Result
1:1
26/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 10
- Referee: Raczkowski P. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Croatia | Arena Sport 4 |
Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport, Ekstraklasa TV |
Serbia | Arena Sport 7 |
World | Sport 1 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.63 | 0.57 |
Ball Possession |
---|
46% | 54% |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
80% (308/387) | 90% (425/473) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.63 | 0.57 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.68 | 1.22 |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
15 | 13 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 14 |
Passes |
---|
80% (308/387) | 90% (425/473) |
Long passes |
---|
33% (16/49) | 54% (26/48) |
Passes in final third |
---|
70% (80/115) | 79% (88/112) |
Crosses |
---|
23% (6/26) | 6% (1/16) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.58 | 0.34 |
Throw-ins |
---|
18 | 14 |
Fouls |
---|
14 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
67% (6/9) | 83% (10/12) |
Duels won |
---|
34 | 50 |
Clearances |
---|
23 | 33 |
Interceptions |
---|
3 | 4 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.22 | 0.68 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.22 | -0.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 45', 1 - 0, Rogelj Z. ⚽, Nowak W. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 54', 1 - 1, Wasielewski M. ⚽,
- 58', Klemenz L. 🟨,
- 63', Markovic E. ↓, Wedrychowski M. ↑,
- 63', Shkurin I. ↓, Zrelak A. ↑,
- 72', Salvador I. ↓, Djalo M. ↑,
- 80', Pacheco D. 🟨,
- 85', Juric D. ↓, Mijuskovic N. ↑,
- 85', Pacheco D. ↓, Nastic B. ↑,
- 86', Nowak B. ↓, Blad A. ↑,
- 90+1', Custovic K. ↓, Tavares T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Wisła Płock 45.1% | Draw 27.8% | GKS Katowice 27.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wisła Płock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)GKS Katowice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wisła Płock than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for GKS Katowice than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Wisła Płock - GKS Katowice Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.14 ↑ (2.02) |
3.36 ↓ (3.65) |
3.52 ↑ (3.46) |
5.1% (6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Wisła Płock - GKS Katowice?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Wisła Płock (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Wisła Płock will win
(19 of 21 users predict this - 90.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.93% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wisła Płock won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Wisła Płock may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Wisła Płock will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Wisła Płock: Gostomski M.
(Knee Injury)
Sekulski L.
(Injury)
- There will not play in GKS Katowice: Paluszek A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Wisła Płock: Jimenez J.
(Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Wisła Płock won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1.1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Wisła Płock won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Wisła Płock won against GKS Katowice?
Wisła Płock has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has GKS Katowice won against Wisła Płock?
GKS Katowice has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Wisła Płock - GKS Katowice were as follows:
23.09.2025
GKS Katowice
-
Wisła Płock
4:2
24.02.2024
Wisła Płock
-
GKS Katowice
2:1
11.08.2023
GKS Katowice
-
Wisła Płock
4:1
Latest results of Wisła Płock
Latest results of GKS Katowice
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Gornik Zabrze | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15:8 | 7 | 19 |
2 | Cracovia | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17:10 | 7 | 18 |
3 | Korona Kielce | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:7 | 7 | 18 |
4 | Jagiellonia | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 16:12 | 4 | 18 |
5 | Wisla Plock | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11:6 | 5 | 17 |
6 | Legia | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12:6 | 6 | 15 |
7 | Lech Poznan | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17:16 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Zaglebie | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 20:13 | 7 | 13 |
9 | Radomiak Radom | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17:18 | -1 | 12 |
10 | Motor Lublin | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11:14 | -3 | 11 |
11 | Rakow | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 11 |
12 | Widzew Lodz | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13:13 | 0 | 10 |
13 | Pogon Szczecin | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 14:19 | -5 | 10 |
14 | Termalica B-B | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13:17 | -4 | 9 |
15 | Arka Gdynia | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5:14 | -9 | 9 |
16 | GKS Katowice | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:21 | -10 | 8 |
17 | Piast Gliwice | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 |
18 | Lechia Gdansk | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 18:25 | -7 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1