Result
2:3
28/02/2026 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 2nd Period (2 - 1)
- 00:43, 0 - 1, Andriyanov A. (G), Popov D. (A), Pochivalov D. (A2)
- 05:06, 1 - 1, Kashtanov A. (G), Miller N. (A), Sushchev V. (A2)
- 15:29, 2 - 1, Ovchinnikov I. (G),
- 3rd Period (0 - 2)
- 02:06, 2 - 2, Pochivalov D. (G), Pogorishny O. (A), Popov D. (A2)
- 03:39, 2 - 3, Andriyanov A. (G), Popov D. (A),
Chances of winning
Gornyak-UGMK
39.7% | Draw
24.9% | Dizel Penza
35.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gornyak-UGMK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Dizel Penza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gornyak-UGMK than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dizel Penza than the current prediction. (+1%)
Gornyak-UGMK - Dizel Penza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.36 ↑
(2.34) |
3.75 ↓
(3.8) |
2.64 ↑
(2.63) |
7%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 4.25
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gornyak-UGMK won 3.
- Gornyak-UGMK is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Dizel has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Dizel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Dizel has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- We predict that Gornyak-UGMK will win today's game, with odds of 2.34.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Gornyak-UGMK won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 39:35. (average 2.4:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gornyak-UGMK won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 2.3:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Gornyak-UGMK won against Dizel Penza?
Gornyak-UGMK has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dizel Penza won against Gornyak-UGMK?
Dizel Penza has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gornyak-UGMK - Dizel Penza were as follows:
22.09.2025
Dizel Penza
-
Gornyak-UGMK
3:1
17.02.2025
Dizel Penza
-
Gornyak-UGMK
3:2
06.10.2024
Gornyak-UGMK
-
Dizel Penza
4:0
30.11.2023
Dizel Penza
-
Gornyak-UGMK
0:2
20.11.2023
Gornyak-UGMK
-
Dizel Penza
4:3
Latest results of Gornyak-UGMK
Latest results of Dizel Penza
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Metallurg Novokuznetsk (1) | CSK VVS (16) | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Gornyak (8) | Perm (9) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Khimik (4) | Izhevsk (13) | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Magnitka Magnitogorsk (5) | Torpedo Gorky (12) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | HC Yugra (2) | Bars (15) | 1 : 0 |
| 6 | Omskie Krylia (7) | Chelmet Chelyabinsk (10) | 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Almetyevsk (3) | Dizel (14) | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Ryazan (6) | Rubin Tyumen (11) | 1 : 0 |
