Result
0:1
01/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 25
- Referee: van der Laan J. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Indonesia | Kompas TV, Vidio |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 0.43 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (426/519) | 74% (279/378) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 0.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.93 | 0.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (426/519) | 74% (279/378) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (47/77) | 23% (16/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (121/163) | 53% (54/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (8/26) | 0% (0/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.81 | 0.37 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.21 | 1.93 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.79 | 1.93 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 28', Dirksen J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Kramer J. ↓, van Zwam G. ↑,
- 54', 0 - 1, Tengstedt S. ⚽, Margaret R. (A),
- 58', Tengstedt S. ↓, Slory J. ↑,
- 68', Hartjes L. ↓, Bergraaf J. ↑,
- 68', de Regt G. ↓, Jonathans M. ↑,
- 76', Margaret R. ↓, Sigurdarson S. I. ↑,
- 78', Zagre A. 🟨,
- 79', Zagre A. ↓, van Duinen M. ↑,
- 85', Dirksen J. ↓, James D. ↑,
- 86', Edvardsen V. ↓, Linthorst E. ↑,
- 89', Meissen R. ↓, Henderikx S. ↑,
- 90', Yegoian I. ↓, Wlodarczyk S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Excelsior
39.9% | Draw
27.1% | Go Ahead Eagles
33% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Excelsior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Go Ahead Eagles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Go Ahead Eagles than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Excelsior - Go Ahead Eagles Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.38 ↓
(2.46) |
3.5 ↑
(3.4) |
2.87 ↑
(2.69) |
5.4%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Excelsior - Go Ahead Eagles?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Excelsior will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). Go Ahead will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 57.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.7% – 80.1%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Go Ahead (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +0.25 - Go Ahead (2.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Excelsior (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Excelsior (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Excelsior (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Go Ahead (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 14 and 13)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Excelsior won 1.
- Excelsior has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Go Ahead is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Go Ahead may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Go Ahead: Baeten T.
(Red Card)
Nauber G.
(Broken Leg)
Weijenberg R.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Go Ahead: Dirksen J.
(Injury)
Tengstedt S.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Excelsior won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 16:27. (average 0.8:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Excelsior won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Excelsior won against Go Ahead Eagles?
Excelsior has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Go Ahead Eagles won against Excelsior?
Go Ahead Eagles has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Excelsior - Go Ahead Eagles were as follows:
26.10.2025
Go Ahead Eagles
-
Excelsior
2:0
30.03.2024
Go Ahead Eagles
-
Excelsior
3:0
16.12.2023
Excelsior
-
Go Ahead Eagles
1:1
14.04.2023
Excelsior
-
Go Ahead Eagles
2:1
29.10.2022
Go Ahead Eagles
-
Excelsior
3:1
Latest results of Excelsior
Latest results of Go Ahead Eagles
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV ✔ | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 84:40 | 44 | 74 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 62:41 | 21 | 55 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 72:48 | 24 | 54 |
| 4 | Twente | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 51:32 | 19 | 53 |
| 5 | Ajax | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 57:37 | 20 | 51 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 52:45 | 7 | 48 |
| 7 | Utrecht | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 49:36 | 13 | 44 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 53:50 | 3 | 44 |
| 9 | Groningen | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 42:37 | 5 | 42 |
| 10 | Sparta Rotterdam | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 35:49 | -14 | 42 |
| 11 | G.A. Eagles | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 50:45 | 5 | 36 |
| 12 | Sittard | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 44:55 | -11 | 36 |
| 13 | Zwolle | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 40:60 | -20 | 34 |
| 14 | FC Volendam | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 31:50 | -19 | 28 |
| 15 | Excelsior | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 31:51 | -20 | 28 |
| 16 | Telstar | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 39:52 | -13 | 27 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 30:51 | -21 | 25 |
| 18 | Heracles | 30 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 34:77 | -43 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
Clinched Spots for Teams
PSV is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
