GKS Jastrzębie vs Warta Poznań – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
30/08/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 2 - Round 6
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
310
Shots on target
24
Corner Kicks
49
Yellow Cards
20
Total shots
310
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
16
Corner Kicks
49
Goalkeeper Saves
31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Michalski S. (Own goal),
  • 34', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 48', 1 - 1, Kornobis I. ,
  • 80', 🟨,

Chances of winning


GKS Jastrzębie
29.9%
Draw
30%
Warta Poznań
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33% 28.5% 38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6% 28.1% 39%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • GKS Jastrzębie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Warta Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Jastrzębie than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • GKS Jastrzębie - Warta Poznań Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.08
    (2.77)
    3.07
    (3.2)
    2.29
    (2.37)
    8.6%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for GKS Jastrzębie - Warta Poznań?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, GKS Jastrzębie won 0.
    • GKS Jastrzębie is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Warta has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Warta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Warta has had a series of away games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, GKS Jastrzębie won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.3:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, GKS Jastrzębie won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between GKS Jastrzębie - Warta Poznań were as follows:
    31.08.2022 GKS Jastrzębie - Warta Poznań 0:2
    Latest results of GKS Jastrzębie
    Latest results of Warta Poznań
    Polish Division 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Skierniewice19132438:201841
    2Warta Poznan19115332:211138
    3Ol. Grudziadz20107339:271237
    4Podhale Nowy Targ2098325:17835
    5Swit Szczecin1995537:32532
    6R. Rzeszow2077627:24328
    7Podbeskidzie2084833:31228
    8Sandecja Nowy S1976626:28-227
    9S. Wola1968538:31726
    10Kleczew1966735:32324
    11Chojniczanka1966730:29124
    12Slask Wroclaw II2066833:34-124
    13Zaglebie Sosnowiec1965822:29-723
    14Hutnik Krakow2056927:32-521
    15Bielsko-Biala1956827:35-821
    16KKS Kalisz1947821:27-619
    17LKS Lodz II19271019:35-1613
    18GKS Jastrzebie19071216:41-257

          Promotion ~ Division 1
          Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation