Gloucester vs Clermont – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union Challenge Cup Rugby Gloucester - Clermont
Result
28:17
15/12/2023 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: CHALLENGE CUP - ROUND 2
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Sports Max

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gloucester
56.3%
Draw
4.1%
Clermont
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.1% 4.4% 36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.4% 5.5% 29.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gloucester has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Clermont has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gloucester than the current prediction. (+17.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gloucester, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Clermont than the current prediction. (-10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Clermont, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Gloucester - Clermont Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (1.55)
    22.5
    (20.75)
    2.28
    (2.51)
    9%
    (9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 51.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
  • Preview Facts
    • Gloucester is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Clermont is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Gloucester will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Gloucester
    09.12.2023 Black Lion - Gloucester 10:15
    02.12.2023 Bristol Rugby - Gloucester 51:26
    25.11.2023 Gloucester - Leicester Tigers 20:38
    19.11.2023 Exeter Chiefs - Gloucester 25:24
    10.11.2023 Gloucester - Bath 27:45
    Latest results of Clermont
    08.12.2023 Clermont - Edinburgh 31:18
    02.12.2023 Clermont - Racing Métro 23:18
    25.11.2023 Toulouse - Clermont 31:10
    18.11.2023 Clermont - Toulon 27:30
    11.11.2023 Montpellier - Clermont 17:20
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1EdinburghLions24 : 12
    2Aviron BayonnaisBulls22 : 32
    3Section PaloiseBath24 : 49
    4MontpellierGloucester17 : 24
    5OspreysScarlets36 : 14
    6LyonSharks34 : 21
    7ConnachtCardiff Rugby35 : 20
    8USA PerpignanRacing 9218 : 24

    Quarter-finals
    1EdinburghBulls34 : 28
    2BathGloucester61 : 26
    3OspreysLyon18 : 20
    4ConnachtRacing 9240 : 43

    Semi-finals
    1EdinburghBath24 : 39
    2LyonRacing 9229 : 15

    Final
    1BathLyon37 : 12