Górnik Łęczna vs Polonia Warsaw – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
31/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 15
  • Referee: Sulikowski D. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1623
Shots on target
58
Corner Kicks
66
Yellow Cards
43
Total shots
1623
Shots on target
58
Shots off target
1115
Corner Kicks
66
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1212
Throw-ins
1515
Fouls
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 8', Dadok R. 🟨,
  • 11', 0 - 1, Dadok R. , Salihu H. (A),
  • 24', Kruk K. 🟨,
  • 25', Szczytniewski S. 🟨,
  • 28', 0 - 2, Wojciechowski O. ,
  • 33', 1 - 2, Spacil B. , Kryeziu E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 47', Salihu H. 🟨,
  • 72', Wojciechowski O. , Bajdur M. ,
  • 74', Kryeziu E. , Rafa Santos ,
  • 76', Vasin N. 🟨,
  • 81', Orlik K. 🟨,
  • 81', Dadok R. , Buksa A. ,
  • 85', Spacil B. , Traore S. ,
  • 85', Janaszek F. , Doba S. ,
  • 86', Bednarczyk J. 🟨,
  • 88', Vasin N. , Piotrowski B. ,

Chances of winning


Górnik Łęczna
29.2%
Draw
26.3%
Polonia Warsaw
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.7% 25.6% 46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7% 22.4% 40.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Górnik Łęczna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Polonia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Górnik Łęczna than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • Górnik Łęczna - Polonia Warsaw Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.14
    (3.34)
    3.51
    (3.62)
    2.08
    (1.98)
    8.5%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Górnik Łęczna - Polonia Warsaw?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Górnik Łęczna will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Polonia will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Polonia: 19%81%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • 1X2, 2nd Half - Polonia (2.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Polonia (2.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 5.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 6.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 7.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.25, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.75, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Polonia Warsaw will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Polonia (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 13).
    • In recent matches, Górnik Łęczna has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Polonia has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Polonia could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Górnik Łęczna won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Górnik Łęczna won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Górnik Łęczna - Polonia Warsaw were as follows:
    21.02.2025 Polonia Warsaw - Górnik Łęczna 2:1
    10.08.2024 Górnik Łęczna - Polonia Warsaw 3:1
    12.05.2024 Polonia Warsaw - Górnik Łęczna 0:2
    11.11.2023 Górnik Łęczna - Polonia Warsaw 0:0
    Latest results of Górnik Łęczna
    Latest results of Polonia Warsaw
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla26158358:253353
    2Slask Wroclaw26128650:401044
    3Chrobry Glogow26135838:251344
    4Grodzisk M26119644:38642
    5Polonia Warszawa26118742:37541
    6Ruch Chorzow26118740:36441
    7Wieczysta Krakow25117752:381440
    8Legnica26116944:44039
    9S. Rzeszow26116940:41-139
    10LKS Lodz26108838:38038
    11Polonia Bytom25106939:32736
    12Puszcza26811735:32335
    13Odra Opole26710926:33-731
    14Pogon Siedlce26791027:30-330
    15Stal Mielec26651535:51-1623
    16Leczna263111230:46-1620
    17Pruszkow26551628:52-2420
    18Tychy26361731:59-2815

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2