BM Ciudad Encantada vs Gorenje Velenje – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Handball EHF European League BM Ciudad Encantada - Gorenje Velenje
Result
28:27
21/11/2023 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: EUROPEAN LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 4
  • Where to Watch on TV:
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport

Chances of winning


BM Ciudad Encantada
31.5%
Draw
10.9%
Gorenje Velenje
57.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.9% 11.7% 41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4% 11.8% 41%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • BM Ciudad Encantada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that BM Ciudad Encantada's form might have worsened.
  • Gorenje Velenje has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gorenje Velenje's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for BM Ciudad Encantada than the current prediction. (+15.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for BM Ciudad Encantada, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gorenje Velenje than the current prediction. (-16.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gorenje Velenje, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • BM Ciudad Encantada - Gorenje Velenje Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.89
    (1.95)
    8.45
    (7.81)
    1.6
    (2.21)
    9%
    (9.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 54.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
  • What is the prediction for BM Ciudad Encantada - Gorenje Velenje?
  • Users Predictions: Gorenje Velenje will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 26:28.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Ciudad Encantada is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Gorenje Velenje is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Ciudad Encantada could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Gorenje Velenje will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Ciudad Encantada won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 20-28.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between BM Ciudad Encantada - Gorenje Velenje were as follows:
    14.11.2023 Gorenje Velenje - BM Ciudad Encantada 28:20
    Latest results of BM Ciudad Encantada
    Latest results of Gorenje Velenje
    18.11.2023 Gorenje Velenje - Krka 31:20
    28.10.2023 Gorenje Velenje - Dobova 36:24
    24.10.2023 Sävehof - Gorenje Velenje 36:34
    Draw
    Preliminary

    Final
    1PartizanKarvina31 : 27
    2Hannover-BurgdorfAlkaloid37 : 27
    3MorsSt. Raphael32 : 45
    4GorenjeHC Kriens25 : 27
    5CD Bidasoa IrunABC Braga35 : 26
    6Chrobry GlogowKarlskrona30 : 33
    7Minaur Baia MareStjarnan26 : 26
    8SavehofMalmo33 : 24
    9Dugo SeloSesvete32 : 29
    10ElverumTorrelavega38 : 28
    11BernRK Medjimurje31 : 28
    12Skanderborg AGFMaritimo38 : 25