Atlético Madrid vs Granada: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Spanish Copa De La Reina
Soccer Spanish Copa De La Reina Atlético Madrid - Granada
Result
3:2
13/03/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: Copa de la Reina Women - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Planes M. (Esp)
Atlético Madrid - Granada - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.271.45
Ball Possession
50%50%
Goal Attempts
1218
Shots on Goal
74
Shots off Goal
37
Blocked Shots
27
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
26
Shots inside the Box
912
Shots outside the Box
36
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
Free Kicks
911
Offsides
21
Fouls
119
Yellow Cards
52
Throw-ins
1927
Touches in the Opposition Box
2229
Passes
75% (230/306)76% (223/295)
Passes in the final third
64% (61/95)62% (56/90)
Crosses
40% (4/10)17% (5/29)
Tackles
93% (14/15)88% (15/17)
Clearances Total
2215
Interceptions
98

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Gio Garbelini ⚽,
  • 22', Gio Garbelini 🟨,
  • 43', Perez A. 🟨,
  • 45', Boe Risa V. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 47', Lauren Leal 🟨,
  • 51', Medina A. 🟨,
  • 53', 2 - 0, Gio Garbelini ⚽,
  • 59', Boe Risa V. ↓, Guijarro S. ↑,
  • 59', Gio Garbelini ↓, Vitoria A. ↑,
  • 59', Luany ↓, Jensen S. ↑,
  • 60', 3 - 0, Jensen S. ⚽, Pinto T. (A),
  • 65', Alexia ↓, Gomez A. ↑,
  • 65', Perez A. ↓, Alvarez I. ↑,
  • 66', Pinto T. ↓, Tanarro L. ↑,
  • 66', Medina A. ↓, Iannuzzi F. ↑,
  • 70', Imade E. ↓, Kojima M. ↑,
  • 71', Leles ↓, Arana P. ↑,
  • 75', 3 - 1, Vignola O. ⚽, Gomez A. (A),
  • 77', Requena L. 🟨,
  • 78', Requena L. ↓, Iribarren ↑,
  • 87', 3 - 2, Arana P. ⚽,
  • 90', Garcia G. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Atlético Madrid
48.4%		Draw
26.1%		Granada
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.4% 23.2% 14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8% 22.3% 13.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Madrid's form might have worsened.
  • Granada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Granada's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (+16.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Madrid, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Granada than the current prediction. (-11.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Granada, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Atlético Madrid - Granada Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.91 ↑
    (1.45)    		 3.47 ↓
    (3.9)    		 3.56 ↓
    (6.27)    		 9.3%
    (10.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    •
    What is the prediction for Atlético Madrid - Granada?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Atlético Madrid will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Granada will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-0.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético Madrid won 4.
    • Atlético Madrid is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Granada is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recently Atlético Madrid have a series of guest games.
    • Atlético Madrid will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Atlético Madrid won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10:0 (average 1.7:0).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Madrid won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:0 (average 2:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Madrid - Granada were as follows:
    05.03.2025 Granada - Atlético Madrid 0:2
    02.02.2025 Granada - Atlético Madrid 0:0
    11.09.2024 Atlético Madrid - Granada 2:0
    17.03.2024 Granada - Atlético Madrid 0:1
    26.11.2023 Atlético Madrid - Granada 2:0
    Latest results of Atlético Madrid
    09.03.2025 Atlético Madrid - Betis 0:0
    05.03.2025 Granada - Atlético Madrid 0:2
    02.03.2025 Madrid CFF - Atlético Madrid 0:3
    16.02.2025 Deportivo La Coruña - Atlético Madrid 0:0
    11.02.2025 Cacereño - Atlético Madrid 0:2
    Latest results of Granada
    09.03.2025 Granada - Athletic Bilbao 0:2
    05.03.2025 Granada - Atlético Madrid 0:2
    01.03.2025 Betis - Granada 1:3
    16.02.2025 Granada - Espanyol 2:1
    13.02.2025 Levante - Granada 0:1 ✺
    Draw
    2024/25

    1/16-finals
    1Tenerife WHuelva W2 : 3
    2ByeLevante W
    3Albacete WGranada CF W0 : 1
    4ByeSevilla FC W
    5Cacereno WValencia W1 : 0
    6ByeAthletic Bilbao W
    7CA Osasuna WBadalona W0 : 3
    8ByeAtl. Madrid W
    9SE AEM WVillarreal W1 : 2
    10ByeReal Madrid W
    11Dep. La Coruna WBetis W3 : 0
    12ByeReal Sociedad W
    13DUX Logrono WEibar W1 : 0
    14ByeMadrid C. W
    15Guiniguada Apolinario WCosta Adeje Tenerife W1 : 4
    16ByeBarcelona W

    1/8-finals
    1Huelva WLevante W1 : 2
    2Granada CF WSevilla FC W4 : 2
    3Cacereno WAthletic Bilbao W2 : 1
    4Badalona WAtl. Madrid W0 : 1
    5Villarreal WReal Madrid W0 : 2
    6Dep. La Coruna WReal Sociedad W0 : 1
    7DUX Logrono WMadrid C. W2 : 4
    8Costa Adeje Tenerife WBarcelona W2 : 6

    Quarter-finals
    1Levante WGranada CF W0 : 1
    2Cacereno WAtl. Madrid W0 : 2
    3Real Madrid WReal Sociedad W3 : 1
    4Madrid C. WBarcelona W1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Granada CF WAtl. Madrid W2 : 3, 0 : 2
    2Real Madrid WBarcelona W1 : 3, 0 : 5

    Final
    1Atl. Madrid WBarcelona W0 : 2
    Which TV channels are streaming of Atlético Madrid - Granada?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports
    chileChileDirecTV Sports
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean
    peruPeruDirecTV Sports
    south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
    spainSpain3Cat, Esport 3, Esport3, RTVE Play, Teledeporte, TV3, TV3
    switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports
    venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus, Inter
    worldWorldDirecTV Sports
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