Result
4:1
03/11/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 12
- Referee: Terzic A. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAX Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.92 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (182/257) | 86% (432/501) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.92 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.12 | 0.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (182/257) | 86% (432/501) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 26% (16/61) | 60% (29/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (29/52) | 71% (75/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (2/14) | 10% (3/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.53 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 80% (12/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.23 | 2.12 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.23 | -0.88 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 4', 1 - 0, Pozo I. ⚽,
- 6', 2 - 0, Stojakovic A. (Own goal),
- 8', 2 - 1, Matijas D. (Own goal),
- 17', Les M. 🟨,
- 21', Les M. ↓, Peric S. ↑,
- 33', 3 - 1, Prsir J. ⚽, Trontelj Z. (A),
- 40', Krivak F. ↓, Susak M. ↑,
- 43', Leovac M. ↓, Vesovic M. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Katic I. ↓, Antolic D. ↑,
- 46', Jukic T. ↓, Boskovic B. ↑,
- 63', Antolic D. 🟨,
- 72', Fiolic I. ↓, Bakic O. ↑,
- 73', Cuic F. 🟨,
- 73', Subotic M. ↓, Vasilj J. ↑,
- 77', 4 - 1, Bakic O. ⚽, Prsir J. (A),
- 84', Prsir J. ↓, Kucis S. ↑,
- 84', Cuic F. ↓, Gashi M. ↑,
- 90+2', Matijas D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Gorica
34.2% | Draw
28% | Lokomotiva Zagreb
37.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Gorica - Lokomotiva Zagreb Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.7 ↑
(2.22) |
3.36 ↑
(3.15) |
2.49 ↓
(3.1) |
7%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Gorica - Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Gorica will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%). Lokomotiva will win (votes: 10 - 52.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lokomotiva: 30.1% – 75.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Gorica (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gorica won 1.
- Gorica has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Lokomotiva has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Gorica has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Lokomotiva: Pajac M.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Lokomotiva: Boskovic B.
(Injury)
Boune M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gorica won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:31. (average 1.2:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gorica won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.6:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Gorica won against Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Gorica has won 4 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lokomotiva Zagreb won against Gorica?
Lokomotiva Zagreb has won 7 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gorica - Lokomotiva Zagreb were as follows:
16.08.2025
Lokomotiva Zagreb
-
Gorica
1:3
24.05.2025
Gorica
-
Lokomotiva Zagreb
0:3
28.03.2025
Lokomotiva Zagreb
-
Gorica
1:1
10.01.2025
Lokomotiva Zagreb
-
Gorica
2:0
21.12.2024
Gorica
-
Lokomotiva Zagreb
1:4
Latest results of Lokomotiva Zagreb
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Din. Zagreb | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 31:14 | 17 | 32 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 24:15 | 9 | 31 |
| 3 | Slaven Belupo | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24:23 | 1 | 25 |
| 4 | Varazdin | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21:20 | 1 | 23 |
| 5 | Istra 1961 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 20:20 | 0 | 23 |
| 6 | Rijeka | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 26:19 | 7 | 21 |
| 7 | Lok. Zagreb | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 19:25 | -6 | 19 |
| 8 | Gorica | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 20:25 | -5 | 18 |
| 9 | Osijek | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 15:25 | -10 | 12 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 16:30 | -14 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
