Result
4:2
01/03/2026 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 24
- Referee: Bel D. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 9 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.03 | 2.37 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (445/515) | 84% (328/390) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.03 | 2.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.85 | 2.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (445/515) | 84% (328/390) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (32/52) | 41% (19/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (87/117) | 63% (43/68) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 42% (5/12) | 14% (2/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 1.08 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 50% (8/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.17 | 2.85 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.17 | -1.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 7', 1 - 0, Beljo D. ⚽, McKenna S. (A),
- 17', 2 - 0, Stojkovic L. ⚽, Beljo D. (A),
- 36', 2 - 1, Trontelj Z. ⚽, Bogojevic B. (A),
- 44', Prsir J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 59', Perez Vinlof M. ↓, Goda B. ↑,
- 59', Valincic M. ↓, Galesic N. ↑,
- 59', Zajc M. ↓, Soldo M. ↑,
- 60', Trontelj Z. 🟨,
- 62', 3 - 1, Soldo M. ⚽, Stojkovic L. (A),
- 63', Sule W. ↓, Erceg A. ↑,
- 63', Pavicic D. ↓, Vrzic L. ↑,
- 73', 4 - 1, Beljo D. (Penalty Awarded),
- 75', Misic J. ↓, Bakrar M. ↑,
- 78', Vidovic G. ↓, Sunta S. ↑,
- 79', Pozo I. ↓, Kucis S. ↑,
- 79', Prsir J. ↓, Bakic O. ↑,
- 84', Bogojevic B. ↓, Epailly T. ↑,
- 89', 4 - 2, Erceg A. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Dinamo Zagreb
72.2% | Draw
18.2% | Gorica
9.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dinamo Zagreb has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Gorica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo Zagreb than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gorica than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Dinamo Zagreb - Gorica Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.29 ↓
(1.34) |
5.16 ↑
(4.93) |
9.69 ↑
(8.41) |
7.3%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Dinamo Zagreb - Gorica?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Dinamo Zagreb will win (votes: 11 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dinamo Zagreb: 100% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Dinamo Zagreb (1.90) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Dinamo Zagreb will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Dinamo Zagreb (votes: 5 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dinamo Zagreb won 2.
- Dinamo Zagreb is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Gorica has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Dinamo Zagreb may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Dinamo Zagreb is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Dinamo Zagreb: Bennacer I.
(Injury)
Dominguez S.
(Inactive)
Hoxha A.
(Inactive)
Torrente R.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Gorica: Peric S.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dinamo Zagreb won 13 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 34:12. (average 1.7:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dinamo Zagreb won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:6. (average 1.9:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Dinamo Zagreb won against Gorica?
Dinamo Zagreb has won 8 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gorica won against Dinamo Zagreb?
Gorica has won 3 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dinamo Zagreb - Gorica were as follows:
01.12.2025
Gorica
-
Dinamo Zagreb
0:2
14.09.2025
Dinamo Zagreb
-
Gorica
1:2
23.04.2025
Gorica
-
Dinamo Zagreb
1:0
15.02.2025
Dinamo Zagreb
-
Gorica
3:1
09.11.2024
Gorica
-
Dinamo Zagreb
2:2
Latest results of Dinamo Zagreb
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Din. Zagreb | 24 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 56:19 | 37 | 54 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 36:21 | 15 | 47 |
| 3 | Rijeka | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 36:25 | 11 | 35 |
| 4 | Slaven Belupo | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 33:36 | -3 | 34 |
| 5 | Varazdin | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 30:35 | -5 | 33 |
| 6 | Istra 1961 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:35 | -6 | 30 |
| 7 | Lok. Zagreb | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 29:37 | -8 | 29 |
| 8 | Gorica | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 27:36 | -9 | 26 |
| 9 | Osijek | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 21:36 | -15 | 20 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 26:43 | -17 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
