Result
1:0
23/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 31
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.67 | 1.16 |
Ball Possession |
---|
34% | 66% |
Total shots |
---|
4 | 20 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 17 |
Passes |
---|
77% (233/303) | 89% (488/551) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 1 |
Red Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.67 | 1.16 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.52 | 0.79 |
Total shots |
---|
4 | 20 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
1 | 12 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
3 | 14 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
1 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 17 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
11 | 38 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
14 | 15 |
Passes |
---|
77% (233/303) | 89% (488/551) |
Long passes |
---|
38% (20/53) | 52% (14/27) |
Passes in final third |
---|
53% (34/64) | 82% (186/227) |
Crosses |
---|
38% (3/8) | 20% (9/45) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.43 | 1.17 |
Fouls |
---|
15 | 14 |
Tackles |
---|
50% (7/14) | 57% (8/14) |
Duels won |
---|
48 | 52 |
Clearances Total |
---|
43 | 10 |
Interceptions |
---|
5 | 4 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
5 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.79 | 0.52 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.79 | -0.48 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 27', Les M. ↓, Bralic S. ↑,
- 38', Caic V. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Gurlica J. ↓, Vrzic L. ↑,
- 46', Slogar M. ↓, Cuic F. ↑,
- 61', Pjaca M. ↓, Hoxha A. ↑,
- 61', Sucic P. ↓, Ademi A. ↑,
- 63', Erceg A. ↓, Majstorovic V. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 0, Pajaziti A. ⚽, Cuic F. (A),
- 69', Baturina M. ↓, Mbuku N. ↑,
- 71', Ristovski S. ↓, Theophile-Catherine K. ↑,
- 71', Kulenovic S. ↓, Kanga W. ↑,
- 78', Pajaziti A. ↓, Halilovic T. ↑,
- 82', Caic V. 🟨,
- 88', Ndockyt M. 🟨,
- 90', Pierre-Gabriel R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Gorica 12.4% | Draw 19.2% | Dinamo Zagreb 68.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gorica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Dinamo Zagreb has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gorica than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo Zagreb than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Gorica - Dinamo Zagreb Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
7.62 ↑ (6.2) |
4.86 ↑ (4.2) |
1.37 ↓ (1.43) |
6.6% (9.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Gorica - Dinamo Zagreb?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Gorica will win (votes: 3 - 15%). Dinamo Zagreb will win (votes: 16 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dinamo Zagreb: 62.5% – 97.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Dinamo Zagreb will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Gorica won 0.
- Recent matches Gorica is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Dinamo Zagreb is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- In this match Dinamo Zagreb is certain favorite.
- There will not play in Gorica: Fiolic I.
(Injury)
Prsir J.
(Injury)
Sikosek G.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Dinamo Zagreb: Bockaj P.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Gorica: Majstorovic V.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Dinamo Zagreb: Petkovic B.
(Inactive)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Gorica won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 15 matches and goals 13:40 (average 0.7:2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Gorica won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 8:17 (average 0.9:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Gorica won against Dinamo Zagreb?
Gorica has won 1 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dinamo Zagreb won against Gorica?
Dinamo Zagreb has won 7 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gorica - Dinamo Zagreb were as follows:
15.02.2025
Dinamo Zagreb
-
Gorica
3:1
09.11.2024
Gorica
-
Dinamo Zagreb
2:2
24.08.2024
Dinamo Zagreb
-
Gorica
2:1
13.04.2024
Gorica
-
Dinamo Zagreb
0:2
28.02.2024
Dinamo Zagreb
-
Gorica
4:0
Latest results of Dinamo Zagreb
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | D. Zagreb | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
2 | Lok. Zagreb | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
3 | Hajduk Split | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Rijeka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Slaven Belupo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Varazdin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Istra 1961 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Gorica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Vukovar 1991 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
10 | Osijek | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL