Result
34:14
07/12/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- European Rugby Champions Cup - Round 1
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | SuperSport Rugby |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4 |
 Nigeria | SuperSport Rugby |
 South-africa | SuperSport Rugby |
 United-kingdom | FloRugby.com, Premier Sports Player, Premier Sports Rugby |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Conversion Goals |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Conversion Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Penalty Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total Runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres Run With Ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (14 - 14)
- 10', Karawalevu V. (Try),
- 11', Popelin P. (Conversion Goal),
- 18', Thomas F. (Try),
- 19', Byrne R. (Conversion Goal),
- 31', Zarantonello L. (Try),
- 32', Popelin P. (Conversion Goal),
- 38', Trenholm W. (Try),
- 39', Byrne R. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (20 - 0)
- 50', Gwynne D. 🟨,
- 63', Byrne R. (Penalty Goal),
- 66', Ambadiang C. 🟨,
- 69', Byrne R. (Penalty Goal),
- 73', Atkinson (Try),
- 74', Byrne R. (Conversion Goal),
- 76', Herve E. 🟨,
- 80+1', Atkinson (Try),
- 80+2', Byrne R. (Conversion Goal),
Chances of winning
Gloucester
63.7% | Draw
4.1% | Castres
32.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gloucester has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gloucester's form might have worsened.Castres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Castres's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gloucester than the current prediction. (+8.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gloucester, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castres than the current prediction. (-6.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Castres, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Gloucester - Castres Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.44 ↑
(1.33) |
23 ↑
(21.33) |
2.83 ↓
(3.42) |
9.4%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 54.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
What is the prediction for Gloucester - Castres?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Gloucester will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Castres will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gloucester (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 30:24.
Preview Facts
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, Gloucester is considered a favorite.
- We predict that Gloucester will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Gloucester won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 106:68. (average 26.5:17).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gloucester won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 84:44. (average 28:14.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Gloucester won against Castres?
Gloucester has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Castres won against Gloucester?
Castres has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gloucester - Castres were as follows:
05.04.2024
Gloucester
-
Castres
30:25
19.01.2024
Gloucester
-
Castres
35:5
Latest results of Gloucester
Latest results of Castres
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Bordeaux Begles | Leicester Tigers | 64 : 14 |
| 2 | Stade Toulousain | Bristol | 59 : 26 |
| 3 | Bath | Saracens | 31 : 22 |
| 4 | Northampton Saints | Castres Olympique | 49 : 41 |
| 5 | Leinster | Edinburgh | 49 : 31 |
| 6 | Harlequins | Sale Sharks | 17 : 26 |
| 7 | Glasgow Warriors | Bulls | 25 : 21 |
| 8 | RC Toulonnais | Stormers | 28 : 27 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Bordeaux Begles | Stade Toulousain | 30 : 15 |
| 2 | Bath | Northampton Saints | 43 : 41 |
| 3 | Leinster | Sale Sharks | 43 : 13 |
| 4 | Glasgow Warriors | RC Toulonnais | 19 : 22 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Bordeaux Begles | Bath | |
| 2 | Leinster | RC Toulonnais | |
Final
