Result
3:4
19/02/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 2)
- 11:37, 0 - 1, Tarasov M. (G), Nekrasov N. (A),
- 11:48, 0 - 2, Nekrasov N. (Penalty Shot),
- 2nd Period (1 - 1)
- 06:01, 0 - 3, Khremkin K. (G),
- 13:16, 1 - 3, Marin M. (G), Smirnov N. (A),
- 3rd Period (2 - 1)
- 06:27, 2 - 3, Manukyan A. (G), Kolmagorov K. (A),
- 15:42, 2 - 4, Lukhovskoy N. (G), Makhrin M. (A), Trofimov Y. (A2)
- 16:23, 3 - 4, Smirnov N. (G), Minnekhanov T. (A),
Chances of winning
Chelny 28.3% | Draw 23.1% | Gornyak-UGMK 48.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chelny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Gornyak-UGMK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelny than the current prediction. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gornyak-UGMK than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gornyak-UGMK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Chelny - Gornyak-UGMK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.27 ↓ (3.54) |
4.01 ↓ (4.08) |
1.9 ↑ (1.79) |
8.1% (8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 4.75
What is the prediction for Chelny - Gornyak-UGMK?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Gornyak-UGMK (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
Preview Facts
- Chelny has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Gornyak-UGMK is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Gornyak-UGMK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Chelny has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Gornyak-UGMK is the team to beat.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelny won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 2.2:3.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Chelny won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 3.5:3).
How many head-to-head matches has Chelny won against Gornyak-UGMK?
Chelny has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gornyak-UGMK won against Chelny?
Gornyak-UGMK has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chelny - Gornyak-UGMK were as follows:
03.10.2025
Gornyak-UGMK
-
Chelny
5:0
11.12.2024
Chelny
-
Gornyak-UGMK
2:5
01.12.2024
Gornyak-UGMK
-
Chelny
2:3
18.02.2024
Chelny
-
Gornyak-UGMK
5:1
10.09.2023
Gornyak-UGMK
-
Chelny
3:1
Latest results of Gornyak-UGMK
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Metallurg Novokuznetsk (1) | CSK VVS (16) | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Gornyak (8) | Perm (9) | |
| 3 | Khimik (4) | Izhevsk (13) | |
| 4 | Magnitka Magnitogorsk (5) | Torpedo Gorky (12) | 1 : 0 |
| 5 | HC Yugra (2) | Bars (15) | |
| 6 | Omskie Krylia (7) | Chelmet Chelyabinsk (10) | 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Almetyevsk (3) | Dizel (14) | |
| 8 | Ryazan (6) | Rubin Tyumen (11) | |