Result
15:10
28/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- United Rugby Championship - Round 12
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Conversion goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Conversion goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres run with ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 2nd Half (12 - 10)
Chances of winning
Connacht
56.8% | Draw
4.6% | Glasgow Warriors
38.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Connacht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)Glasgow Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Connacht than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Connacht, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Glasgow Warriors than the current prediction. (-3%)
Connacht - Glasgow Warriors Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.64 ↓
(1.71) |
20.11
(20.11) |
2.36 ↑
(2.27) |
8.3%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 42.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
What is the prediction for Connacht - Glasgow Warriors?
Users Predictions:
Connacht will win
(13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Connacht will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 23:20.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Connacht won 2.
- In recent matches, Connacht has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Glasgow Warriors is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Connacht might have a minor edge in this game.
- We predict that Connacht will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Connacht won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 351:508. (average 18.5:26.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Connacht won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 183:264. (average 16.6:24).
How many head-to-head matches has Connacht won against Glasgow Warriors?
Connacht has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Glasgow Warriors won against Connacht?
Glasgow Warriors has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Connacht - Glasgow Warriors were as follows:
26.01.2025
Glasgow Warriors
-
Connacht
22:19
28.10.2023
Connacht
-
Glasgow Warriors
34:24
22.04.2023
Glasgow Warriors
-
Connacht
29:27
Latest results of Connacht
Latest results of Glasgow Warriors
United Rugby Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Glasgow Warriors | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 320:170 | 45 |
| 2 | Leinster | 12 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 308:242 | 41 |
| 3 | Cardiff Rugby | 12 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 240:210 | 40 |
| 4 | Munster | 12 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 248:225 | 39 |
| 5 | Stormers | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 284:185 | 36 |
| 6 | Ulster | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 312:229 | 36 |
| 7 | Lions | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 325:342 | 33 |
| 8 | Bulls | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 304:270 | 30 |
| 9 | Ospreys | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 260:273 | 29 |
| 10 | Connacht | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 258:279 | 25 |
| 11 | Sharks | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 256:333 | 24 |
| 12 | Edinburgh | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 219:213 | 23 |
| 13 | Benetton | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 216:281 | 23 |
| 14 | Dragons | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 227:286 | 20 |
| 15 | Scarlets | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 192:263 | 16 |
| 16 | Zebre | 12 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 197:365 | 12 |
Promotion ~ United Rugby Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
