukushima Utd2487939:49-1031
    13Sagamihara2479824:30-630
    14Kanazawa24851127:31-429
    15Ryukyu24771024:27-328
    16Kusatsu2469932:35-327
    17Nagano24661217:32-1524
    18Kamatamare24571223:30-722
    19Gifu24481225:39-1420
    20Azul Claro Numazu24391225:32-718

          Promotion ~ J2 League
          Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          J3 League (Relegation)
          Relegation