Guarda FC vs Gondomar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Campeonato de Portugal Guarda FC - Gondomar
Result
1:1
16/02/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 29', 1 - 0, Semedo D. ,
  • 35', 1 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Guarda FC
42.4%
Draw
30.2%
Gondomar
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.6% 27.4% 17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2% 26.2% 16.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Guarda FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guarda FC's form might have worsened.
  • Gondomar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gondomar's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarda FC than the current prediction. (+15.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guarda FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gondomar than the current prediction. (-11.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gondomar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Guarda FC - Gondomar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.14
    (1.6)
    3
    (3.25)
    3.3
    (5.25)
    10.5%
    (12.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 6 and 11 in the zone Relegation).
    • Guarda is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Gondomar is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Guarda is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Guarda won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Guarda FC - Gondomar were as follows:
    06.10.2024 Gondomar - Guarda FC 1:0
    Latest results of Guarda FC
    09.02.2025 Marítimo B - Guarda FC 1:3
    02.02.2025 Guarda FC - Cinfães 0:0
    26.01.2025 Coimbrões - Guarda FC 0:2
    19.01.2025 Guarda FC - Marco 09 1:0
    12.01.2025 Camacha - Guarda FC 1:1
    Latest results of Gondomar
    09.02.2025 Gondomar - Salgueiros 08 0:0
    02.02.2025 União Lamas - Gondomar 4:0
    26.01.2025 Gondomar - Alpendorada 1:0
    19.01.2025 Gondomar - Marítimo B 1:1
    12.01.2025 Cinfães - Gondomar 0:0