Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Matsumoto Yamaga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J3 League Giravanz Kitakyushu - Matsumoto Yamaga
Result
1:2
26/04/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J3 League - Round 1
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
76
Shots on target
52
Corner Kicks
15
Yellow Cards
11
Total shots
76
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
24
Corner Kicks
15
Goalkeeper Saves
04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 36', Nonomura T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Yamamoto R. , Higuchi D. ,
  • 54', 0 - 1, Nonomura T. , Kikui Y. (A),
  • 56', 1 - 1, Kabayama R. ,
  • 61', Machida Y. , Ushinohama T. ,
  • 66', Saso K. , Murakoshi K. ,
  • 66', Ohashi H. , Yasunaga R. ,
  • 70', Kiyama K. , Izawa H. ,
  • 70', Nagai R. , Watanabe S. ,
  • 81', Yamawaki K. 🟨,
  • 84', Yamamoto K. , Ishiyama A. ,
  • 86', Takayanagi F. , Hirahara R. ,
  • 86', Okano R. , Yoshinaga M. ,
  • 90', Ogawa D. , Asakawa H. ,
  • 90+3', 1 - 2, Murakoshi K. ,

Chances of winning


Giravanz Kitakyushu
33.8%
Draw
30%
Matsumoto Yamaga
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.7% 26.6% 29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3% 26.2% 29.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Giravanz Kitakyushu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Giravanz Kitakyushu's form might have worsened.
  • Matsumoto Yamaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Matsumoto Yamaga's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giravanz Kitakyushu than the current prediction. (+10.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Giravanz Kitakyushu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matsumoto Yamaga than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matsumoto Yamaga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Giravanz Kitakyushu - Matsumoto Yamaga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.71
    (2.07)
    3.06
    (3.4)
    2.53
    (3.05)
    9.1%
    (10.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 17).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Giravanz won 0.
    • Recent matches Giravanz is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Matsumoto Yamaga is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Giravanz could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • Last 15 head-to-head matches Giravanz won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 11:19 (average 0.7:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Giravanz won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 5:12 (average 0.6:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Giravanz Kitakyushu - Matsumoto Yamaga were as follows:
    20.07.2024 Giravanz Kitakyushu - Matsumoto Yamaga 0:0
    18.05.2024 Matsumoto Yamaga - Giravanz Kitakyushu 1:1
    05.11.2023 Matsumoto Yamaga - Giravanz Kitakyushu 1:0
    09.04.2023 Giravanz Kitakyushu - Matsumoto Yamaga 2:4
    Latest results of Giravanz Kitakyushu
    Latest results of Matsumoto Yamaga
    Japan J3 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vanraure27166534:171754
    2Kagoshima Utd27149454:282651
    3Tochigi City27156644:311351
    4Osaka27146738:231548
    5Tegevajaro Miyazaki27138638:30847
    6Nara Club27128738:31744
    7Tochigi SC271161026:26039
    8Fukushima Utd27108947:54-738
    9Giravanz Kitakyushu271141227:27037
    10Sagamihara2799928:36-836
    11Yamaga27981030:31-135
    12Kanazawa271051231:33-235
    13Ryukyu27971128:30-234
    14Gainare Tottori27961225:30-533
    15Kochi United27871235:47-1231
    16Gifu27781232:39-729
    17Kusatsu27691236:42-627
    18Nagano27681320:36-1626
    19Kamatamare27671431:40-925
    20Azul Claro Numazu27391529:40-1118

          Promotion ~ J2 League
          Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          J3 League (Relegation)
          Relegation