Grêmio vs Godoy Cruz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Sudamericana Grêmio - Godoy Cruz
Result
1:1
13/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 5
  • Referee: Ulloa D. (Col)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 2
indonesiaIndonesiaMola TV
israelIsraelSport 1
italyItalyComo TV
mexicoMexicoDisney+
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandPolsat Sport 1
portugalPortugalSport TV1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
turkeyTurkeyS Sport 2, S Sport+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network, Tubi TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.330.64
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
1816
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
21
Passes
84% (405/484)72% (196/274)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.330.64
xG on target (xGOT)
0.610.98
Total shots
1816
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
77
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
115
Shots outside the Box
711
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
21
Touches in opposition box
3417
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
129
Passes
84% (405/484)72% (196/274)
Long passes
58% (44/76)39% (22/57)
Passes in final third
67% (85/127)53% (44/83)
Crosses
21% (3/14)33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.090.30
Throw-ins
1927
Fouls
912
Tackles
46% (11/24)61% (14/23)
Duels won
8360
Clearances
3927
Interceptions
56
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
46
xGOT faced
0.980.61
Goals prevented
-0.02-0.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Joao Pedro ,
  • 20', Arce L. 🟨,
  • 28', 1 - 1, Andino S. ,
  • 36', Dodi 🟨,
  • 41', Joao Pedro , Igor Serrote ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 50', Arezo M. , Amuzu F. ,
  • 50', Igor Serrote , Joao Lucas ,
  • 63', Barrea D. , Dupuy L. ,
  • 74', Auzmendi A. , Leyes B. ,
  • 75', Quiroz L. , Rasmussen F. ,
  • 75', Altamira F. , Yanez B. ,
  • 79', Dodi , Andre Henrique ,
  • 79', Olivera C. , Alysson ,
  • 79', Andre Henrique 🟨,
  • 85', Andino S. , Valverde A. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Grêmio
54.5%
Draw
27.5%
Godoy Cruz
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.6% 26.1% 17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3% 25.3% 16.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • Godoy Cruz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Godoy Cruz than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • Grêmio - Godoy Cruz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (1.67)
    3.44
    (3.61)
    5.22
    (5.45)
    6.1%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Grêmio - Godoy Cruz?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Grêmio (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Grêmio will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Godoy Cruz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Grêmio is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Grêmio won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio - Godoy Cruz were as follows:
    24.04.2025 Godoy Cruz - Grêmio 2:2
    Latest results of Grêmio
    07.05.2025 Atlético Grau - Grêmio 0:0
    04.05.2025 Grêmio - Santos 1:0
    30.04.2025 CS Alagoano - Grêmio 3:2
    Latest results of Godoy Cruz
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Alianza LimaGremio1 : 1, 2 : 0
    2ByeU. Catolica
    3U. De ChileGuarani1 : 2, 5 : 0
    4ByeIndependiente
    5Central CordobaCerro Largo3 : 0, 0 : 0
    6ByeLanus
    7BahiaAmerica De Cali0 : 2, 0 : 0
    8ByeFluminense
    9BolivarPalestino3 : 0, 3 : 0
    10ByeCienciano
    11BucaramangaAtletico-MG1 : 1, 0 : 1
    12ByeGodoy Cruz
    13Ind. del ValleVasco1 : 1, 4 : 0
    14ByeMushuc Runa
    15SA Bulo BuloOnce Caldas0 : 4, 0 : 3
    16ByeHuracan

    1/8-finals
    1Alianza LimaU. Catolica
    2U. De ChileIndependiente
    3Central CordobaLanus
    4America De CaliFluminense
    5BolivarCienciano
    6Atletico-MGGodoy Cruz
    7Ind. del ValleMushuc Runa
    8Once CaldasHuracan

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2