Gornyak-UGMK vs Ryazan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1 penalties
26/02/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • VHL

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Period (1 - 1)
  • 03:04, 1 - 0, Ovchinnikov I. (G),
  • 14:45, 1 - 1, Yakovlev D. (G), Akhunov T. (A), Leshchenko V. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (0 - 0)
  • Overtime (0 - 0)
  • Penalties (3 - 2)
  • 1, Borisov S. (Penalty Shot),
  • 1, Yakovlev D. (Penalty Shot),
  • 2, Miller N. (Penalty Shot),
  • 2, Kabanov M. (Penalty Shot),
  • 3, Lukhovskoy N. (Penalty Shot),
  • 3, Korostelyov M. (Penalty Shot),
  • 4, Gordin A. (Penalty Shot),
  • 4, Leshchenko V. (Penalty Shot),
  • 5, Makhrin M. (Penalty Shot),
  • 5, Gimatov E. (Penalty Shot),

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Gornyak-UGMK
36.8%
Draw
25.4%
Ryazan
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.2% 24.6% 38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4% 25.4% 37%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gornyak-UGMK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Ryazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gornyak-UGMK than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryazan than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • Gornyak-UGMK - Ryazan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.54
    (2.51)
    3.67
    (3.8)
    2.48
    (2.45)
    7.1%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 4.25
    What is the prediction for Gornyak-UGMK - Ryazan?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Gornyak-UGMK (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Gornyak-UGMK (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gornyak-UGMK won 2.
    • In recent matches, Gornyak-UGMK has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Ryazan is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Gornyak-UGMK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Gornyak-UGMK has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Ryazan has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Gornyak-UGMK won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 44:43. (average 2.6:2.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gornyak-UGMK won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:17. (average 2.8:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gornyak-UGMK - Ryazan were as follows:
    20.09.2025 Ryazan - Gornyak-UGMK 5:2
    07.01.2025 Ryazan - Gornyak-UGMK 3:5
    12.11.2024 Gornyak-UGMK - Ryazan 1:2
    12.01.2024 Gornyak-UGMK - Ryazan 2:1
    07.10.2023 Ryazan - Gornyak-UGMK 3:1
    Latest results of Gornyak-UGMK
    Latest results of Ryazan
    20.02.2026 Ryazan - Molot Perm 3:0
    18.02.2026 Ryazan - Toros Neftekamsk 4:1
    16.02.2026 Ryazan - Izhstal 1:4
    12.02.2026 Ryazan - Kristall Saratov 5:3
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Metallurg Novokuznetsk (1)CSK VVS (16)1 : 0
    2Gornyak (8)Perm (9)1 : 0
    3Khimik (4)Izhevsk (13)1 : 0
    4Magnitka Magnitogorsk (5)Torpedo Gorky (12)1 : 0
    5HC Yugra (2)Bars (15)1 : 0
    6Omskie Krylia (7)Chelmet Chelyabinsk (10)0 : 1
    7Almetyevsk (3)Dizel (14)1 : 0
    8Ryazan (6)Rubin Tyumen (11)1 : 0