Result
05/07/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Chances of winning
Smorgon
20.1% | Draw
25.1% | Gomel
54.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Smorgon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)Gomel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Smorgon than the current prediction. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gomel than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Smorgon - Gomel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.64 ↓
(5.85) |
3.72 ↓
(3.8) |
1.71 ↑
(1.63) |
7.1%
(4.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Smorgon won 0.
- Smorgon is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Gomel's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Smorgon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Gomel is a strong favorite.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Smorgon won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:16. (average 0.8:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Smorgon won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:11. (average 1:2.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Smorgon won against Gomel?
Smorgon has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gomel won against Smorgon?
Gomel has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Smorgon - Gomel were as follows:
30.08.2024
Gomel
-
Smorgon
2:1
19.04.2024
Smorgon
-
Gomel
2:2
22.10.2023
Smorgon
-
Gomel
0:3
26.05.2023
Gomel
-
Smorgon
2:0
Latest results of Smorgon
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | ML Vitebsk | 14 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 24:6 | 18 | 36 |
| 2 | Din. Minsk | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 23:13 | 10 | 29 |
| 3 | Slavia Mozyr | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 23:14 | 9 | 28 |
| 4 | Zhodino | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22:11 | 11 | 26 |
| 5 | Neman | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 21:10 | 11 | 25 |
| 6 | Isloch | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 28:14 | 14 | 24 |
| 7 | Dynamo Brest | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 23:17 | 6 | 24 |
| 8 | FC Minsk | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 20:29 | -9 | 18 |
| 9 | Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 19:19 | 0 | 18 |
| 10 | Vitebsk | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 23:19 | 4 | 18 |
| 11 | FC Gomel | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 9:10 | -1 | 18 |
| 12 | BATE | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17:22 | -5 | 16 |
| 13 | Slutsk | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 9:21 | -12 | 11 |
| 14 | Naftan | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 12:25 | -13 | 11 |
| 15 | Smorgon | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 8:27 | -19 | 5 |
| 16 | Molodechno | 14 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7:31 | -24 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga
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