Gornyak-UGMK vs Toros Neftekamsk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey VHL Gornyak-UGMK - Toros Neftekamsk
Result
3:2 penalties
12/09/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • VHL

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 0)
  • 18:45, 1 - 0, Trofimov Y. (G), Khremkin K. (A), Ovchinnikov I. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (0 - 2)
  • 03:27, 1 - 1, Suvorov A. (G),
  • 14:24, 1 - 2, Kolesnikov S. (G), Suvorov A. (A), Agafonov M. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (1 - 0)
  • 19:24, 2 - 2, Demidovich V. (G), Valitov D. (A),
  • Overtime (0 - 0)
  • Penalties (1 - 0)
  • 1, Valeyev T. (Penalty Shot),
  • 1, Demidovich V. (Penalty Shot),
  • 2, Suvorov A. (Penalty Shot),
  • 2, Miller N. (Penalty Shot),
  • 3, Kolesnikov S. (Penalty Shot),
  • 3, Alexeyev Y. (Penalty Shot),
  • 4, Khvorov N. (Penalty Shot),
  • 4, Makhrin M. (Penalty Shot),
  • 5, Andreichenko V. (Penalty Shot),

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Gornyak-UGMK
59.8%
Draw
20.3%
Toros Neftekamsk
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.6% 22.3% 19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2% 22.1% 18.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gornyak-UGMK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • Toros Neftekamsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gornyak-UGMK than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toros Neftekamsk than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • Gornyak-UGMK - Toros Neftekamsk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.56
    (1.6)
    4.59
    (4.2)
    4.7
    (4.92)
    7.2%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
  • What is the prediction for Gornyak-UGMK - Toros Neftekamsk?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gornyak-UGMK won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Gornyak-UGMK may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Gornyak-UGMK is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Gornyak-UGMK won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 49:64. (average 2.6:3.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gornyak-UGMK won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:31. (average 2.4:3.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gornyak-UGMK - Toros Neftekamsk were as follows:
    25.08.2025 Toros Neftekamsk - Gornyak-UGMK 3:2
    25.12.2024 Gornyak-UGMK - Toros Neftekamsk 3:2
    22.11.2024 Toros Neftekamsk - Gornyak-UGMK 1:3
    16.02.2024 Toros Neftekamsk - Gornyak-UGMK 4:1
    12.09.2023 Gornyak-UGMK - Toros Neftekamsk 5:4
    Latest results of Gornyak-UGMK
    Latest results of Toros Neftekamsk
    VHL Table
    2025/26
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Omskie Krylia8611032:1615
    2Gornyak9610233:1814
    3Magnitka Magnitogorsk9520231:1514
    4Metallurg Novokuznetsk7520026:1514
    5AKM9232224:2412
    6Torpedo Gorky9232223:2012
    7Perm8330221:1612
    8Dizel8502125:1712
    9HC Yugra6411020:511
    10Almetyevsk8411227:1511
    11Dinamo St. Petersburg9501324:1911
    12Ryazan8410320:1910
    13Kurgan8222217:1810
    14Zvezda Moscow9320419:1810
    15Toros Neftekamsk7303119:159
    16CSK VVS9131416:229
    17Orsk10303416:289
    18Khimik8310424:238
    19Rubin Tyumen7302216:128
    20Chelmet Chelyabinsk9301522:297
    21HC Rostov7301318:177
    22HK Norilsk8301419:227
    23Krasnoyarsk7211318:177
    24Bars8211414:197
    25Tambov7121315:207
    26Izhevsk7210414:186
    27Dyn. Altay6112216:176
    28Buran Voronezh6300313:196
    29Olympia9112510:266
    30Kristall Saratov8103411:245
    31SKA-VMF St. Petersburg802159:245
    32Chelny8011612:373

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