GKS Jastrzębie vs Warta Poznań – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Division 2 GKS Jastrzębie - Warta Poznań
Result
1:1
30/08/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 2 - Round 6
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
310
Shots on target
24
Corner Kicks
49
Yellow Cards
20
Total shots
310
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
16
Corner Kicks
49
Goalkeeper Saves
31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Michalski S. (Own goal),
  • 34', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 48', 1 - 1, Kornobis I. ,
  • 80', 🟨,

Chances of winning


GKS Jastrzębie
29.9%
Draw
30%
Warta Poznań
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33% 28.5% 38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6% 28.1% 39%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • GKS Jastrzębie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Warta Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Jastrzębie than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • GKS Jastrzębie - Warta Poznań Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.08
    (2.77)
    3.07
    (3.2)
    2.29
    (2.37)
    8.6%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, GKS Jastrzębie won 0.
    • GKS Jastrzębie is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Warta has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Warta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Warta has had a series of away games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, GKS Jastrzębie won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.3:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, GKS Jastrzębie won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between GKS Jastrzębie - Warta Poznań were as follows:
    31.08.2022 GKS Jastrzębie - Warta Poznań 0:2
    Latest results of GKS Jastrzębie
    Latest results of Warta Poznań
    Polish Division 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ol. Grudziadz1383228:171127
    2Skierniewice1381426:151125
    3Warta Poznan1374222:16625
    4Podhale Nowy Targ1357115:11422
    5R. Rzeszow1356220:14621
    6S. Wola1354426:21519
    7Sandecja Nowy S1254321:18319
    8Swit Szczecin1353522:23-118
    9Bielsko-Biala1353518:19-118
    10Zaglebie Sosnowiec1253417:19-218
    11Podbeskidzie1252518:19-117
    12KKS Kalisz1344513:15-216
    13Kleczew1343624:24015
    14Hutnik Krakow1243521:21015
    15Slask Wroclaw II1233618:21-312
    16Chojniczanka1225518:25-711
    17LKS Lodz II1315711:22-118
    18GKS Jastrzebie1303108:26-183

          Promotion ~ Division 1
          Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation