Result
1:1
13/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 5
- Referee: Ulloa D. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Israel | Sport 1 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 1 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 South-america | ESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America |
 Turkey | S Sport 2, S Sport+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network, Tubi TV |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.64 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (405/484) | 72% (196/274) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.64 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.98 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (405/484) | 72% (196/274) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (44/76) | 39% (22/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (85/127) | 53% (44/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 33% (4/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.30 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 46% (11/24) | 61% (14/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 83 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 39 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.61 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.02 | -0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 6', 1 - 0, Joao Pedro ⚽,
- 20', Arce L. 🟨,
- 28', 1 - 1, Andino S. ⚽,
- 36', Dodi 🟨,
- 41', Joao Pedro ↓, Igor Serrote ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 50', Arezo M. ↓, Amuzu F. ↑,
- 50', Igor Serrote ↓, Joao Lucas ↑,
- 63', Barrea D. ↓, Dupuy L. ↑,
- 74', Auzmendi A. ↓, Leyes B. ↑,
- 75', Quiroz L. ↓, Rasmussen F. ↑,
- 75', Altamira F. ↓, Yanez B. ↑,
- 79', Dodi ↓, Andre Henrique ↑,
- 79', Olivera C. ↓, Alysson ↑,
- 79', Andre Henrique 🟨,
- 85', Andino S. ↓, Valverde A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Grêmio
54.5% | Draw
27.5% | Godoy Cruz
18.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Godoy Cruz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Godoy Cruz than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Grêmio - Godoy Cruz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↑
(1.67) |
3.44 ↓
(3.61) |
5.22 ↓
(5.45) |
6.1%
(6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Grêmio - Godoy Cruz?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Grêmio (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Grêmio will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Godoy Cruz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Grêmio is a strong favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Grêmio won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio won against Godoy Cruz?
Grêmio has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Godoy Cruz won against Grêmio?
Godoy Cruz has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio - Godoy Cruz were as follows:
24.04.2025
Godoy Cruz
-
Grêmio
2:2
Latest results of Godoy Cruz
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | Gremio | 1 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bye | U. Catolica | |
| 3 | U. De Chile | Guarani | 1 : 2, 5 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Independiente | |
| 5 | Central Cordoba | Cerro Largo | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Bye | Lanus | |
| 7 | Bahia | America De Cali | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Fluminense | |
| 9 | Bolivar | Palestino | 3 : 0, 3 : 0 |
| 10 | Bye | Cienciano | |
| 11 | Bucaramanga | Atletico-MG | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 12 | Bye | Godoy Cruz | |
| 13 | Ind. del Valle | Vasco | 1 : 1, 4 : 0 |
| 14 | Bye | Mushuc Runa | |
| 15 | SA Bulo Bulo | Once Caldas | 0 : 4, 0 : 3 |
| 16 | Bye | Huracan | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | U. Catolica | 2 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | U. De Chile | Independiente | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Central Cordoba | Lanus | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | America De Cali | Fluminense | 0 : 2, 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Bolivar | Cienciano | 2 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Atletico-MG | Godoy Cruz | 1 : 0, 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Ind. del Valle | Mushuc Runa | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Once Caldas | Huracan | 3 : 1, 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | TBD #2 | |
| 2 | Lanus | Fluminense | |
| 3 | Bolivar | Atletico-MG | |
| 4 | Ind. del Valle | Once Caldas | |
