Giuseppe La Vela vs Daniil Ostapenkov – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
20/04/2026 at 03:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Shymkent - Qualification, clay - Final

Match Stats

Aces
419
Double Faults
47
1st serve percentage
55%55%
1st serve points won
65% (39/60)76% (52/68)
2nd serve points won
58% (29/50)47% (26/55)
Break Points Saved
2/63/5
1st return points won
25% (17/68)35% (21/60)
2nd return points won
53% (29/55)42% (21/50)
Break Points Converted
2/54/6
Winners
1439
Unforced errors
5164
Net points won
100% (5/5)71% (5/7)
Service Points Won
61% (67/109)63% (78/123)
Return Points Won
37% (45/123)39% (42/109)
Total Points Won
48% (112/232)52% (120/232)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
00
Service games won
75% (12/16)88% (14/16)
Return games won
13% (2/16)25% (4/16)
Total games won
44% (14/32)56% (18/32)

Chances of winning


Giuseppe La Vela
59.3%
Daniil Ostapenkov
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.7% 40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55% 45%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Giuseppe La Vela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Daniil Ostapenkov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giuseppe La Vela than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniil Ostapenkov than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • Giuseppe La Vela - Daniil Ostapenkov Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.55)

    2.29
    (2.3)
    7.2%
    (8.1%)
    What is the prediction for Giuseppe La Vela - Daniil Ostapenkov?
  • Users Predictions: Giuseppe La Vela will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • La Vela is ranked ATP: 521. Ostapenkov is ranked ATP: 689.
    • La Vela is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Ostapenkov has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Ostapenkov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • La Vela will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Giuseppe La Vela
    Latest results of Daniil Ostapenkov