Sertanense vs Gouveia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Sertanense - Gouveia
Result
2:1
09/03/2024 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP C - ROUND 23

Chances of winning


Sertanense
53.7%
Draw
27.6%
Gouveia
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57% 25.2% 17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1% 24.3% 17.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sertanense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • Gouveia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sertanense than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sertanense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gouveia than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Sertanense - Gouveia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.7
    (1.59)
    3.31
    (3.6)
    4.89
    (5.09)
    9.6%
    (10.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 13 in the zone Relegation).
    • Recent matches Sertanense is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Gouveia is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Gouveia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Sertanense is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Sertanense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sertanense - Gouveia were as follows:
    12.11.2023 Gouveia - Sertanense 0:1
    Latest results of Sertanense
    Latest results of Gouveia
    18.02.2024 Gouveia - SC Lusitânia 2:2
    11.02.2024 Rabo de Peixe - Gouveia 2:1
    04.02.2024 Gouveia - Fontinhas 3:1
    Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vitoria Sernache550012:3915
    2Naval 1893640213:8512
    3Uniao Da Serra632113:7611
    4Peniche53029:639
    5Mortagua52214:5-18
    6SB Castelo Branco62228:808
    7Marinhense62225:6-18
    8Lajense42118:537
    9Os Marialvas621310:1007
    10Fatima52125:6-17
    11SC Lusitania41126:604
    12Samora Correia61142:8-64
    13Oliveira Hospital41032:4-23
    14Electrico60155:20-151

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