Yuzhny Ural Orsk vs Gornyak-UGMK – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
14/12/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • VHL

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 0)
  • 04:00, 1 - 0, Kovalchuk P. (G), Zakharov I. (A),
  • 2nd Period (2 - 1)
  • 04:51, 2 - 0, Paramonov D. (G), Litvinov I. (A),
  • 14:57, 2 - 1, Zaytsev O. (G), Bolshakov M. (A),
  • 19:59, 3 - 1, Zakharov I. (G), Suslov K. (A),
  • 3rd Period (0 - 1)
  • 07:04, 3 - 2, Demidovich V. (G),

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Yuzhny Ural Orsk
24.5%
Draw
22.6%
Gornyak-UGMK
52.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.4% 22.4% 48.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29% 22.1% 48.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Yuzhny Ural Orsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • Gornyak-UGMK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yuzhny Ural Orsk than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gornyak-UGMK than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Gornyak-UGMK Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.8
    (3.18)
    4.13
    (4.18)
    1.76
    (1.94)
    7.3%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yuzhny Ural won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Gornyak-UGMK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Yuzhny Ural has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Gornyak-UGMK is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Yuzhny Ural won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 45:56. (average 2.3:2.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Yuzhny Ural won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:27. (average 2.1:2.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Gornyak-UGMK were as follows:
    03.12.2025 Gornyak-UGMK - Yuzhny Ural Orsk 5:2
    01.03.2025 Gornyak-UGMK - Yuzhny Ural Orsk 1:0
    24.09.2024 Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Gornyak-UGMK 5:1
    26.12.2023 Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Gornyak-UGMK 3:4
    16.10.2023 Gornyak-UGMK - Yuzhny Ural Orsk 3:2
    Latest results of Yuzhny Ural Orsk
    Latest results of Gornyak-UGMK
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Metallurg Novokuznetsk (1)CSK VVS (16)3 : 2
    2Gornyak (8)Perm (9)3 : 2
    3Khimik (4)Izhevsk (13)4 : 1
    4Magnitka Magnitogorsk (5)Torpedo Gorky (12)4 : 0
    5HC Yugra (2)Bars (15)4 : 1
    6Omskie Krylia (7)Chelmet Chelyabinsk (10)3 : 2
    7Almetyevsk (3)Dizel (14)3 : 2
    8Ryazan (6)Rubin Tyumen (11)3 : 2