Górnik Łęczna vs Polonia Warsaw – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
31/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 15
  • Referee: Sulikowski D. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1623
Shots on target
58
Corner Kicks
66
Yellow Cards
43
Total shots
1623
Shots on target
58
Shots off target
1115
Corner Kicks
66
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1212
Throw-ins
1515
Fouls
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 8', Dadok R. 🟨,
  • 11', 0 - 1, Dadok R. , Salihu H. (A),
  • 24', Kruk K. 🟨,
  • 25', Szczytniewski S. 🟨,
  • 28', 0 - 2, Wojciechowski O. ,
  • 33', 1 - 2, Spacil B. , Kryeziu E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 47', Salihu H. 🟨,
  • 72', Wojciechowski O. , Bajdur M. ,
  • 74', Kryeziu E. , Rafa Santos ,
  • 76', Vasin N. 🟨,
  • 81', Orlik K. 🟨,
  • 81', Dadok R. , Buksa A. ,
  • 85', Spacil B. , Traore S. ,
  • 85', Janaszek F. , Doba S. ,
  • 86', Bednarczyk J. 🟨,
  • 88', Vasin N. , Piotrowski B. ,

Chances of winning


Górnik Łęczna
29.2%
Draw
26.3%
Polonia Warsaw
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.7% 25.6% 46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7% 22.4% 40.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Górnik Łęczna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Polonia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Górnik Łęczna than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • Górnik Łęczna - Polonia Warsaw Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.14
    (3.34)
    3.51
    (3.62)
    2.08
    (1.98)
    8.5%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Górnik Łęczna - Polonia Warsaw?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Górnik Łęczna will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Polonia will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Polonia: 19%81%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • 1X2, 2nd Half - Polonia (2.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Polonia (2.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 5.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 6.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 7.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.25, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.75, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Polonia Warsaw will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Polonia (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 13).
    • In recent matches, Górnik Łęczna has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Polonia has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Polonia could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Górnik Łęczna won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Górnik Łęczna won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Górnik Łęczna - Polonia Warsaw were as follows:
    21.02.2025 Polonia Warsaw - Górnik Łęczna 2:1
    10.08.2024 Górnik Łęczna - Polonia Warsaw 3:1
    12.05.2024 Polonia Warsaw - Górnik Łęczna 0:2
    11.11.2023 Górnik Łęczna - Polonia Warsaw 0:0
    Latest results of Górnik Łęczna
    Latest results of Polonia Warsaw
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla28169362:283457
    2Slask Wroclaw28148655:401550
    3Chrobry Glogow28136939:271245
    4Wieczysta Krakow27127854:401443
    5Legnica28127947:46143
    6Grodzisk M27119745:40542
    7Ruch Chorzow28119841:39242
    8LKS Lodz27118840:38241
    9Polonia Warszawa28118943:43041
    10S. Rzeszow281161141:45-439
    11Polonia Bytom27108941:34738
    12Puszcza28911837:34338
    13Odra Opole28910928:33-537
    14Pogon Siedlce28791227:32-530
    15Stal Mielec28851540:53-1329
    16Leczna284111333:49-1623
    17Pruszkow28651730:54-2423
    18Tychy28461832:60-2818

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2