Result
4:2
28/09/2025 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 7
- Referee: Oostrom I. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra |
United-arab-emirates | Dubai Sports 1 |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.20 | 1.82 |
Ball Possession |
---|
39% | 61% |
Total shots |
---|
20 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
9 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 6 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
73% (216/296) | 85% (399/467) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.20 | 1.82 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.86 | 1.70 |
Total shots |
---|
20 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
9 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
6 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
14 | 10 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 6 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
25 | 25 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 4 |
Free Kicks |
---|
9 | 13 |
Passes |
---|
73% (216/296) | 85% (399/467) |
Long passes |
---|
40% (27/68) | 47% (25/53) |
Passes in final third |
---|
54% (45/84) | 67% (99/147) |
Crosses |
---|
44% (7/16) | 31% (8/26) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.31 | 1.71 |
Throw-ins |
---|
13 | 16 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 9 |
Tackles |
---|
71% (10/14) | 63% (5/8) |
Duels won |
---|
36 | 41 |
Clearances |
---|
32 | 19 |
Interceptions |
---|
11 | 11 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.70 | 2.86 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.70 | -1.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 7', 1 - 0, Tejan K. ⚽,
- 23', Mertens D. 🟨,
- 42', 2 - 0, Rossen N. ⚽,
- 45+1', 2 - 1, Tejan K. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 60', Offerhaus G. 🟨,
- 62', Goudmijn K. ↓, Margaret R. ↑,
- 63', Linthorst E. ↓, Salah Rahmouni Y. ↑,
- 63', Pettersson O. ↓, Breum J. ↑,
- 63', Tejan K. ↓, Oudsten R. ↑,
- 64', Ogidi Nwankwo N. ↓, Malone D. ↑,
- 64', Mertens D. ↓, Zonneveld M. ↑,
- 71', 3 - 1, Ritmeester van de Kamp J. ⚽, Zonneveld M. (A),
- 73', 3 - 2, Smit M. ⚽, Deijl M. (A),
- 79', Suray M. ↓, Stokkers F. ↑,
- 79', Adelgaard A. ↓, James D. ↑,
- 81', Ritmeester van de Kamp J. ↓, Lechkar A. ↑,
- 86', Noslin T. ↓, Koswal D. ↑,
- 90+4', 4 - 2, Hetli S. ⚽, Zonneveld M. (A),
Chances of winning
Telstar 38.5% | Draw 27.4% | Go Ahead Eagles 34.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Telstar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Go Ahead Eagles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Telstar than the current prediction. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Go Ahead Eagles than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Telstar - Go Ahead Eagles Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.59 ↑ (2.51) |
3.7 ↓ (3.73) |
3.15 ↑ (2.49) |
-2.6% (6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Telstar - Go Ahead Eagles?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Telstar will win (votes: 2 - 9.5%). Go Ahead will win (votes: 14 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 23.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Go Ahead: 46.5% – 86.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Go Ahead (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Telstar won 0.
- Telstar has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Go Ahead's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Go Ahead may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Go Ahead: Saathof P.
(Knee Injury)
Sivertsen O.
(Injury)
Tengstedt S.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Telstar: Nwankwo N.
(Inactive)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Telstar won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 13:25. (average 1:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Telstar won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.3:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Telstar won against Go Ahead Eagles?
Telstar has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Go Ahead Eagles won against Telstar?
Go Ahead Eagles has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Telstar - Go Ahead Eagles were as follows:
03.07.2024
Go Ahead Eagles
-
Telstar
3:0
Latest results of Telstar
Latest results of Go Ahead Eagles
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Feyenoord | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 18:6 | 12 | 22 |
2 | PSV | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 25:11 | 14 | 19 |
3 | Ajax | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 17:10 | 7 | 16 |
4 | AZ Alkmaar | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 17:12 | 5 | 15 |
5 | Groningen | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 15 |
6 | Nijmegen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 22:14 | 8 | 13 |
7 | Twente | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Sittard | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Utrecht | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15:10 | 5 | 10 |
10 | G.A. Eagles | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14:14 | 0 | 10 |
11 | Sparta Rotterdam | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:22 | -11 | 10 |
12 | Heerenveen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 9 |
13 | FC Volendam | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 7 |
14 | Telstar | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:15 | -5 | 7 |
15 | NAC Breda | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 7 |
16 | Zwolle | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 7 |
17 | Excelsior | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7:17 | -10 | 6 |
18 | Heracles | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7:20 | -13 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie