Result
3:1
29/11/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Vysshaya Liga - Round 30
- Referee: Gorayutin S. (Blr)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', Silinsky D. 🟨,
- 12', 1 - 0, Laptev D. ⚽, Adeola R. (A),
- 21', Bogdanovich I. 🟨,
- 28', 1 - 1, Doumbia S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 49', 2 - 1, Chagovets Y. ⚽,
- 61', Dubovik T. ↓, Chebotar V. ↑,
- 61', Yablonskiy M. ↓, Diallo M. ↑,
- 69', 3 - 1, Laptev D. ⚽, Simanenka T. (A),
- 69', Barsukov E. ↓, Antilevskiy A. ↑,
- 72', Maslovskiy V. ↓, Dayneko A. ↑,
- 80', Dukso M. ↓, Kukhlejj R. ↑,
- 82', Laptev D. ↓, Savitskiy A. ↑,
- 87', Adeola R. ↓, Matveychik S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Gomel
42.3% | Draw
32.5% | Smorgon
25.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gomel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gomel's form might have worsened.Smorgon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gomel than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gomel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Smorgon than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Gomel - Smorgon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↑
(1.92) |
2.87 ↓
(3.25) |
3.69 ↓
(4.06) |
7.4%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Gomel - Smorgon?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Smorgon will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gomel won 3.
- Gomel is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Smorgon has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Gomel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Gomel will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Gomel won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:9. (average 1.9:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gomel won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Gomel won against Smorgon?
Gomel has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Smorgon won against Gomel?
Smorgon has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gomel - Smorgon were as follows:
05.07.2025
Smorgon
-
Gomel
3:1
30.08.2024
Gomel
-
Smorgon
2:1
19.04.2024
Smorgon
-
Gomel
2:2
22.10.2023
Smorgon
-
Gomel
0:3
26.05.2023
Gomel
-
Smorgon
2:0
Latest results of Smorgon
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Isloch | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Din. Minsk | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Belshina | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | ML Vitebsk | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | FC Gomel | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Vitebsk | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | FC Minsk | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | BATE | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Naftan | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Neman | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Dnepr Mogilev | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Slavia Mozyr | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Dynamo Brest | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Zhodino | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Baranovici | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga
