Gornyak-UGMK vs Dizel Penza – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/02/2026 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Ledovaya Arena A. Kozitsyna (Verkhnyaya Pyshma).

VHL

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
00:43, 0 - 1, Andriyanov A. (G), Popov D. (A), Pochivalov D. (A2)
05:06, 1 - 1, Kashtanov A. (G), Miller N. (A), Sushchev V. (A2)
15:29, 2 - 1, Ovchinnikov I. (G),
3rd Period (0 - 2)
02:06, 2 - 2, Pochivalov D. (G), Pogorishny O. (A), Popov D. (A2)
03:39, 2 - 3, Andriyanov A. (G), Popov D. (A),

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning

Gornyak-UGMK
39.7%

Draw
24.9%

Dizel Penza
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

24.6%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

25.2%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gornyak-UGMK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Dizel Penza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gornyak-UGMK than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dizel Penza than the current prediction. (+1%)

Gornyak-UGMK - Dizel Penza Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.34)	3.75 ↓ (3.8)	2.64 ↑ (2.63)	7% (7.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gornyak-UGMK won 3.
Gornyak-UGMK is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Dizel has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Dizel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Dizel has had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
We predict that Gornyak-UGMK will win today's game, with odds of 2.34.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Gornyak-UGMK won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 39:35. (average 2.4:2.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Gornyak-UGMK won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 2.3:2.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Gornyak-UGMK won against Dizel Penza?

Gornyak-UGMK has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Dizel Penza won against Gornyak-UGMK?

Dizel Penza has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Gornyak-UGMK - Dizel Penza were as follows:

22.09.2025 Dizel Penza - Gornyak-UGMK 3:1

17.02.2025 Dizel Penza - Gornyak-UGMK 3:2

06.10.2024 Gornyak-UGMK - Dizel Penza 4:0

30.11.2023 Dizel Penza - Gornyak-UGMK 0:2

20.11.2023 Gornyak-UGMK - Dizel Penza 4:3

Latest results of Gornyak-UGMK

26.02.2026 Gornyak-UGMK - Ryazan 2:1 ✺

24.02.2026 Gornyak-UGMK - AKM 4:2 ✺

19.02.2026 Chelny - Gornyak-UGMK 3:4 ✺

17.02.2026 Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Gornyak-UGMK 2:3 ✺

15.02.2026 CSK VVS Samara - Gornyak-UGMK 5:0 ✺

Latest results of Dizel Penza

24.02.2026 Dizel Penza - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk 3:0 ✺

22.02.2026 Dizel Penza - Molot Perm 1:4 ✺

20.02.2026 Dizel Penza - Toros Neftekamsk 1:2 ✺

18.02.2026 Dizel Penza - Izhstal 2:3 ✺

10.02.2026 Ryazan - Dizel Penza 2:3 ✺

VHL Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Metallurg Novokuznetsk ✔	57	35	11	4	7	201:125	96
2	HC Yugra ✔	56	34	8	6	8	152:87	90
3	Almetyevsk ✔	55	31	6	9	9	196:111	83
4	Khimik	55	29	5	7	14	163:114	75
5	Magnitka Magnitogorsk	55	24	8	8	15	164:123	72
6	Ryazan	56	26	7	5	18	149:131	71
7	Omskie Krylia	57	27	7	3	20	150:124	71
8	Gornyak	57	23	9	7	18	165:138	71
9	Dizel	56	26	5	8	17	142:124	70
10	Perm	55	20	12	5	18	133:139	69
11	CSK VVS	55	23	8	7	17	154:127	69
12	Chelmet Chelyabinsk	56	26	5	7	18	158:147	69
13	Izhevsk	55	28	3	6	18	139:122	68
14	Torpedo Gorky	56	23	8	6	19	158:126	68
15	Krasnoyarsk	57	18	11	8	20	134:138	66
16	Rubin Tyumen	56	18	12	6	20	136:127	66
17	Bars	56	23	4	12	17	119:126	66
18	Toros Neftekamsk	55	21	6	8	20	127:137	62
19	Kurgan	56	19	7	7	23	130:132	59
20	Dinamo St. Petersburg	56	21	5	6	24	148:145	58
21	AKM	57	12	13	7	25	128:159	57
22	Zvezda Moscow	54	22	4	5	23	119:125	57
23	SKA-VMF St. Petersburg	57	20	4	7	26	111:145	55
24	Tambov	56	17	7	6	26	136:152	54
25	Orsk	54	17	3	9	25	90:143	49
26	Buran Voronezh	58	15	6	7	30	124:172	49
27	Olympia	55	12	8	9	26	95:144	49
28	Dyn. Altay	58	12	7	10	29	122:178	48
29	Kristall Saratov	55	17	3	6	29	120:154	46
30	HK Norilsk	57	14	5	5	33	113:159	43
31	HC Rostov	57	12	4	9	32	113:168	41
32	Chelny	55	12	7	3	33	125:172	41

Promotion ~ VHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

Clinched Spots for Teams

Metallurg Novokuznetsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
HC Yugra is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Almetyevsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)