Gonzalo Bueno vs Andrea Collarini – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Villa Maria Challenger Men Gonzalo Bueno - Andrea Collarini
Result
1:2
16/09/2025 at 13:25 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Villa Maria, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
23
Double Faults
45
1st Serve Percentage
68%76%
1st Serve Points Won
61% (44/72)73% (45/62)
2nd Serve Points Won
32% (11/34)40% (8/20)
Break Points Saved
42% (5/12)50% (2/4)
1st Return Points Won
27% (17/62)39% (28/72)
2nd Return Points Won
60% (12/20)68% (23/34)
Break Points Converted
50% (2/4)58% (7/12)
Service Points Won
52% (55/106)65% (53/82)
Return Points Won
35% (29/82)48% (51/106)
Total Points Won
45% (84/188)55% (104/188)
Last 10 Balls
28
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
50% (7/14)85% (11/13)
Return Games Won
15% (2/13)50% (7/14)
Total Games Won
33% (9/27)67% (18/27)

Chances of winning


Gonzalo Bueno
55.4%
Andrea Collarini
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8% 51.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gonzalo Bueno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gonzalo Bueno's performance.
  • Andrea Collarini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Andrea Collarini might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gonzalo Bueno than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gonzalo Bueno that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Collarini than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Andrea Collarini could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Gonzalo Bueno - Andrea Collarini Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.68
    (1.83)

    2.08
    (1.83)
    7.5%
    (9.3%)
    Preview Facts
    • Bueno is ranked ATP: 209. Collarini is ranked ATP: 245.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Collarini may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Bueno won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gonzalo Bueno - Andrea Collarini were as follows:
    01.08.2025 Andrea Collarini - Gonzalo Bueno 0:2
    21.09.2024 Gonzalo Bueno - Andrea Collarini 2:0
    03.07.2024 Gonzalo Bueno - Andrea Collarini 0:2
    Latest results of Gonzalo Bueno
    Latest results of Andrea Collarini
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Nava E. (1)Dutra Da Silva D.2 : 1
    2Varillas J. P.De La Fuente S. (Q)2 : 0
    3Boscardin Dias P.Prado Angelo J. C.0 : 2
    4Jones M.Reis Da Silva J. (8)2 : 0
    5Maestrelli F. (3)Rodriguez L. J. (Alt)2 : 1
    6Soto M.Zarate C. M. (Q)2 : 0
    7Justo G. I.Torres J. B. (WC)2 : 1
    8Dellien Velasco M. A.Olivieri G. A. (5)2 : 1
    9Bueno G. (6)Collarini A.1 : 2
    10Ambrogi L. E.Bagnis F. (Q)1 : 2
    11Kicker N.Casanova H. (Q)0 : 2
    12Cavallo F. (WC)Gomez F. A. (4)0 : 2
    13Barrena A. (7)Villanueva G.2 : 0
    14Falabella L. A. (Q)La Serna J. M. (WC)0 : 2
    15Juarez F. (Q)Kestelboim M. (Alt)0 : 2
    16Midon L.Dellien H. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Nava E. (1)Varillas J. P.2 : 0
    2Prado Angelo J. C.Jones M.2 : 0
    3Maestrelli F. (3)Soto M.2 : 0
    4Justo G. I.Dellien Velasco M. A.0 : 2
    5Collarini A.Bagnis F. (WO.)
    6Casanova H.Gomez F. A. (4)0 : 2
    7Barrena A. (7)La Serna J. M.2 : 0
    8Kestelboim M.Midon L.2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Nava E. (1)Prado Angelo J. C.2 : 0
    2Maestrelli F. (3)Dellien Velasco M. A.1 : 2
    3Bagnis F.Gomez F. A. (4)0 : 2
    4Barrena A. (7)Kestelboim M.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Nava E. (1)Dellien Velasco M. A.2 : 0
    2Gomez F. A. (4)Barrena A. (7)0 : 2

    Final
    1Nava E. (1)Barrena A. (7)2 : 0