Result
2:1
05/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Rwanda | Magic Sports TV |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
Chances of winning
Gorilla
39.4% | Draw
33.7% | Musanze
26.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gorilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)Musanze has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Musanze might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gorilla than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gorilla that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Musanze than the current prediction. (+8.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Musanze could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Gorilla - Musanze Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.29 ↓
(2.6) |
2.68 ↓
(2.9) |
3.35 ↑
(2.62) |
10.9%
(11.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gorilla won 4.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Gorilla may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Gorilla won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 0.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gorilla won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Gorilla won against Musanze?
Gorilla has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Musanze won against Gorilla?
Musanze has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gorilla - Musanze were as follows:
28.12.2025
Musanze
-
Gorilla
0:1
16.02.2025
Gorilla
-
Musanze
1:0
21.12.2024
Musanze
-
Gorilla
1:0
21.04.2024
Gorilla
-
Musanze
1:0
02.12.2023
Musanze
-
Gorilla
0:1
Latest results of Gorilla
Latest results of Musanze
Rwanda Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al-Hilal Omdurman | 28 | 20 | 4 | 4 | 63:20 | 43 | 64 |
| 2 | APR | 29 | 15 | 11 | 3 | 41:22 | 19 | 56 |
| 3 | Al-Merreikh | 28 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 34:15 | 19 | 55 |
| 4 | Rayon Sport | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 34:26 | 8 | 48 |
| 5 | Police | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 27:18 | 9 | 45 |
| 6 | Kiyovu | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 30:19 | 11 | 44 |
| 7 | Mukura Victory Sports | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 30:32 | -2 | 41 |
| 8 | Bugesera | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 29:29 | 0 | 40 |
| 9 | Marines | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 36:35 | 1 | 38 |
| 10 | Musanze | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 33:32 | 1 | 37 |
| 11 | Gorilla | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 33 |
| 12 | Gicumbi | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 31:44 | -13 | 32 |
| 13 | Gasogi United | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 21:35 | -14 | 31 |
| 14 | AS Kigali | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 20:31 | -11 | 29 |
| 15 | Amagaju | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 16:34 | -18 | 28 |
| 16 | Etincelles | 29 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 20:31 | -11 | 27 |
| 17 | Rutsiro | 29 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 27:39 | -12 | 25 |
| 18 | Muhanga | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 19:40 | -21 | 24 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation
