Mariano Kestelboim vs Gonzalo Villanueva – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Santa Cruz Challenger Men 2025 Mariano Kestelboim - Gonzalo Villanueva
Result
1:2
17/06/2025 at 12:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Santa Cruz, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
00
Double Faults
41
1st Serve Percentage
76%68%
1st Serve Points Won
67% (38/57)66% (37/56)
2nd Serve Points Won
56% (10/18)54% (14/26)
Break Points Saved
20% (1/5)50% (3/6)
1st Return Points Won
34% (19/56)33% (19/57)
2nd Return Points Won
46% (12/26)44% (8/18)
Break Points Converted
50% (3/6)80% (4/5)
Service Points Won
64% (48/75)62% (51/82)
Return Points Won
38% (31/82)36% (27/75)
Total Points Won
50% (79/157)50% (78/157)
Last 10 Balls
19
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
73% (11/15)79% (11/14)
Return Games Won
21% (3/14)27% (4/15)
Total Games Won
48% (14/29)52% (15/29)

Chances of winning


Mariano Kestelboim
41.8%
Gonzalo Villanueva
58.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.2% 60.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4% 63.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mariano Kestelboim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • Gonzalo Villanueva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariano Kestelboim than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mariano Kestelboim that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gonzalo Villanueva than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gonzalo Villanueva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Mariano Kestelboim - Gonzalo Villanueva Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (2.36)

    1.6
    (1.52)
    7.2%
    (8.2%)
    Preview Facts
    • Kestelboim is ranked ATP: 424. Villanueva is ranked ATP: 396.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Villanueva will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Kestelboim won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mariano Kestelboim - Gonzalo Villanueva were as follows:
    18.04.2024 Mariano Kestelboim - Gonzalo Villanueva Kestelboim M. retired
    30.01.2024 Gonzalo Villanueva - Mariano Kestelboim 2:0