Result
3:2
03/01/2026 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga2 - Round 20
- Referee: Gonzalez Esteban J. A. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports, DSports 6 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD |
 Chile | DirecTV Sports |
 Ecuador | DirecTV Sports, DSports 6 |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 North-central-america | DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
 Peru | DirecTV Sports |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 Spain | DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2, Orange Futbol 2 |
 Uruguay | DirecTV Sports, DSports 6 |
 Venezuela | DirecTV Sports, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 2.33 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (214/287) | 79% (253/320) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 2.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 1.83 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (214/287) | 79% (253/320) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (26/55) | 49% (24/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (41/71) | 64% (57/89) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 19% (5/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.80 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (13/21) | 53% (10/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 39 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.83 | 1.94 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.17 | -1.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 25', 1 - 0, Gui Guedes ⚽, Arribas S. (A),
- 29', Gui Guedes 🟨,
- 40', 1 - 1, Aleman P. ⚽, Alcaraz R. (A),
- 41', Alcaraz R. 🟨,
- 45+1', Fidel Cedillo Segura P. ↓, Dzodic S. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Gui Guedes ↓, Centelles A. ↑,
- 54', Casadesus P. 🟨,
- 60', Dzodic S. 🟨,
- 62', Puigmal A. ↓, Robertone L. ↑,
- 62', Casadesus P. ↓, Saenz P. ↑,
- 64', 2 - 1, Leo Baptistao ⚽,
- 74', 3 - 1, Dzodic S. ⚽, Embarba A. (A),
- 75', Faye S. ↓, Rodelas S. ↑,
- 76', Trigueros M. 🟨,
- 76', Alcaraz R. ↓, Trigueros M. ↑,
- 77', Hormigo D. ↓, Ruiz S. ↑,
- 77', Chirino D. 🟨,
- 84', Aleman P. ↓, Bouldini M. ↑,
- 85', Arnaiz J. M. 🟨,
- 86', Arribas S. ↓, Luna M. ↑,
- 86', Leo Baptistao ↓, Kounia H. ↑,
- 90+8', Robertone L. 🟨,
- 90+9', 3 - 2, Pascual J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+11', Saenz P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Almería
52.3% | Draw
26.1% | Granada
21.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Almería has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Granada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Almería, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Granada than the current prediction. (-3%)
Almería - Granada Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↑
(1.71) |
3.58 ↓
(3.8) |
4.3 ↓
(4.76) |
7%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Almería - Granada?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Almería (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Almería will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 19 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almería won 2.
- Almería has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Granada's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Almería is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Almería: Bonini F.
(Hamstring Injury)
Clua S.
(Injury)
Melamed N.
(Muscle Injury)
Robertone L.
(Muscle Injury)
Soko P.
(International duty)
- There will not play in Granada: Hongla M.
(Injury)
Naasei O.
(Yellow Cards)
Zidane L.
(International duty)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Almería won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:14. (average 1.4:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Almería won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:5. (average 2:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Almería won against Granada?
Almería has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Granada won against Almería?
Granada has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Almería - Granada were as follows:
05.04.2025
Granada
-
Almería
3:1
30.11.2024
Almería
-
Granada
2:1
18.02.2024
Granada
-
Almería
1:1
01.10.2023
Almería
-
Granada
3:3
05.08.2023
Granada
-
Almería
0:1
Latest results of Almería
Latest results of Granada
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 56:36 | 20 | 53 |
| 2 | Castellon | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 46:29 | 17 | 49 |
| 3 | Almeria | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 53:40 | 13 | 49 |
| 4 | Dep. La Coruna | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 44:31 | 13 | 49 |
| 5 | Malaga | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 41:31 | 10 | 47 |
| 6 | Las Palmas | 28 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 34:22 | 12 | 45 |
| 7 | Ceuta | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 36:39 | -3 | 44 |
| 8 | Burgos CF | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 30:26 | 4 | 43 |
| 9 | Gijon | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 38:36 | 2 | 42 |
| 10 | Cordoba | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 38:37 | 1 | 41 |
| 11 | Eibar | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 31:30 | 1 | 38 |
| 12 | Andorra | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 35:40 | -5 | 35 |
| 13 | Albacete | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 33:39 | -6 | 35 |
| 14 | Cadiz CF | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 29:35 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 | Leganes | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 29:28 | 1 | 34 |
| 16 | Real Sociedad B | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 38:39 | -1 | 34 |
| 17 | Granada CF | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 32:33 | -1 | 32 |
| 18 | Valladolid | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29:38 | -9 | 32 |
| 19 | Huesca | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 26:37 | -11 | 30 |
| 20 | Cultural Leonesa | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 27:44 | -17 | 27 |
| 21 | Mirandes | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 28:45 | -17 | 24 |
| 22 | Zaragoza | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 23:41 | -18 | 24 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
