Result
28:3
18/01/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- European Rugby Champions Cup - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | SuperSport Rugby, SuperSport Variety 1 |
 Asia | Premier Sports Rugby Asia |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Malta | TSN Malta 1 |
 Nigeria | SuperSport Rugby |
 South-africa | SuperSport Rugby |
 United-kingdom | FloRugby.com, FloSports app, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Conversion goals |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Conversion goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Penalty goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres run with ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (21 - 3)
- 9', Smith O. (Try),
- 10', Horne G. (Conversion Goal),
- 14', Farrell O. (Penalty Goal),
- 22', Gonzalez J. 🟨,
- 29', Steyn K. (Try),
- 30', Horne G. (Conversion Goal),
- 31', Horne G. (Try),
- 32', Horne G. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (7 - 0)
- 54', Rowe K. 🟨,
- 76', Caluori N. 🟨,
- 80+3', Stephen S. (Try),
- 80+4', Lancaster D. (Conversion Goal),
Chances of winning
Glasgow Warriors
69.5% | Draw
4% | Saracens
26.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Glasgow Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Saracens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Glasgow Warriors than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Glasgow Warriors, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saracens than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Glasgow Warriors - Saracens Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.32 ↑
(1.3) |
23.38 ↑
(23.33) |
3.67 ↑
(3.67) |
7.1%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 51.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)
What is the prediction for Glasgow Warriors - Saracens?
Users Predictions:
2 users predict this event. Glasgow Warriors will win (votes: 2 - 100%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Glasgow Warriors (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 30:23.
Preview Facts
- Glasgow Warriors has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Saracens has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Glasgow Warriors may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Glasgow Warriors is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Glasgow Warriors will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Glasgow Warriors won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 62:145. (average 15.5:36.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Glasgow Warriors won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:13.
How many head-to-head matches has Glasgow Warriors won against Saracens?
Glasgow Warriors has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Saracens won against Glasgow Warriors?
Saracens has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Glasgow Warriors - Saracens were as follows:
Latest results of Glasgow Warriors
Latest results of Saracens
European Rugby Champions Cup Table
MainGroup 1 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Glasgow Warriors | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 115:66 | 20 |
| 2 | Stade Toulousain | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 168:74 | 12 |
| 3 | Sale Sharks | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 89:127 | 11 |
| 4 | Saracens | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 93:80 | 10 |
| 5 | Sharks | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 107:117 | 10 |
| 6 | Clermont | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 57:165 | 0 |
Group 2 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Bath | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 180:89 | 16 |
| 2 | RC Toulonnais | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 123:106 | 14 |
| 3 | Castres Olympique | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 98:106 | 10 |
| 4 | Edinburgh | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 69:140 | 10 |
| 5 | Munster | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 99:101 | 8 |
| 6 | Gloucester | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 75:102 | 6 |
Group 3 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Leinster | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 115:80 | 18 |
| 2 | Harlequins | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 184:86 | 15 |
| 3 | Stormers | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 117:125 | 14 |
| 4 | Leicester Tigers | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 118:115 | 6 |
| 5 | Stade Rochelais | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 101:114 | 6 |
| 6 | Aviron Bayonnais | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 58:173 | 0 |
Group 4 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Bordeaux Begles | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 173:97 | 20 |
| 2 | Northampton Saints | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 156:110 | 16 |
| 3 | Bristol | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 154:104 | 14 |
| 4 | Bulls | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 113:181 | 7 |
| 5 | Section Paloise | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 110:160 | 6 |
| 6 | Scarlets | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 103:157 | 3 |
Promotion ~ European Rugby Champions Cup (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Challenge Cup (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
