Gouveia vs Alpendorada – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:3
09/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 9

Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
49
Shots on target
05
Corner Kicks
73
Total shots
49
Shots on target
05
Shots off target
44
Corner Kicks
73

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 20', 0 - 1, ,
  • 29', 0 - 2, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 63', 0 - 3, ,

Chances of winning


Gouveia
13.1%
Draw
22.7%
Alpendorada
64.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
17.8% 25.2% 57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.3% 24.5% 58.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gouveia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • Alpendorada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alpendorada's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gouveia than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alpendorada than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alpendorada, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Gouveia - Alpendorada Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.99
    (5.09)
    4.03
    (3.6)
    1.42
    (1.59)
    9.5%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 4).
    • Gouveia is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Alpendorada is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Alpendorada is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that Alpendorada will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Gouveia
    02.11.2025 Cinfães - Gouveia 3:0
    26.10.2025 Gouveia - Florgrade 0:1
    05.10.2025 Leça - Gouveia 3:0
    28.09.2025 Gouveia - Vila Real 0:5
    21.09.2025 Rebordelo - Gouveia 3:2
    Latest results of Alpendorada
    02.11.2025 Alpendorada - União Lamas 2:1
    26.10.2025 Vila Meã - Alpendorada 0:0
    04.10.2025 Cinfães - Alpendorada 0:0
    28.09.2025 Alpendorada - Florgrade 3:1