Result
3:2 penalties
21/12/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 2nd Period (0 - 1)
- 05:31, 0 - 1, Lukin K. (G), Solovyov D. (A),
- 3rd Period (2 - 1)
- 04:54, 0 - 2, Kuzmin G. (G), Lukyantsev S. (A),
- 10:19, 1 - 2, Gordin A. (G), Filyayev V. (A), Shchuchinov A. (A2)
- 10:40, 2 - 2, Ovchinnikov I. (G),
- Overtime (0 - 0)
- Penalties (3 - 2)
- 1, Krovyakov M. (Penalty Shot),
- 1, Makhrin M. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Kuzmin G. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Gordin A. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Yarovoi S. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Demidovich V. (Penalty Shot),
- 4, Filin Y. (Penalty Shot),
- 4, Chernikov Y. (Penalty Shot),
- 5, Tkachenko P. (Penalty Shot),
- 5, Miller N. (Penalty Shot),
- 6, Chernikov Y. (Penalty Shot),
- 6, Lukyantsev S. (Penalty Shot),
- 7, Makhrin M. (Penalty Shot),
- 7, Krovyakov M. (Penalty Shot),
Chances of winning
Gornyak-UGMK
35.9% | Draw
23.8% | Khimik
40.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gornyak-UGMK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)Khimik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Khimik's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gornyak-UGMK than the current prediction. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Khimik than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Khimik, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Gornyak-UGMK - Khimik Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.6 ↑
(2.33) |
3.92 ↑
(3.7) |
2.32 ↓
(2.65) |
7.1%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gornyak-UGMK won 2.
- Gornyak-UGMK has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Khimik's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Khimik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Khimik has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Gornyak-UGMK won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 38:46. (average 2.4:2.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gornyak-UGMK won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:25. (average 2.1:3.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Gornyak-UGMK won against Khimik?
Gornyak-UGMK has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Khimik won against Gornyak-UGMK?
Khimik has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gornyak-UGMK - Khimik were as follows:
21.11.2025
Khimik
-
Gornyak-UGMK
4:5
09.01.2025
Khimik
-
Gornyak-UGMK
4:3
08.11.2024
Gornyak-UGMK
-
Khimik
2:3
14.01.2024
Gornyak-UGMK
-
Khimik
2:1
05.10.2023
Khimik
-
Gornyak-UGMK
4:0
Latest results of Gornyak-UGMK
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Metallurg Novokuznetsk (1) | CSK VVS (16) | 3 : 2 |
| 2 | Gornyak (8) | Perm (9) | 3 : 2 |
| 3 | Khimik (4) | Izhevsk (13) | 4 : 1 |
| 4 | Magnitka Magnitogorsk (5) | Torpedo Gorky (12) | 4 : 0 |
| 5 | HC Yugra (2) | Bars (15) | 4 : 1 |
| 6 | Omskie Krylia (7) | Chelmet Chelyabinsk (10) | 3 : 2 |
| 7 | Almetyevsk (3) | Dizel (14) | 3 : 2 |
| 8 | Ryazan (6) | Rubin Tyumen (11) | 3 : 2 |
