Result
3:0
06/02/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 21
- Referee: Lovric Z. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.39 | 3.37 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (183/260) | 84% (417/499) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.39 | 3.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.00 | 0.76 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (183/260) | 84% (417/499) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (22/55) | 37% (19/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 50% (34/68) | 66% (86/130) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (2/9) | 22% (8/36) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.26 | 1.54 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (3/6) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 46 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.76 | 3.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 12', 1 - 0, Pajac M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 17', Pozo I. 🟨,
- 22', 2 - 0, Boskovic B. ⚽,
- 44', Susak M. 🟨,
- 45+3', Prsir J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Fiolic I. ↓, Bogojevic B. ↑,
- 47', 3 - 0, Stojakovic A. ⚽, Susak M. (A),
- 55', Prsir J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 63', Pozo I. ↓, Sule W. ↑,
- 63', Filipovic J. ↓, Les M. ↑,
- 71', Cuic F. (Penalty Awarded),
- 72', Vrzic L. ↓, Pavicic D. ↑,
- 73', Subotic M. ↓, Katic I. ↑,
- 73', Kamenovic D. ↓, Jukic T. ↑,
- 82', Trontelj Z. ↓, Epailly T. ↑,
- 84', Susak M. ↓, Boune M. ↑,
- 90+5', Posavac F. ↓, Situm M. ↑,
- 90+5', Vukovic D. ↓, Dajcer L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lokomotiva Zagreb
42.2% | Draw
29.9% | Gorica
27.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lokomotiva Zagreb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)Gorica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiva Zagreb than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lokomotiva Zagreb, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gorica than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Lokomotiva Zagreb - Gorica Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.21 ↑
(1.98) |
3.13 ↓
(3.23) |
3.37 ↓
(3.6) |
6.8%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Lokomotiva Zagreb - Gorica?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Lokomotiva Zagreb will win
(13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lokomotiva Zagreb will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 and 8)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiva won 2.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- Recently, Gorica has had a series of home games.
- Lokomotiva might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiva won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:27. (average 1.5:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiva won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:9. (average 1.4:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Lokomotiva Zagreb won against Gorica?
Lokomotiva Zagreb has won 7 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gorica won against Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Gorica has won 5 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lokomotiva Zagreb - Gorica were as follows:
03.11.2025
Gorica
-
Lokomotiva Zagreb
4:1
16.08.2025
Lokomotiva Zagreb
-
Gorica
1:3
24.05.2025
Gorica
-
Lokomotiva Zagreb
0:3
28.03.2025
Lokomotiva Zagreb
-
Gorica
1:1
10.01.2025
Lokomotiva Zagreb
-
Gorica
2:0
Latest results of Lokomotiva Zagreb
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Din. Zagreb | 24 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 56:19 | 37 | 54 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 36:21 | 15 | 47 |
| 3 | Rijeka | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 36:25 | 11 | 35 |
| 4 | Slaven Belupo | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 33:36 | -3 | 34 |
| 5 | Varazdin | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 30:35 | -5 | 33 |
| 6 | Istra 1961 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:35 | -6 | 30 |
| 7 | Lok. Zagreb | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 29:37 | -8 | 29 |
| 8 | Gorica | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 27:36 | -9 | 26 |
| 9 | Osijek | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 21:36 | -15 | 20 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 26:43 | -17 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
