Result
1:1
26/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 10
- Referee: Raczkowski P. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | Arena Sport 4 |
 Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 7 |
 World | Sport 1 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.57 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (308/387) | 90% (425/473) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.57 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 1.22 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (308/387) | 90% (425/473) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (16/49) | 54% (26/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (80/115) | 79% (88/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (6/26) | 6% (1/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.34 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.68 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.22 | -0.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 45', 1 - 0, Rogelj Z. ⚽, Nowak W. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 54', 1 - 1, Wasielewski M. ⚽,
- 58', Klemenz L. 🟨,
- 63', Markovic E. ↓, Wedrychowski M. ↑,
- 63', Shkurin I. ↓, Zrelak A. ↑,
- 72', Salvador I. ↓, Djalo M. ↑,
- 80', Pacheco D. 🟨,
- 85', Juric D. ↓, Mijuskovic N. ↑,
- 85', Pacheco D. ↓, Nastic B. ↑,
- 86', Nowak B. ↓, Blad A. ↑,
- 90+1', Custovic K. ↓, Tavares T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Wisła Płock
45.1% | Draw
27.8% | GKS Katowice
27.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wisła Płock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)GKS Katowice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wisła Płock than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for GKS Katowice than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Wisła Płock - GKS Katowice Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.14 ↑
(2.02) |
3.36 ↓
(3.65) |
3.52 ↑
(3.46) |
5.1%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Wisła Płock - GKS Katowice?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Wisła Płock (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Wisła Płock will win
(19 of 21 users predict this - 90.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.93% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wisła Płock won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Wisła Płock may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Wisła Płock will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Wisła Płock: Gostomski M.
(Knee Injury)
Sekulski L.
(Injury)
- There will not play in GKS Katowice: Paluszek A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Wisła Płock: Jimenez J.
(Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Wisła Płock won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1.1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Wisła Płock won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Wisła Płock won against GKS Katowice?
Wisła Płock has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has GKS Katowice won against Wisła Płock?
GKS Katowice has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Wisła Płock - GKS Katowice were as follows:
23.09.2025
GKS Katowice
-
Wisła Płock
4:2
24.02.2024
Wisła Płock
-
GKS Katowice
2:1
11.08.2023
GKS Katowice
-
Wisła Płock
4:1
Latest results of Wisła Płock
Latest results of GKS Katowice
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jagiellonia | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 23:13 | 10 | 24 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19:10 | 9 | 23 |
| 3 | Cracovia | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20:12 | 8 | 21 |
| 4 | Wisla Plock | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 21 |
| 5 | Korona Kielce | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 19 |
| 6 | Lech Poznan | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20:18 | 2 | 19 |
| 7 | Zaglebie | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 25:18 | 7 | 17 |
| 8 | Widzew Lodz | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 20:20 | 0 | 16 |
| 9 | Legia | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 15 |
| 10 | Radomiak Radom | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 22:22 | 0 | 15 |
| 11 | Rakow | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 14 |
| 12 | Pogon Szczecin | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 18:22 | -4 | 14 |
| 13 | Motor Lublin | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 16:21 | -5 | 14 |
| 14 | Arka Gdynia | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 7:19 | -12 | 12 |
| 15 | GKS Katowice | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 11 |
| 16 | Lechia Gdansk | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 21:27 | -6 | 10 |
| 17 | Termalica B-B | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 17:25 | -8 | 10 |
| 18 | Piast Gliwice | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
