Chelny vs Gornyak-UGMK – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:4
19/02/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • VHL

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 2)
  • 11:37, 0 - 1, Tarasov M. (G), Nekrasov N. (A),
  • 11:48, 0 - 2, Nekrasov N. (Penalty Shot),
  • 2nd Period (1 - 1)
  • 06:01, 0 - 3, Khremkin K. (G),
  • 13:16, 1 - 3, Marin M. (G), Smirnov N. (A),
  • 3rd Period (2 - 1)
  • 06:27, 2 - 3, Manukyan A. (G), Kolmagorov K. (A),
  • 15:42, 2 - 4, Lukhovskoy N. (G), Makhrin M. (A), Trofimov Y. (A2)
  • 16:23, 3 - 4, Smirnov N. (G), Minnekhanov T. (A),

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Chelny
28.3%
Draw
23.1%
Gornyak-UGMK
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26% 22.6% 51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5% 24% 54.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chelny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Gornyak-UGMK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelny than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gornyak-UGMK than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gornyak-UGMK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Chelny - Gornyak-UGMK Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.27
    (3.54)
    4.01
    (4.08)
    1.9
    (1.79)
    8.1%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 4.75
    What is the prediction for Chelny - Gornyak-UGMK?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Gornyak-UGMK (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • Chelny has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Gornyak-UGMK is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Gornyak-UGMK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Chelny has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Gornyak-UGMK is the team to beat.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelny won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 2.2:3.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chelny won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 3.5:3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chelny - Gornyak-UGMK were as follows:
    03.10.2025 Gornyak-UGMK - Chelny 5:0
    11.12.2024 Chelny - Gornyak-UGMK 2:5
    01.12.2024 Gornyak-UGMK - Chelny 2:3
    18.02.2024 Chelny - Gornyak-UGMK 5:1
    10.09.2023 Gornyak-UGMK - Chelny 3:1
    Latest results of Chelny
    13.02.2026 Molot Perm - Chelny 2:1
    11.02.2026 Toros Neftekamsk - Chelny 3:2
    09.02.2026 Izhstal - Chelny 1:2
    05.02.2026 Chelny - Kristall Saratov 1:2
    Latest results of Gornyak-UGMK
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Metallurg Novokuznetsk (1)CSK VVS (16)1 : 0
    2Gornyak (8)Perm (9)
    3Khimik (4)Izhevsk (13)
    4Magnitka Magnitogorsk (5)Torpedo Gorky (12)1 : 0
    5HC Yugra (2)Bars (15)
    6Omskie Krylia (7)Chelmet Chelyabinsk (10)0 : 1
    7Almetyevsk (3)Dizel (14)
    8Ryazan (6)Rubin Tyumen (11)