Result
34:14
07/12/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- European Rugby Champions Cup - Round 1
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | SuperSport Rugby |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4 |
 Nigeria | SuperSport Rugby |
 South-africa | SuperSport Rugby |
 United-kingdom | FloRugby.com, Premier Sports Player, Premier Sports Rugby |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Conversion Goals |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Conversion Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Penalty Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total Runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres Run With Ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (14 - 14)
- 10', Karawalevu V. (Try),
- 11', Popelin P. (Conversion Goal),
- 18', Thomas F. (Try),
- 19', Byrne R. (Conversion Goal),
- 31', Zarantonello L. (Try),
- 32', Popelin P. (Conversion Goal),
- 38', Trenholm W. (Try),
- 39', Byrne R. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (20 - 0)
- 50', Gwynne D. 🟨,
- 63', Byrne R. (Penalty Goal),
- 66', Ambadiang C. 🟨,
- 69', Byrne R. (Penalty Goal),
- 73', Atkinson (Try),
- 74', Byrne R. (Conversion Goal),
- 76', Herve E. 🟨,
- 80+1', Atkinson (Try),
- 80+2', Byrne R. (Conversion Goal),
Chances of winning
Gloucester
63.7% | Draw
4.1% | Castres
32.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gloucester has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gloucester's form might have worsened.Castres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Castres's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gloucester than the current prediction. (+8.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gloucester, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castres than the current prediction. (-6.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Castres, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Gloucester - Castres Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.44 ↑
(1.33) |
23 ↑
(21.33) |
2.83 ↓
(3.42) |
9.4%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 54.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
What is the prediction for Gloucester - Castres?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Gloucester will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Castres will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Gloucester (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 30:24.
Preview Facts
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, Gloucester is considered a favorite.
- We predict that Gloucester will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Gloucester won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 106:68. (average 26.5:17).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gloucester won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 84:44. (average 28:14.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Gloucester won against Castres?
Gloucester has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Castres won against Gloucester?
Castres has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gloucester - Castres were as follows:
05.04.2024
Gloucester
-
Castres
30:25
19.01.2024
Gloucester
-
Castres
35:5
Latest results of Gloucester
Latest results of Castres
European Rugby Champions Cup Table
MainGroup 1 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Glasgow Warriors | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 115:66 | 20 |
| 2 | Stade Toulousain | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 168:74 | 12 |
| 3 | Sale Sharks | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 89:127 | 11 |
| 4 | Saracens | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 93:80 | 10 |
| 5 | Sharks | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 107:117 | 10 |
| 6 | Clermont | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 57:165 | 0 |
Group 2 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Bath | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 180:89 | 16 |
| 2 | RC Toulonnais | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 123:106 | 14 |
| 3 | Castres Olympique | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 98:106 | 10 |
| 4 | Edinburgh | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 69:140 | 10 |
| 5 | Munster | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 99:101 | 8 |
| 6 | Gloucester | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 75:102 | 6 |
Group 3 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Leinster | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 115:80 | 18 |
| 2 | Harlequins | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 184:86 | 15 |
| 3 | Stormers | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 117:125 | 14 |
| 4 | Leicester Tigers | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 118:115 | 6 |
| 5 | Stade Rochelais | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 101:114 | 6 |
| 6 | Aviron Bayonnais | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 58:173 | 0 |
Group 4 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Bordeaux Begles | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 173:97 | 20 |
| 2 | Northampton Saints | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 156:110 | 16 |
| 3 | Bristol | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 154:104 | 14 |
| 4 | Bulls | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 113:181 | 7 |
| 5 | Section Paloise | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 110:160 | 6 |
| 6 | Scarlets | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 103:157 | 3 |
Promotion ~ European Rugby Champions Cup (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Challenge Cup (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
