Result
0:2
01/12/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 15
- Referee: Erceg M. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 1.39 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (334/411) | 84% (355/422) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 1.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 1.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (334/411) | 84% (355/422) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (27/51) | 51% (22/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (82/123) | 77% (111/145) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (5/24) | 19% (4/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 1.44 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 48% (11/23) | 83% (15/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.88 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.87 | 0.88 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 10', Kavelj A. 🟨,
- 27', Perez Vinlof M. 🟨,
- 30', Cabraja M. 🟨,
- 34', 0 - 1, Bakrar M. ⚽, Zajc M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 60', Vrzic L. ↓, Pavicic D. ↑,
- 60', Beljo D. ↓, Topic F. ↑,
- 60', Zajc M. ↓, Stojkovic L. ↑,
- 60', Bennacer I. ↓, Ljubicic D. ↑,
- 61', Stojkovic L. 🟨,
- 67', Perez Vinlof M. ↓, Goda B. ↑,
- 75', Stojkovic L. 🟨,
- 76', Bakrar M. 🟨,
- 79', Kavelj A. ↓, Fiolic I. ↑,
- 79', Les M. ↓, Erceg A. ↑,
- 86', Bakic O. 🟨,
- 87', Bakic O. ↓, Gashi M. ↑,
- 88', Hoxha A. ↓, Soldo M. ↑,
- 90+2', 0 - 2, Soldo M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Gorica 14.7% | Draw 21.5% | Dinamo Zagreb 63.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Gorica - Dinamo Zagreb Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
6.31 ↓ (6.72) |
4.33 ↑ (4.31) |
1.45 (1.45) |
7.7% (7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Gorica - Dinamo Zagreb?
Users Predictions:
29 users predict this event. Gorica will win (votes: 5 - 17.2%). Dinamo Zagreb will win (votes: 20 - 69%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 13.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dinamo Zagreb: 52.2% – 85.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Dinamo Zagreb will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gorica won 2.
- Gorica is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Dinamo Zagreb has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Gorica may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Gorica has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Dinamo Zagreb is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Gorica: Pozo I.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Dinamo Zagreb: Bennacer I.
(Inactive)
Pierre-Gabriel R.
(Inactive)
Torrente R.
(Knee Injury)
Valincic M.
(Ankle Injury)
Zivkovic M.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gorica won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 13:36. (average 0.7:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gorica won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.7:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Gorica won against Dinamo Zagreb?
Gorica has won 3 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dinamo Zagreb won against Gorica?
Dinamo Zagreb has won 7 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gorica - Dinamo Zagreb were as follows:
14.09.2025
Dinamo Zagreb
-
Gorica
1:2
23.04.2025
Gorica
-
Dinamo Zagreb
1:0
15.02.2025
Dinamo Zagreb
-
Gorica
3:1
09.11.2024
Gorica
-
Dinamo Zagreb
2:2
24.08.2024
Dinamo Zagreb
-
Gorica
2:1
Latest results of Dinamo Zagreb
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Din. Zagreb | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 31:14 | 17 | 32 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 24:15 | 9 | 31 |
| 3 | Slaven Belupo | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24:23 | 1 | 25 |
| 4 | Varazdin | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21:20 | 1 | 23 |
| 5 | Istra 1961 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 20:20 | 0 | 23 |
| 6 | Rijeka | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 26:19 | 7 | 21 |
| 7 | Lok. Zagreb | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 19:25 | -6 | 19 |
| 8 | Gorica | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 20:25 | -5 | 18 |
| 9 | Osijek | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 15:25 | -10 | 12 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 16:30 | -14 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL