Result
1:2
17/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NIFL Premiership - Round 25
- Referee: Thompson L. (Nir)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 35', 0 - 1, Quinn N. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Gallagher B. ↓, Stewart J. ↑,
- 55', Kane M. 🟨,
- 59', 0 - 2, Palmer C. ⚽,
- 68', Burt L. ↓, Connolly D. ↑,
- 69', 1 - 2, McGovern P. ⚽,
- 77', Larmour D. ↓, Douglas J. ↑,
- 82', Kane M. ↓, McEleney S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Glenavon
15% | Draw
23.4% | Glentoran
61.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Glenavon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Glentoran has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Glentoran might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Glenavon than the current prediction. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Glentoran than the current prediction. (+8.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Glentoran could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Glenavon - Glentoran Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.12 ↓
(7.85) |
3.93 ↓
(4.43) |
1.5 ↑
(1.36) |
8.6%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Glenavon won 1.
- Recent performances by Glenavon have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Glentoran is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Glentoran may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Glentoran is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Glenavon won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 20:38. (average 1:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Glenavon won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:18. (average 1.3:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Glenavon won against Glentoran?
Glenavon has won 3 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Glentoran won against Glenavon?
Glentoran has won 6 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Glenavon - Glentoran were as follows:
08.11.2025
Glenavon
-
Glentoran
3:1
19.08.2025
Glentoran
-
Glenavon
2:0
29.07.2025
Glenavon
-
Glentoran
1:2
12.03.2025
Glentoran
-
Glenavon
3:3
09.11.2024
Glenavon
-
Glentoran
0:3
Latest results of Glenavon
Latest results of Glentoran
Northern Irish Premiership Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Larne | 36 | 24 | 7 | 5 | 65:26 | 39 | 79 |
| 2 | Glentoran | 36 | 23 | 7 | 6 | 71:32 | 39 | 76 |
| 3 | Coleraine | 36 | 23 | 5 | 8 | 74:35 | 39 | 74 |
| 4 | Linfield ✔ | 36 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 60:28 | 32 | 66 |
| 5 | Cliftonville ✔ | 36 | 13 | 8 | 15 | 52:58 | -6 | 47 |
| 6 | Dungannon ✔ | 36 | 15 | 1 | 20 | 42:68 | -26 | 46 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Linfield is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Conference League ~ Play Offs )
Cliftonville is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Conference League ~ Play Offs )
Dungannon is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Conference League ~ Play Offs )
