Result
3:2 penalties
21/12/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 2nd Period (0 - 1)
- 05:31, 0 - 1, Lukin K. (G), Solovyov D. (A),
- 3rd Period (2 - 1)
- 04:54, 0 - 2, Kuzmin G. (G), Lukyantsev S. (A),
- 10:19, 1 - 2, Gordin A. (G), Filyayev V. (A), Shchuchinov A. (A2)
- 10:40, 2 - 2, Ovchinnikov I. (G),
- Overtime (0 - 0)
- Penalties (3 - 2)
- 1, Krovyakov M. (Penalty Shot),
- 1, Makhrin M. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Kuzmin G. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Gordin A. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Yarovoi S. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Demidovich V. (Penalty Shot),
- 4, Filin Y. (Penalty Shot),
- 4, Chernikov Y. (Penalty Shot),
- 5, Tkachenko P. (Penalty Shot),
- 5, Miller N. (Penalty Shot),
- 6, Chernikov Y. (Penalty Shot),
- 6, Lukyantsev S. (Penalty Shot),
- 7, Makhrin M. (Penalty Shot),
- 7, Krovyakov M. (Penalty Shot),
Chances of winning
Gornyak-UGMK
35.9% | Draw
23.8% | Khimik
40.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gornyak-UGMK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)Khimik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Khimik's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gornyak-UGMK than the current prediction. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Khimik than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Khimik, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Gornyak-UGMK - Khimik Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.6 ↑
(2.33) |
3.92 ↑
(3.7) |
2.32 ↓
(2.65) |
7.1%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gornyak-UGMK won 2.
- Gornyak-UGMK has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Khimik's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Khimik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Khimik has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Gornyak-UGMK won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 38:46. (average 2.4:2.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gornyak-UGMK won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:25. (average 2.1:3.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Gornyak-UGMK won against Khimik?
Gornyak-UGMK has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Khimik won against Gornyak-UGMK?
Khimik has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gornyak-UGMK - Khimik were as follows:
21.11.2025
Khimik
-
Gornyak-UGMK
4:5
09.01.2025
Khimik
-
Gornyak-UGMK
4:3
08.11.2024
Gornyak-UGMK
-
Khimik
2:3
14.01.2024
Gornyak-UGMK
-
Khimik
2:1
05.10.2023
Khimik
-
Gornyak-UGMK
4:0
Latest results of Gornyak-UGMK
VHL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Metallurg Novokuznetsk ✔ | 55 | 34 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 194:119 | 93 |
| 2 | HC Yugra ✔ | 53 | 34 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 147:81 | 87 |
| 3 | Almetyevsk ✔ | 53 | 31 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 188:103 | 81 |
| 4 | Khimik | 54 | 29 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 161:111 | 75 |
| 5 | Izhevsk | 55 | 28 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 139:122 | 68 |
| 6 | Magnitka Magnitogorsk | 52 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 153:114 | 67 |
| 7 | Gornyak | 54 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 157:132 | 67 |
| 8 | CSK VVS | 53 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 149:125 | 66 |
| 9 | Ryazan | 53 | 24 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 144:128 | 66 |
| 10 | Dizel | 53 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 135:118 | 66 |
| 11 | Omskie Krylia | 54 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 142:121 | 65 |
| 12 | Chelmet Chelyabinsk | 53 | 24 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 153:143 | 65 |
| 13 | Perm | 53 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 18 | 126:138 | 65 |
| 14 | Bars | 54 | 22 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 116:119 | 64 |
| 15 | Rubin Tyumen | 54 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 20 | 130:123 | 63 |
| 16 | Torpedo Gorky | 52 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 142:119 | 62 |
| 17 | Toros Neftekamsk | 54 | 21 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 125:131 | 62 |
| 18 | Krasnoyarsk | 55 | 18 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 130:136 | 62 |
| 19 | Dinamo St. Petersburg | 54 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 22 | 145:137 | 58 |
| 20 | Kurgan | 54 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 127:129 | 57 |
| 21 | AKM | 54 | 12 | 13 | 6 | 23 | 122:149 | 56 |
| 22 | Zvezda Moscow | 53 | 21 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 115:124 | 55 |
| 23 | SKA-VMF St. Petersburg | 55 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 109:143 | 52 |
| 24 | Tambov | 53 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 129:146 | 50 |
| 25 | Olympia | 52 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 23 | 95:135 | 49 |
| 26 | Dyn. Altay | 56 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 120:172 | 47 |
| 27 | Buran Voronezh | 55 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 115:163 | 46 |
| 28 | Orsk | 51 | 16 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 82:133 | 45 |
| 29 | Kristall Saratov | 52 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 110:149 | 42 |
| 30 | HK Norilsk | 53 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 30 | 107:148 | 41 |
| 31 | Chelny | 52 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 31 | 120:163 | 40 |
| 32 | HC Rostov | 54 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 31 | 108:161 | 37 |
Promotion ~ VHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Metallurg Novokuznetsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
HC Yugra is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Almetyevsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
