Result
1:2
17/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NIFL Premiership - Round 25
- Referee: Thompson L. (Nir)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 35', 0 - 1, Quinn N. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Gallagher B. ↓, Stewart J. ↑,
- 55', Kane M. 🟨,
- 59', 0 - 2, Palmer C. ⚽,
- 68', Burt L. ↓, Connolly D. ↑,
- 69', 1 - 2, McGovern P. ⚽,
- 77', Larmour D. ↓, Douglas J. ↑,
- 82', Kane M. ↓, McEleney S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Glenavon
15% | Draw
23.4% | Glentoran
61.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Glenavon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Glentoran has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Glentoran might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Glenavon than the current prediction. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Glentoran than the current prediction. (+8.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Glentoran could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Glenavon - Glentoran Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.12 ↓
(7.85) |
3.93 ↓
(4.43) |
1.5 ↑
(1.36) |
8.6%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Glenavon won 1.
- Recent performances by Glenavon have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Glentoran is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Glentoran may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Glentoran is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Glenavon won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 20:38. (average 1:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Glenavon won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:18. (average 1.3:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Glenavon won against Glentoran?
Glenavon has won 3 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Glentoran won against Glenavon?
Glentoran has won 6 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Glenavon - Glentoran were as follows:
08.11.2025
Glenavon
-
Glentoran
3:1
19.08.2025
Glentoran
-
Glenavon
2:0
29.07.2025
Glenavon
-
Glentoran
1:2
12.03.2025
Glentoran
-
Glenavon
3:3
09.11.2024
Glenavon
-
Glentoran
0:3
Latest results of Glenavon
Latest results of Glentoran
Northern Irish Premiership Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Larne ✔ | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 55:21 | 34 | 67 |
| 2 | Coleraine ✔ | 31 | 19 | 4 | 8 | 60:30 | 30 | 61 |
| 3 | Linfield ✔ | 31 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 53:21 | 32 | 59 |
| 4 | Glentoran ✔ | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 54:29 | 25 | 59 |
| 5 | Dungannon | 31 | 15 | 1 | 15 | 39:55 | -16 | 46 |
| 6 | Cliftonville | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 44:42 | 2 | 40 |
| 7 | Carrick Rangers | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 46:48 | -2 | 40 |
| 8 | Portadown | 29 | 11 | 1 | 17 | 34:51 | -17 | 34 |
| 9 | Bangor FC ✔ | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 37:53 | -16 | 33 |
| 10 | Ballymena ✔ | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 34:46 | -12 | 29 |
| 11 | Crusaders ✔ | 30 | 7 | 4 | 19 | 38:68 | -30 | 25 |
| 12 | Glenavon ✔ | 31 | 7 | 1 | 23 | 30:60 | -30 | 22 |
Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: )
NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Larne is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
Coleraine is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
Linfield is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
Glentoran is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
Bangor FC is NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group )
Ballymena is NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group )
Crusaders is NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group )
Glenavon is NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group )
