Toros Neftekamsk vs Gornyak-UGMK – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3 OT
14/03/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • VHL

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 1)
  • 12:09, 1 - 0, Yelsukov F. (G), Gimbatov R. (A),
  • 16:18, 1 - 1, Khremkin K. (G), Zhuravlyov Y. (A),
  • 2nd Period (0 - 1)
  • 16:37, 1 - 2, Demidovich V. (G), Ishimnikov N. (A),
  • 3rd Period (1 - 0)
  • 12:27, 2 - 2, Sorokin Y. (G), Nabiev A. (A), Khvorov N. (A2)
  • Overtime (0 - 1)
  • 00:21, 2 - 3, Zhuravlyov Y. (G), Gordin A. (A),

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Toros Neftekamsk
36.8%
Draw
24.9%
Gornyak-UGMK
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.1% 24.7% 38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6% 27% 34.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toros Neftekamsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Gornyak-UGMK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toros Neftekamsk than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gornyak-UGMK than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • Toros Neftekamsk - Gornyak-UGMK Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.55
    (2.52)
    3.77
    (3.77)
    2.45
    (2.45)
    6.6%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 4.50
    Preview Facts
    • Gornyak-UGMK is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toros won 2.
    • Toros is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Gornyak-UGMK is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Toros may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Toros has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Gornyak-UGMK has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • We predict that Gornyak-UGMK will win today's game, with odds of 2.45.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toros won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 66:52. (average 3.3:2.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toros won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 33:27. (average 3.3:2.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toros Neftekamsk - Gornyak-UGMK were as follows:
    12.09.2025 Gornyak-UGMK - Toros Neftekamsk 3:2
    25.08.2025 Toros Neftekamsk - Gornyak-UGMK 3:2
    25.12.2024 Gornyak-UGMK - Toros Neftekamsk 3:2
    22.11.2024 Toros Neftekamsk - Gornyak-UGMK 1:3
    16.02.2024 Toros Neftekamsk - Gornyak-UGMK 4:1
    Latest results of Toros Neftekamsk
    Latest results of Gornyak-UGMK
    12.03.2026 Izhstal - Gornyak-UGMK 2:5
    28.02.2026 Gornyak-UGMK - Dizel Penza 2:3
    26.02.2026 Gornyak-UGMK - Ryazan 2:1
    24.02.2026 Gornyak-UGMK - AKM 4:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Metallurg Novokuznetsk (1)CSK VVS (16)1 : 0
    2Gornyak (8)Perm (9)1 : 0
    3Khimik (4)Izhevsk (13)1 : 0
    4Magnitka Magnitogorsk (5)Torpedo Gorky (12)2 : 0
    5HC Yugra (2)Bars (15)1 : 0
    6Omskie Krylia (7)Chelmet Chelyabinsk (10)0 : 1
    7Almetyevsk (3)Dizel (14)1 : 0
    8Ryazan (6)Rubin Tyumen (11)1 : 0