GKS Bełchatów vs Ząbkovia Ząbki – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:6
06/09/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • III Liga - Group I - Round 7

Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Augustyniak M. ,
  • 14', 1 - 1, Bartosinski J. ,
  • 45+3', 2 - 1, Blaszczyk M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 5)
  • 63', 🟥,
  • 74', 2 - 2, Czulowski P. ,
  • 75', 2 - 3, Kalisz K. ,
  • 77', 2 - 4, Sonnenberg P. ,
  • 82', 3 - 4, ,
  • 85', 3 - 5, ,
  • 88', 3 - 6, ,

Chances of winning


GKS Bełchatów
19.6%
Draw
19.2%
Ząbkovia Ząbki
61.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.1% 23.7% 49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8% 23.4% 49.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • GKS Bełchatów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that GKS Bełchatów's form might have worsened.
  • Ząbkovia Ząbki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ząbkovia Ząbki's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Bełchatów than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for GKS Bełchatów, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ząbkovia Ząbki than the current prediction. (-11.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ząbkovia Ząbki, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • GKS Bełchatów - Ząbkovia Ząbki Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.8
    (3.35)
    4.89
    (3.83)
    1.54
    (1.84)
    6.4%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bełchatów won 1.
    • Bełchatów has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Ząbkovia is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, Ząbkovia is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Bełchatów won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.8:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bełchatów won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).
    Latest results of GKS Bełchatów
    Latest results of Ząbkovia Ząbki
    Polish Division 3 - Group I Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Legia II19152256:193747
    2Warta Sieradz18132333:141941
    3LKS Lomza19124345:192640
    4Zabki19122556:302638
    5Suwalki19113534:241036
    6Plock II1893632:28430
    7Bron Radom1976626:32-627
    8Swit Mazowiecki1983831:36-527
    9Troszyn1974845:331225
    10T. Mazowiecki1973934:31324
    11Olimpia Elblag1866629:33-424
    12Widzew Lodz II1863933:47-1421
    13Jagiellonia II1955920:29-920
    14GKS Belchatow1955934:44-1020
    15Mlawa19451028:39-1117
    16Wikielec1735916:28-1214
    17Wasilkow18411316:40-2413
    18Biala Piska18121512:54-425

          Promotion ~ Division 2
          Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation