Result
2:1
09/03/2024 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP C - ROUND 23
Chances of winning
Sertanense 53.7% | Draw 27.6% | Gouveia 18.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sertanense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Gouveia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sertanense than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sertanense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gouveia than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Sertanense - Gouveia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.7 ↑ (1.59) |
3.31 ↓ (3.6) |
4.89 ↓ (5.09) |
9.6% (10.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 13 in the zone Relegation).
- Recent matches Sertanense is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Gouveia is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Gouveia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Sertanense is a favorite.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Sertanense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
How many head-to-head matches has Sertanense won against Gouveia?
Sertanense has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gouveia won against Sertanense?
Gouveia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sertanense - Gouveia were as follows:
12.11.2023
Gouveia
-
Sertanense
0:1
Latest results of Sertanense
Latest results of Gouveia
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vitoria Sernache ✔ | 25 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 33:10 | 23 | 55 |
| 2 | Oliveira Hospital | 25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 36:13 | 23 | 47 |
| 3 | SB Castelo Branco | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 42:22 | 20 | 46 |
| 4 | Naval 1893 | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 34:23 | 11 | 45 |
| 5 | Uniao Da Serra | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 36:23 | 13 | 44 |
| 6 | Os Marialvas | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 33:27 | 6 | 36 |
| 7 | Mortagua | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 21:25 | -4 | 36 |
| 8 | Fatima | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 23:28 | -5 | 29 |
| 9 | Lajense | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 36:37 | -1 | 29 |
| 10 | Peniche | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 29:42 | -13 | 27 |
| 11 | Samora Correia | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 23:33 | -10 | 26 |
| 12 | Marinhense ✔ | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 20:35 | -15 | 24 |
| 13 | Electrico ✔ | 25 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 32:60 | -28 | 19 |
| 14 | SC Lusitania ✔ | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 23:43 | -20 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Vitoria Sernache is Qualified for Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Marinhense is Relegated to
Electrico is Relegated to
SC Lusitania is Relegated to