Result
1:3
16/08/2025 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 3
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.68 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (307/380) | 78% (299/381) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.68 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 1.32 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 12 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (307/380) | 78% (299/381) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (17/39) | 45% (25/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (55/83) | 62% (58/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/15) | 24% (6/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.69 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (10/18) | 64% (16/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.32 | 1.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.68 | 0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 6', Mbacke D. 🟨,
- 12', 1 - 0, Antolic D. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Cuic F. ↓, Erceg A. ↑,
- 52', 1 - 1, Prsir J. ⚽, Trontelj Z. (A),
- 56', 1 - 2, Pozo I. ⚽,
- 67', Subotic M. ↓, Vasilj J. ↑,
- 67', Godec N. ↓, Boune M. ↑,
- 67', Vukovic D. ↓, Huskic A. ↑,
- 75', Pozo I. ↓, Bakic O. ↑,
- 80', Krivak F. ↓, Susak M. ↑,
- 85', 1 - 3, Erceg A. ⚽, Bakic O. (A),
- 87', Pavicic D. ↓, Fiolic I. ↑,
- 88', Antolic D. ↓, Canjuga I. ↑,
- 90+4', Prsir J. ↓, Kucis S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lokomotiva Zagreb
47.2% | Draw
28.1% | Gorica
24.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lokomotiva Zagreb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Gorica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiva Zagreb than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gorica than the current prediction. (-1%)
Lokomotiva Zagreb - Gorica Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.98 ↑
(1.94) |
3.39 ↑
(3.33) |
3.92 ↑
(3.85) |
5.4%
(7.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Lokomotiva Zagreb - Gorica?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Lokomotiva will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Gorica will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lokomotiva: 35.9% – 97.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Lokomotiva (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiva won 4.
- Lokomotiva has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Gorica is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Gorica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Lokomotiva has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Lokomotiva is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Lokomotiva: Kolinger D.
(Red Card)
Zilinski F.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Gorica: Durakovic E.
(Red Card)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiva won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 32:22. (average 1.6:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiva won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:6. (average 1.5:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Lokomotiva Zagreb won against Gorica?
Lokomotiva Zagreb has won 7 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gorica won against Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Gorica has won 3 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lokomotiva Zagreb - Gorica were as follows:
24.05.2025
Gorica
-
Lokomotiva Zagreb
0:3
28.03.2025
Lokomotiva Zagreb
-
Gorica
1:1
10.01.2025
Lokomotiva Zagreb
-
Gorica
2:0
21.12.2024
Gorica
-
Lokomotiva Zagreb
1:4
05.10.2024
Lokomotiva Zagreb
-
Gorica
2:0
Latest results of Lokomotiva Zagreb
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | D. Zagreb | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:0 | 10 | 12 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 9 |
| 3 | Lok. Zagreb | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 4 | Gorica | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 5 |
| 5 | Rijeka | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | Slaven Belupo | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 |
| 7 | Varazdin | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
| 8 | Osijek | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 |
| 9 | Istra 1961 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 2 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
