Result
3:2 penalties
21/12/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 2nd Period (0 - 1)
- 05:31, 0 - 1, Lukin K. (G), Solovyov D. (A),
- 3rd Period (2 - 1)
- 04:54, 0 - 2, Kuzmin G. (G), Lukyantsev S. (A),
- 10:19, 1 - 2, Gordin A. (G), Filyayev V. (A), Shchuchinov A. (A2)
- 10:40, 2 - 2, Ovchinnikov I. (G),
- Overtime (0 - 0)
- Penalties (3 - 2)
- 1, Krovyakov M. (Penalty Shot),
- 1, Makhrin M. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Kuzmin G. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Gordin A. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Yarovoi S. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Demidovich V. (Penalty Shot),
- 4, Filin Y. (Penalty Shot),
- 4, Chernikov Y. (Penalty Shot),
- 5, Tkachenko P. (Penalty Shot),
- 5, Miller N. (Penalty Shot),
- 6, Chernikov Y. (Penalty Shot),
- 6, Lukyantsev S. (Penalty Shot),
- 7, Makhrin M. (Penalty Shot),
- 7, Krovyakov M. (Penalty Shot),
Chances of winning
Gornyak-UGMK
35.9% | Draw
23.8% | Khimik
40.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gornyak-UGMK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)Khimik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Khimik's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gornyak-UGMK than the current prediction. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Khimik than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Khimik, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Gornyak-UGMK - Khimik Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.6 ↑
(2.33) |
3.92 ↑
(3.7) |
2.32 ↓
(2.65) |
7.1%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gornyak-UGMK won 2.
- Gornyak-UGMK has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Khimik's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Khimik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Khimik has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Gornyak-UGMK won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 38:46. (average 2.4:2.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gornyak-UGMK won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:25. (average 2.1:3.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Gornyak-UGMK won against Khimik?
Gornyak-UGMK has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Khimik won against Gornyak-UGMK?
Khimik has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gornyak-UGMK - Khimik were as follows:
21.11.2025
Khimik
-
Gornyak-UGMK
4:5
09.01.2025
Khimik
-
Gornyak-UGMK
4:3
08.11.2024
Gornyak-UGMK
-
Khimik
2:3
14.01.2024
Gornyak-UGMK
-
Khimik
2:1
05.10.2023
Khimik
-
Gornyak-UGMK
4:0
Latest results of Gornyak-UGMK
VHL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Metallurg Novokuznetsk ✔ | 60 | 38 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 215:128 | 102 |
| 2 | HC Yugra ✔ | 60 | 38 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 174:90 | 98 |
| 3 | Almetyevsk ✔ | 59 | 34 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 215:123 | 91 |
| 4 | Khimik ✔ | 60 | 33 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 176:120 | 83 |
| 5 | Ryazan ✔ | 60 | 28 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 157:136 | 77 |
| 6 | Magnitka Magnitogorsk ✔ | 59 | 25 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 171:132 | 76 |
| 7 | Chelmet Chelyabinsk | 59 | 29 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 172:156 | 75 |
| 8 | Gornyak | 59 | 25 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 176:142 | 75 |
| 9 | Izhevsk ✔ | 59 | 31 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 152:132 | 74 |
| 10 | Torpedo Gorky | 61 | 24 | 10 | 6 | 21 | 170:138 | 74 |
| 11 | Omskie Krylia | 59 | 28 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 156:125 | 74 |
| 12 | Dizel | 60 | 27 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 149:136 | 72 |
| 13 | Krasnoyarsk | 61 | 21 | 11 | 8 | 21 | 144:144 | 72 |
| 14 | Perm | 59 | 21 | 12 | 6 | 20 | 138:148 | 72 |
| 15 | CSK VVS | 59 | 24 | 8 | 7 | 20 | 160:139 | 71 |
| 16 | Rubin Tyumen | 59 | 19 | 13 | 7 | 20 | 145:133 | 71 |
| 17 | Bars | 60 | 23 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 125:136 | 69 |
| 18 | Toros Neftekamsk | 59 | 22 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 134:145 | 64 |
| 19 | Zvezda Moscow | 59 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 134:139 | 62 |
| 20 | Kurgan | 59 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 134:143 | 61 |
| 21 | Dinamo St. Petersburg | 59 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 26 | 152:160 | 60 |
| 22 | AKM | 61 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 27 | 136:169 | 60 |
| 23 | SKA-VMF St. Petersburg | 60 | 21 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 118:151 | 58 |
| 24 | Tambov | 60 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 144:167 | 56 |
| 25 | Olympia | 59 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 27 | 103:150 | 55 |
| 26 | Orsk | 59 | 18 | 3 | 9 | 29 | 97:159 | 51 |
| 27 | Buran Voronezh | 61 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 32 | 128:177 | 51 |
| 28 | Kristall Saratov | 59 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 133:168 | 50 |
| 29 | Dyn. Altay | 61 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 31 | 128:190 | 49 |
| 30 | HK Norilsk | 60 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 34 | 117:163 | 47 |
| 31 | Chelny | 59 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 35 | 131:186 | 44 |
| 32 | HC Rostov | 60 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 34 | 117:176 | 43 |
Promotion ~ VHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Metallurg Novokuznetsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
HC Yugra is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Almetyevsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Khimik is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Ryazan is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Magnitka Magnitogorsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Izhevsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
