Result
1:1
13/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 5
- Referee: Ulloa D. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Argentina | Disney+, ESPN |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD |
Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
Canada | beIN Connect |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
Indonesia | Mola TV |
Israel | Sport 1 |
Italy | Como TV |
Mexico | Disney+ |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
Peru | Disney+ |
Poland | Polsat Sport 1 |
Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Russia | Okko Sport |
South-america | ESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America |
Turkey | S Sport 2, S Sport+ |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network, Tubi TV |
Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.33 | 0.64 |
Ball Possession |
---|
63% | 37% |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 16 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 1 |
Passes |
---|
84% (405/484) | 72% (196/274) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.33 | 0.64 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.61 | 0.98 |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 16 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
11 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 11 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 1 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
34 | 17 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 9 |
Passes |
---|
84% (405/484) | 72% (196/274) |
Long passes |
---|
58% (44/76) | 39% (22/57) |
Passes in final third |
---|
67% (85/127) | 53% (44/83) |
Crosses |
---|
21% (3/14) | 33% (4/12) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.09 | 0.30 |
Throw-ins |
---|
19 | 27 |
Fouls |
---|
9 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
46% (11/24) | 61% (14/23) |
Duels won |
---|
83 | 60 |
Clearances |
---|
39 | 27 |
Interceptions |
---|
5 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 6 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.98 | 0.61 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.02 | -0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 6', 1 - 0, Joao Pedro ⚽,
- 20', Arce L. 🟨,
- 28', 1 - 1, Andino S. ⚽,
- 36', Dodi 🟨,
- 41', Joao Pedro ↓, Igor Serrote ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 50', Arezo M. ↓, Amuzu F. ↑,
- 50', Igor Serrote ↓, Joao Lucas ↑,
- 63', Barrea D. ↓, Dupuy L. ↑,
- 74', Auzmendi A. ↓, Leyes B. ↑,
- 75', Quiroz L. ↓, Rasmussen F. ↑,
- 75', Altamira F. ↓, Yanez B. ↑,
- 79', Dodi ↓, Andre Henrique ↑,
- 79', Olivera C. ↓, Alysson ↑,
- 79', Andre Henrique 🟨,
- 85', Andino S. ↓, Valverde A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Grêmio 54.5% | Draw 27.5% | Godoy Cruz 18.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Godoy Cruz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Godoy Cruz than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Grêmio - Godoy Cruz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.73 ↑ (1.67) |
3.44 ↓ (3.61) |
5.22 ↓ (5.45) |
6.1% (6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Grêmio - Godoy Cruz?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Grêmio (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Grêmio will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Godoy Cruz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Grêmio is a strong favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Grêmio won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio won against Godoy Cruz?
Grêmio has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Godoy Cruz won against Grêmio?
Godoy Cruz has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio - Godoy Cruz were as follows:
24.04.2025
Godoy Cruz
-
Grêmio
2:2
Latest results of Godoy Cruz
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals1 | Alianza Lima | Gremio | 1 : 1, 2 : 0 |
2 | Bye | U. Catolica | |
3 | U. De Chile | Guarani | 1 : 2, 5 : 0 |
4 | Bye | Independiente | |
5 | Central Cordoba | Cerro Largo | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
6 | Bye | Lanus | |
7 | Bahia | America De Cali | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
8 | Bye | Fluminense | |
9 | Bolivar | Palestino | 3 : 0, 3 : 0 |
10 | Bye | Cienciano | |
11 | Bucaramanga | Atletico-MG | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
12 | Bye | Godoy Cruz | |
13 | Ind. del Valle | Vasco | 1 : 1, 4 : 0 |
14 | Bye | Mushuc Runa | |
15 | SA Bulo Bulo | Once Caldas | 0 : 4, 0 : 3 |
16 | Bye | Huracan | |
1/8-finals1 | Alianza Lima | U. Catolica | |
2 | U. De Chile | Independiente | |
3 | Central Cordoba | Lanus | |
4 | America De Cali | Fluminense | |
5 | Bolivar | Cienciano | |
6 | Atletico-MG | Godoy Cruz | |
7 | Ind. del Valle | Mushuc Runa | |
8 | Once Caldas | Huracan | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal