Result
3:1
05/07/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Vysshaya Liga - Round 15
- Referee: Yasenovich E. (Blr)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 23 | 10 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', Matveychik S. ↓, Potapenko A. ↑,
- 46', 1 - 0, Doumbia S. ⚽, Sodikov S. (A),
- 48', 1 - 1, Butko A. ⚽, Martinkevich V. (A),
- 53', Barsukov E. 🟨,
- 55', Zayats I. 🟨,
- 62', Aleksievich I. ↓, Davyskiba R. ↑,
- 62', Barsukov E. ↓, Cheburakov K. ↑,
- 75', Tonkevich V. ↓, Yablonskiy M. ↑,
- 76', Zayats I. ↓, Troyakov E. ↑,
- 76', Borodin D. ↓, Waddou A. ↑,
- 80', Maslovskiy V. 🟨,
- 81', Sodikov S. ↓, Stankevich A. ↑,
- 83', Butko A. 🟨,
- 84', 2 - 1, Yatskevich V. (Own goal),
- 90', 3 - 1, Doumbia S. ⚽, Yablonskiy M. (A),
- 90+3', Doumbia S. ↓, Chebotar V. ↑,
Chances of winning
Smorgon
21% | Draw
25.1% | Gomel
54% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Smorgon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)Gomel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Smorgon than the current prediction. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gomel than the current prediction. (+5%)
Smorgon - Gomel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.42 ↓
(5.85) |
3.69 ↓
(3.8) |
1.72 ↑
(1.63) |
7.9%
(4.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Smorgon - Gomel?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Gomel (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Smorgon won 0.
- Smorgon is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Gomel has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Smorgon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Gomel is a strong favorite.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Smorgon won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:16. (average 0.8:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Smorgon won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:11. (average 1:2.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Smorgon won against Gomel?
Smorgon has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gomel won against Smorgon?
Gomel has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Smorgon - Gomel were as follows:
30.08.2024
Gomel
-
Smorgon
2:1
19.04.2024
Smorgon
-
Gomel
2:2
22.10.2023
Smorgon
-
Gomel
0:3
26.05.2023
Gomel
-
Smorgon
2:0
Latest results of Smorgon
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | ML Vitebsk | 24 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 38:15 | 23 | 52 |
| 2 | Din. Minsk | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 42:24 | 18 | 48 |
| 3 | Slavia Mozyr | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 38:23 | 15 | 44 |
| 4 | Zhodino | 23 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 37:23 | 14 | 41 |
| 5 | Dynamo Brest | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 36:23 | 13 | 41 |
| 6 | FC Minsk | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 38:35 | 3 | 41 |
| 7 | Isloch | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 40:22 | 18 | 39 |
| 8 | Neman | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 30:21 | 9 | 32 |
| 9 | BATE | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:39 | -10 | 30 |
| 10 | FC Gomel | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 24:27 | -3 | 29 |
| 11 | Vitebsk | 24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 32:36 | -4 | 27 |
| 12 | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | 23 | 5 | 11 | 7 | 24:29 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 | Naftan | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 31:42 | -11 | 25 |
| 14 | Smorgon | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17:33 | -16 | 20 |
| 15 | Slutsk | 22 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 11:36 | -25 | 13 |
| 16 | Molodechno | 24 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 16:55 | -39 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga
