Warta Poznań vs Górnik Łęczna – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
11/04/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 28
  • Referee: Horozaniecki P. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport

Match Stats

Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1313
Shots on target
66
Corner Kicks
49
Yellow Cards
32
Total shots
1313
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
61
Blocked Shots
16
Corner Kicks
49
Offsides
33
Fouls
1614
Goalkeeper Saves
46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 14', Kryeziu E. 🟨,
  • 26', 0 - 1, Warchol D. , Banaszak P. (A),
  • 26', Kajzer D. 🟨,
  • 34', Kielb J. , Gryszkiewicz A. ,
  • 45+1', Gryszkiewicz A. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Deja A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 61', 0 - 2, De Amo J. , Barauskas D. (A),
  • 61', Drzazga K. , Rajsel N. ,
  • 61', Tkachuk Y. , Kopczynski M. ,
  • 63', Orlik K. , Spacil B. ,
  • 63', Kryeziu E. , Zyra P. ,
  • 69', Markov I. , Bartkowski J. ,
  • 69', Zurawski M. , Feliks M. ,
  • 76', Warchol D. , Oduko O. ,
  • 77', Janaszek F. , Malamis P. ,
  • 81', Feliks M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Warta Poznań
35.8%
Draw
31.1%
Górnik Łęczna
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.4% 31% 31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37% 30.7% 31.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Warta Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Górnik Łęczna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Łęczna than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • Warta Poznań - Górnik Łęczna Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.6
    (2.48)
    2.96
    (2.99)
    2.86
    (2.94)
    7.2%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Warta Poznań - Górnik Łęczna?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Warta will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Górnik Łęczna will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Górnik Łęczna: 15.4%84.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Górnik Łęczna (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Górnik Łęczna (1.87) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Górnik Łęczna (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 8).
    • Warta has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Górnik Łęczna is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Warta won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:3 (average 1.8:0.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Warta won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Warta Poznań - Górnik Łęczna were as follows:
    28.09.2024 Górnik Łęczna - Warta Poznań 1:1
    Latest results of Warta Poznań
    Latest results of Górnik Łęczna
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla26158358:253353
    2Slask Wroclaw26128650:401044
    3Chrobry Glogow26135838:251344
    4Grodzisk M26119644:38642
    5Polonia Warszawa26118742:37541
    6Ruch Chorzow26118740:36441
    7Wieczysta Krakow25117752:381440
    8Legnica26116944:44039
    9S. Rzeszow26116940:41-139
    10LKS Lodz26108838:38038
    11Polonia Bytom25106939:32736
    12Puszcza26811735:32335
    13Odra Opole26710926:33-731
    14Pogon Siedlce26791027:30-330
    15Stal Mielec26651535:51-1623
    16Leczna263111230:46-1620
    17Pruszkow26551628:52-2420
    18Tychy26361731:59-2815

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2