Result
4:1
18/10/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (2 - 0)
- 07:13, 1 - 0, Makhrin M. (G), Lukhovskoy N. (A), Valitov D. (A2)
- 09:27, 2 - 0, Valitov D. (G), Borisov S. (A), Makhrin M. (A2)
- 2nd Period (1 - 1)
- 04:16, 3 - 0, Razdyakonov V. (G), Sushchev V. (A), Isayev D. (A2)
- 09:15, 3 - 1, Bain M. (G), Skorikov D. (A),
- 3rd Period (1 - 0)
- 04:15, 4 - 1, Filyayev V. (G), Guskov I. (A),
Chances of winning
Gornyak-UGMK 53.9% | Draw 21.9% | Norilsk 24.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gornyak-UGMK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Norilsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gornyak-UGMK than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norilsk than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Gornyak-UGMK - Norilsk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.74 (1.74) |
4.27 ↑ (4.25) |
3.88 ↑ (3.86) |
6.9% (6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gornyak-UGMK won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Gornyak-UGMK may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Gornyak-UGMK is considered a favorite.
- We predict that Gornyak-UGMK will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Gornyak-UGMK won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 34:33. (average 3.4:3.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gornyak-UGMK won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 26:13. (average 5.2:2.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Gornyak-UGMK won against Norilsk?
Gornyak-UGMK has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Norilsk won against Gornyak-UGMK?
Norilsk has won 6 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gornyak-UGMK - Norilsk were as follows:
04.04.2025
Norilsk
-
Gornyak-UGMK
5:2
02.04.2025
Gornyak-UGMK
-
Norilsk
12:1
30.03.2025
Norilsk
-
Gornyak-UGMK
3:2
28.03.2025
Norilsk
-
Gornyak-UGMK
4:0
25.03.2025
Gornyak-UGMK
-
Norilsk
2:6
Latest results of Gornyak-UGMK
Latest results of Norilsk
VHL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
1 | Magnitka Magnitogorsk | 18 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 63:37 | 27 |
2 | Metallurg Novokuznetsk | 17 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 62:42 | 27 |
3 | HC Yugra | 15 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 44:18 | 26 |
4 | Omskie Krylia | 14 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 50:26 | 24 |
5 | Gornyak | 17 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 55:33 | 24 |
6 | Almetyevsk | 16 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 53:24 | 23 |
7 | Torpedo Gorky | 17 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 52:40 | 23 |
8 | Perm | 16 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 41:34 | 23 |
9 | Dizel | 16 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 42:38 | 21 |
10 | Krasnoyarsk | 16 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 43:32 | 21 |
11 | Khimik | 16 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 46:32 | 21 |
12 | Chelmet Chelyabinsk | 18 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 52:52 | 19 |
13 | Toros Neftekamsk | 15 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 40:32 | 19 |
14 | Izhevsk | 15 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 39:35 | 19 |
15 | Orsk | 18 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 31:47 | 19 |
16 | Zvezda Moscow | 17 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 33:40 | 18 |
17 | CSK VVS | 18 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 48:54 | 18 |
18 | Bars | 17 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 28:33 | 18 |
19 | Kurgan | 15 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 37:39 | 17 |
20 | Ryazan | 15 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 37:36 | 16 |
21 | Rubin Tyumen | 14 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 30:26 | 16 |
22 | AKM | 14 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 33:40 | 16 |
23 | Dinamo St. Petersburg | 17 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 41:37 | 15 |
24 | Tambov | 15 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 34:50 | 14 |
25 | HK Norilsk | 16 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 32:44 | 13 |
26 | Olympia | 17 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 20:49 | 12 |
27 | Buran Voronezh | 13 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 28:37 | 11 |
28 | SKA-VMF St. Petersburg | 16 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 26:46 | 11 |
29 | HC Rostov | 15 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 35:46 | 10 |
30 | Kristall Saratov | 17 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 31:53 | 10 |
31 | Dyn. Altay | 15 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 29:47 | 10 |
32 | Chelny | 17 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 30:66 | 9 |
Promotion ~ VHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)