Result
2:1
17/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 16
- Referee: Myc W. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ 360, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Ukraine | Sport 2, Sport 3 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
 World | Sport 2 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 0.84 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (368/453) | 82% (354/431) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 0.84 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 0.35 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (368/453) | 82% (354/431) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (14/46) | 48% (30/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (102/137) | 67% (77/115) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (6/17) | 43% (6/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.62 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (14/18) | 75% (6/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.35 | 1.74 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.65 | -0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, Pozo A. ⚽, Wdowik B. (A),
- 31', Romanczuk T. 🟨,
- 36', Milewski S. 🟨,
- 45', 2 - 0, Romanczuk T. ⚽,
- 45+3', Wdowik B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Galan B. ↓, Jirka E. ↑,
- 46', Wdowiak M. ↓, Markovic E. ↑,
- 46', Milewski S. ↓, Rasak D. ↑,
- 60', Nahuel M. 🟨,
- 64', Nahuel M. ↓, Szmyt K. ↑,
- 68', Markovic E. 🟨,
- 79', Pululu A. ↓, Bazdar S. ↑,
- 79', Pozo A. ↓, Drachal D. ↑,
- 82', 2 - 1, Jirka E. ⚽, Kowalczyk M. (A),
- 82', Shkurin I. ↓, Kokosinski J. ↑,
- 86', Mazurek B. 🟨,
- 90+2', Vital B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Jagiellonia Białystok
54% | Draw
24.1% | GKS Katowice
22% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jagiellonia Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)GKS Katowice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Katowice than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Jagiellonia Białystok - GKS Katowice Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↓
(1.78) |
3.92 ↓
(4.02) |
4.26 ↑
(4.06) |
6.3%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Jagiellonia Białystok - GKS Katowice?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Jagiellonia will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). GKS Katowice will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jagiellonia: 58.6% – 97%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1.25, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DNB - GKS Katowice (3.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Jagiellonia Białystok will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Jagiellonia (votes: 11 - 91.7%). GKS Katowice (votes: 1 - 8.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 14).
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- GKS Katowice may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Jagiellonia is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in GKS Katowice: Marzec M.
(Inactive)
Paluszek A.
(Knee Injury)
Wasielewski M.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Jagiellonia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Jagiellonia Białystok won against GKS Katowice?
Jagiellonia Białystok has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has GKS Katowice won against Jagiellonia Białystok?
GKS Katowice has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jagiellonia Białystok - GKS Katowice were as follows:
04.12.2025
GKS Katowice
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
3:1
02.03.2025
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
GKS Katowice
1:0
25.08.2024
GKS Katowice
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
3:1
Latest results of Jagiellonia Białystok
Latest results of GKS Katowice
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 46:37 | 9 | 45 |
| 2 | Jagiellonia | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 43:34 | 9 | 42 |
| 3 | Gornik Zabrze | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 39:32 | 7 | 42 |
| 4 | Zaglebie | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 41:33 | 8 | 41 |
| 5 | Wisla Plock | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 28:26 | 2 | 39 |
| 6 | Rakow | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 36:34 | 2 | 39 |
| 7 | GKS Katowice | 27 | 12 | 3 | 12 | 36:35 | 1 | 39 |
| 8 | Motor Lublin | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 36:39 | -3 | 38 |
| 9 | Lechia Gdansk | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 55:50 | 5 | 37 |
| 10 | Korona Kielce | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 35:33 | 2 | 36 |
| 11 | Cracovia | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 36 |
| 12 | Piast Gliwice | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 34:36 | -2 | 35 |
| 13 | Radomiak Radom | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 43:41 | 2 | 34 |
| 14 | Pogon Szczecin | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 36:42 | -6 | 34 |
| 15 | Legia | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 32:31 | 1 | 33 |
| 16 | Arka Gdynia | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 28:45 | -17 | 33 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 32:35 | -3 | 30 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 33:50 | -17 | 25 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
