Glentoran vs Glenavon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Northern Irish Premiership Glentoran - Glenavon
Result
3:3
12/03/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NORTHERN IRELAND: NIFL Premiership - Round 31
  • Where to Watch on TV:
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Goal Attempts
68
Shots on Goal
44
Shots off Goal
24
Corner Kicks
310
Goalkeeper Saves
11
Yellow Cards
03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 12', 0 - 1, O'Connor M. ,
  • 17', Amos D. , Coll C. ,
  • 27', 0 - 2, Lynch H. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 46', Ferris N. , Jenkins J. ,
  • 52', 1 - 2, Thomson J. ,
  • 59', Byrne M. 🟨,
  • 60', O'Connor M. 🟨,
  • 63', Atherton C. , McGovern P. ,
  • 68', 2 - 2, Jenkins J. ,
  • 71', 3 - 2, Jenkins J. ,
  • 72', Snoddy M. , McDaid D. ,
  • 74', 3 - 3, McGovern P. ,
  • 84', Pattisson C. , Thorndike F. ,
  • 86', Kane M. , Hvid F. ,
  • 89', Campbell P. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Quinn N. , Marshall R. ,

Chances of winning


Glentoran
50.1%
Draw
26.6%
Glenavon
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.8% 23.8% 17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9% 23% 16.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Glentoran has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Glentoran's form might have worsened.
  • Glenavon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Glenavon's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Glentoran than the current prediction. (+10.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Glentoran, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Glenavon than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Glenavon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Glentoran - Glenavon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.86
    (1.57)
    3.5
    (3.88)
    3.98
    (5.32)
    7.5%
    (8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Glentoran - Glenavon?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Glentoran will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Glenavon will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Glentoran: 64.6%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Glentoran won 3.
    • Glentoran is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Glenavon is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Glenavon could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Glentoran is a favorite.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Glentoran won 11 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 38:17 (average 1.9:0.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Glentoran won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 20:5 (average 2:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Glentoran - Glenavon were as follows:
    09.11.2024 Glenavon - Glentoran 0:3
    28.09.2024 Glentoran - Glenavon 0:0
    05.03.2024 Glenavon - Glentoran 0:0
    21.10.2023 Glentoran - Glenavon 3:1
    05.08.2023 Glenavon - Glentoran 0:1
    Latest results of Glentoran
    09.03.2025 Glentoran - Cliftonville 0:1
    28.02.2025 Bangor - Glentoran 3:1
    21.02.2025 Cliftonville - Glentoran 2:0
    Latest results of Glenavon
    08.03.2025 Glenavon - Coleraine 0:1
    04.03.2025 Loughgall - Glenavon 0:2
    22.02.2025 Glenavon - Crusaders 0:1
    18.02.2025 Larne - Glenavon 1:1
    15.02.2025 Glenavon - Cliftonville 3:1
    Draw
    Conference League - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Coleraine (5)Crusaders (6)1 : 0
    2Glentoran (3)Cliftonville (7)0 : 2

    Final
    1Coleraine (5)Cliftonville (7)0 : 2