Vila Real vs Gouveia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
15/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 18

Match Stats

Ball possession
53%47%
Total shots
95
Shots on target
63
Corner kicks
64
Red cards
01
Total shots
95
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
32
Corner kicks
64

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 2', 0 - 1, ,
  • 12', 1 - 1, Chiquinho ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 57', 2 - 1, ,
  • 85', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Vila Real
70.4%
Draw
20.6%
Gouveia
9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.8% 20.4% 9.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.6% 19.3% 9.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vila Real has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Gouveia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Real than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gouveia than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Vila Real - Gouveia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.29
    (1.31)
    4.4
    (4.48)
    10.07
    (9.25)
    10.5%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Vila Real - Gouveia?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Vila Real (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.25 - Vila Real (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Vila Real (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Relegation).
    • Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
    • Gouveia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Vila Real is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vila Real won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vila Real - Gouveia were as follows:
    28.09.2025 Gouveia - Vila Real 0:5
    Latest results of Vila Real
    07.02.2026 União Lamas - Vila Real 2:1
    01.02.2026 Vila Meã - Vila Real 1:1
    25.01.2026 Vila Real - Alpendorada 1:1
    17.01.2026 Cinfães - Vila Real 1:0
    10.01.2026 Vila Real - Florgrade 0:0
    Latest results of Gouveia
    07.02.2026 Gouveia - Rebordosa 2:2
    25.01.2026 Aparecida - Gouveia 3:0
    17.01.2026 Gouveia - Resende 2:2
    10.01.2026 Salgueiros 08 - Gouveia 2:0
    21.12.2025 Beira-Mar - Gouveia 1:1