Result
3:2
14/12/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 04:00, 1 - 0, Kovalchuk P. (G), Zakharov I. (A),
- 2nd Period (2 - 1)
- 04:51, 2 - 0, Paramonov D. (G), Litvinov I. (A),
- 14:57, 2 - 1, Zaytsev O. (G), Bolshakov M. (A),
- 19:59, 3 - 1, Zakharov I. (G), Suslov K. (A),
- 3rd Period (0 - 1)
- 07:04, 3 - 2, Demidovich V. (G),
Chances of winning
Yuzhny Ural Orsk
24.5% | Draw
22.6% | Gornyak-UGMK
52.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Yuzhny Ural Orsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)Gornyak-UGMK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yuzhny Ural Orsk than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gornyak-UGMK than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Gornyak-UGMK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.8 ↑
(3.18) |
4.13 ↓
(4.18) |
1.76 ↓
(1.94) |
7.3%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yuzhny Ural won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Gornyak-UGMK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Yuzhny Ural has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Gornyak-UGMK is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Yuzhny Ural won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 45:56. (average 2.3:2.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Yuzhny Ural won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:27. (average 2.1:2.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Yuzhny Ural Orsk won against Gornyak-UGMK?
Yuzhny Ural Orsk has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gornyak-UGMK won against Yuzhny Ural Orsk?
Gornyak-UGMK has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Gornyak-UGMK were as follows:
03.12.2025
Gornyak-UGMK
-
Yuzhny Ural Orsk
5:2
01.03.2025
Gornyak-UGMK
-
Yuzhny Ural Orsk
1:0
24.09.2024
Yuzhny Ural Orsk
-
Gornyak-UGMK
5:1
26.12.2023
Yuzhny Ural Orsk
-
Gornyak-UGMK
3:4
16.10.2023
Gornyak-UGMK
-
Yuzhny Ural Orsk
3:2
Latest results of Yuzhny Ural Orsk
Latest results of Gornyak-UGMK
VHL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Metallurg Novokuznetsk ✔ | 55 | 34 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 194:119 | 93 |
| 2 | HC Yugra ✔ | 53 | 34 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 147:81 | 87 |
| 3 | Almetyevsk ✔ | 53 | 31 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 188:103 | 81 |
| 4 | Khimik | 54 | 29 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 161:111 | 75 |
| 5 | Izhevsk | 55 | 28 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 139:122 | 68 |
| 6 | Magnitka Magnitogorsk | 52 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 153:114 | 67 |
| 7 | Gornyak | 54 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 157:132 | 67 |
| 8 | CSK VVS | 53 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 149:125 | 66 |
| 9 | Ryazan | 53 | 24 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 144:128 | 66 |
| 10 | Dizel | 53 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 135:118 | 66 |
| 11 | Omskie Krylia | 54 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 142:121 | 65 |
| 12 | Chelmet Chelyabinsk | 53 | 24 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 153:143 | 65 |
| 13 | Perm | 53 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 18 | 126:138 | 65 |
| 14 | Bars | 54 | 22 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 116:119 | 64 |
| 15 | Rubin Tyumen | 54 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 20 | 130:123 | 63 |
| 16 | Torpedo Gorky | 52 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 142:119 | 62 |
| 17 | Toros Neftekamsk | 54 | 21 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 125:131 | 62 |
| 18 | Krasnoyarsk | 55 | 18 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 130:136 | 62 |
| 19 | Dinamo St. Petersburg | 54 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 22 | 145:137 | 58 |
| 20 | Kurgan | 54 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 127:129 | 57 |
| 21 | AKM | 54 | 12 | 13 | 6 | 23 | 122:149 | 56 |
| 22 | Zvezda Moscow | 53 | 21 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 115:124 | 55 |
| 23 | SKA-VMF St. Petersburg | 55 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 109:143 | 52 |
| 24 | Tambov | 53 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 129:146 | 50 |
| 25 | Olympia | 52 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 23 | 95:135 | 49 |
| 26 | Dyn. Altay | 56 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 120:172 | 47 |
| 27 | Buran Voronezh | 55 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 115:163 | 46 |
| 28 | Orsk | 51 | 16 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 82:133 | 45 |
| 29 | Kristall Saratov | 52 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 110:149 | 42 |
| 30 | HK Norilsk | 53 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 30 | 107:148 | 41 |
| 31 | Chelny | 52 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 31 | 120:163 | 40 |
| 32 | HC Rostov | 54 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 31 | 108:161 | 37 |
Promotion ~ VHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Metallurg Novokuznetsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
HC Yugra is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Almetyevsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
