Warta Poznań vs Górnik Łęczna – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
11/04/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 28
  • Referee: Horozaniecki P. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport

Match Stats

Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1313
Shots on target
66
Corner Kicks
49
Yellow Cards
32
Total shots
1313
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
61
Blocked Shots
16
Corner Kicks
49
Offsides
33
Fouls
1614
Goalkeeper Saves
46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 14', Kryeziu E. 🟨,
  • 26', 0 - 1, Warchol D. , Banaszak P. (A),
  • 26', Kajzer D. 🟨,
  • 34', Kielb J. , Gryszkiewicz A. ,
  • 45+1', Gryszkiewicz A. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Deja A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 61', 0 - 2, De Amo J. , Barauskas D. (A),
  • 61', Drzazga K. , Rajsel N. ,
  • 61', Tkachuk Y. , Kopczynski M. ,
  • 63', Orlik K. , Spacil B. ,
  • 63', Kryeziu E. , Zyra P. ,
  • 69', Markov I. , Bartkowski J. ,
  • 69', Zurawski M. , Feliks M. ,
  • 76', Warchol D. , Oduko O. ,
  • 77', Janaszek F. , Malamis P. ,
  • 81', Feliks M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Warta Poznań
35.8%
Draw
31.1%
Górnik Łęczna
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.4% 31% 31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37% 30.7% 31.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Warta Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Górnik Łęczna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Łęczna than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • Warta Poznań - Górnik Łęczna Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.6
    (2.48)
    2.96
    (2.99)
    2.86
    (2.94)
    7.2%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Warta Poznań - Górnik Łęczna?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Warta will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Górnik Łęczna will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Górnik Łęczna: 15.4%84.6%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Górnik Łęczna (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Górnik Łęczna (1.87) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Górnik Łęczna (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 8).
    • Warta has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Górnik Łęczna is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Warta won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:3 (average 1.8:0.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Warta won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Warta Poznań - Górnik Łęczna were as follows:
    28.09.2024 Górnik Łęczna - Warta Poznań 1:1
    Latest results of Warta Poznań
    Latest results of Górnik Łęczna
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla311711367:323562
    2Slask Wroclaw31169664:442057
    3Wieczysta Krakow31158864:442053
    4Chrobry Glogow311561044:311351
    5LKS Lodz30138948:42647
    6Ruch Chorzow311211846:42447
    7Polonia Warszawa311381048:46247
    8Legnica311371148:50-246
    9Puszcza311112842:37545
    10Polonia Bytom311281150:42844
    11Grodzisk M301110948:48043
    12S. Rzeszow311161443:51-839
    13Odra Opole319111128:37-938
    14Pogon Siedlce31991331:36-536
    15Stal Mielec31851843:59-1629
    16Leczna315121437:55-1827
    17Pruszkow31671834:59-2525
    18Tychy31562037:67-3021

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2