Result
0:1 penalties
01/02/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 2nd Period (0 - 0)
- 3rd Period (0 - 0)
- Overtime (0 - 0)
- Penalties (0 - 1)
- 1, Razdyakonov V. (Penalty Shot),
- 1, Yemets I. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Gordin A. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Skorikov D. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Chernikov Y. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Golodnyuk S. (Penalty Shot),
- 4, Miller N. (Penalty Shot),
- 4, Mokin N. (Penalty Shot),
- 5, Zaytsev O. (Penalty Shot),
- 5, Aksenov A. (Penalty Shot),
Chances of winning
Norilsk
31.7% | Draw
23.6% | Gornyak-UGMK
44.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Norilsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Gornyak-UGMK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norilsk than the current prediction. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gornyak-UGMK than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gornyak-UGMK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Norilsk - Gornyak-UGMK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.9 ↑
(2.7) |
3.91 ↑
(3.77) |
2.06 ↓
(2.21) |
8.6%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
What is the prediction for Norilsk - Gornyak-UGMK?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Gornyak-UGMK (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norilsk won 3.
- Norilsk is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Gornyak-UGMK has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Gornyak-UGMK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Norilsk has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Norilsk won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 34:38. (average 3.1:3.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Norilsk won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:8. (average 4:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Norilsk won against Gornyak-UGMK?
Norilsk has won 6 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gornyak-UGMK won against Norilsk?
Gornyak-UGMK has won 5 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Norilsk - Gornyak-UGMK were as follows:
18.10.2025
Gornyak-UGMK
-
Norilsk
4:1
04.04.2025
Norilsk
-
Gornyak-UGMK
5:2
02.04.2025
Gornyak-UGMK
-
Norilsk
12:1
30.03.2025
Norilsk
-
Gornyak-UGMK
3:2
28.03.2025
Norilsk
-
Gornyak-UGMK
4:0
Latest results of Norilsk
Latest results of Gornyak-UGMK
VHL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Metallurg Novokuznetsk ✔ | 61 | 39 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 222:130 | 104 |
| 2 | HC Yugra ✔ | 61 | 38 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 175:92 | 99 |
| 3 | Almetyevsk ✔ | 60 | 34 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 217:124 | 93 |
| 4 | Khimik ✔ | 61 | 34 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 179:121 | 85 |
| 5 | Ryazan ✔ | 61 | 29 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 159:137 | 79 |
| 6 | Chelmet Chelyabinsk ✔ | 60 | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 176:159 | 77 |
| 7 | Magnitka Magnitogorsk ✔ | 60 | 25 | 8 | 11 | 16 | 174:136 | 77 |
| 8 | Gornyak ✔ | 60 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 179:144 | 77 |
| 9 | Omskie Krylia ✔ | 60 | 28 | 8 | 4 | 20 | 160:128 | 76 |
| 10 | Perm ✔ | 60 | 21 | 13 | 6 | 20 | 142:151 | 74 |
| 11 | Izhevsk ✔ | 60 | 31 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 155:136 | 74 |
| 12 | Torpedo Gorky ✔ | 62 | 24 | 10 | 6 | 22 | 174:145 | 74 |
| 13 | Rubin Tyumen | 60 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 20 | 149:134 | 73 |
| 14 | CSK VVS | 60 | 24 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 163:143 | 72 |
| 15 | Dizel ✔ | 61 | 27 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 150:139 | 72 |
| 16 | Krasnoyarsk | 62 | 21 | 11 | 8 | 22 | 146:151 | 72 |
| 17 | Bars | 61 | 23 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 128:138 | 71 |
| 18 | Toros Neftekamsk | 60 | 22 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 136:148 | 65 |
| 19 | Dinamo St. Petersburg | 60 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 26 | 156:162 | 62 |
| 20 | Zvezda Moscow | 60 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 26 | 135:141 | 62 |
| 21 | Kurgan | 60 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 25 | 136:146 | 62 |
| 22 | SKA-VMF St. Petersburg | 61 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 123:151 | 60 |
| 23 | AKM | 61 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 27 | 136:169 | 60 |
| 24 | Olympia | 60 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 107:153 | 57 |
| 25 | Tambov | 60 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 144:167 | 56 |
| 26 | Kristall Saratov | 60 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 140:172 | 52 |
| 27 | Orsk | 60 | 18 | 3 | 10 | 29 | 100:163 | 52 |
| 28 | Buran Voronezh | 62 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 33 | 130:181 | 51 |
| 29 | Dyn. Altay | 62 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 31 | 133:193 | 51 |
| 30 | HK Norilsk | 61 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 35 | 120:168 | 47 |
| 31 | Chelny | 60 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 36 | 132:190 | 44 |
| 32 | HC Rostov | 61 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 35 | 117:181 | 43 |
Promotion ~ VHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Metallurg Novokuznetsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
HC Yugra is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Almetyevsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Khimik is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Ryazan is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Chelmet Chelyabinsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Magnitka Magnitogorsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Gornyak is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Omskie Krylia is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Perm is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Izhevsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Torpedo Gorky is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Dizel is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
