AKM vs Gornyak-UGMK – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey VHL AKM - Gornyak-UGMK
Result
1:4
11/01/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • RUSSIA: VHL

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 1)
  • 06:36, 1 - 0, Petrov G. (G), Vinogradov A. (A), Loktev A. (A2)
  • 09:01, 1 - 1, Gordin A. (G), Khremkin K. (A),
  • 2nd Period (0 - 2)
  • 01:02, 1 - 2, Grishakov A. (G), Zaitsev O. (A), Valitov D. (A2)
  • 16:29, 1 - 3, Alexeyev Y. (G), Dumchenko N. (A), Makhrin M. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (0 - 1)
  • 12:11, 1 - 4, Grishakov A. (G), Gordin A. (A),

Official Live

Chances of winning


AKM
48.8%
Draw
22%
Gornyak-UGMK
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49% 22% 29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4% 24.4% 26.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AKM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Gornyak-UGMK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AKM than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AKM, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gornyak-UGMK than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • AKM - Gornyak-UGMK Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (1.91)
    4.25
    (4.25)
    3.21
    (3.23)
    6.8%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches AKM won 2.
    • Recent matches AKM is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Gornyak-UGMK is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • AKM could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • AKM will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 8 head-to-head matches AKM won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 23:21 (average 2.9:2.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams AKM won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:9 (average 2.3:3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between AKM - Gornyak-UGMK were as follows:
    10.11.2024 Gornyak-UGMK - AKM 1:7
    31.01.2024 Gornyak-UGMK - AKM 1:0
    22.09.2023 AKM - Gornyak-UGMK 2:5
    26.08.2023 Gornyak-UGMK - AKM 2:3
    10.01.2023 AKM - Gornyak-UGMK 2:3 pen.
    Latest results of AKM
    28.12.2024 Kristall Saratov - AKM 2:1
    26.12.2024 CSK VVS Samara - AKM 1:5
    24.12.2024 Dizel Penza - AKM 1:4
    21.12.2024 AKM - Rubin Tyumen 0:1
    Latest results of Gornyak-UGMK
    09.01.2025 Khimik - Gornyak-UGMK 4:3
    07.01.2025 Ryazan - Gornyak-UGMK 3:5
    23.12.2024 Gornyak-UGMK - Izhstal 5:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Khimik (5)Kurgan (12)4 : 3
    2Rubin Tyumen (3)SKA-VMF St. Petersburg (14)2 : 4
    3HC Yugra (6)Ryazan (11)4 : 1
    4Gornyak (4)HK Norilsk (13)2 : 4
    5Dinamo St. Petersburg (2)Buran Voronezh (15)4 : 3
    6Metallurg Novokuznetsk (1)Magnitka Magnitogorsk (16)3 : 4
    7Torpedo Gorky (7)Zvezda Moscow (10)4 : 3
    8Chelmet Chelyabinsk (8)Perm (9)4 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Khimik (5)SKA-VMF St. Petersburg (14)4 : 1
    2HC Yugra (6)HK Norilsk (13)4 : 0
    3Dinamo St. Petersburg (2)Magnitka Magnitogorsk (16)4 : 2
    4Torpedo Gorky (7)Chelmet Chelyabinsk (8)4 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Khimik (5)HC Yugra (6)4 : 1
    2Dinamo St. Petersburg (2)Torpedo Gorky (7)3 : 4

    Final
    1Khimik (5)Torpedo Gorky (7)2 : 4