Result
0:1
17/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de la Reina Women - Semi-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Argentina | Disney+ |
Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
Peru | Disney+ |
Spain | Esport3, RTVE Play, Teledeporte |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN Deportes |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 1.41 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (188/276) | 65% (189/292) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 1.41 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 1.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (188/276) | 65% (189/292) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (29/64) | 27% (23/85) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (53/88) | 44% (32/73) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (5/23) | 14% (2/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.69 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 31 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 65% (13/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.17 | 1.03 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.17 | 1.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 14', Gavira Collado P. 🟨,
- 44', Lauren Leal 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 51', 0 - 1, Jensen S. ⚽, Otermin R. (A),
- 56', Sarriegi A. ↓, Gio Garbelini ↑,
- 56', Gramaglia P. ↓, Suarez C. ↑,
- 66', Martinez B. ↓, Quiles V. ↑,
- 66', Perez I. ↓, Ouzraoui Diki S. ↑,
- 70', Boe Risa V. ↓, Bartel J. ↑,
- 70', Otermin R. ↓, Menayo C. ↑,
- 73', Medina A. 🟨,
- 74', Verges E. 🟨,
- 77', Blanco C. ↓, Koko ↑,
- 77', Verges E. ↓, Castello S. ↑,
- 83', Lauren Leal ↓, Rodriguez L. ↑,
- 83', Jensen S. ↓, Chinchilla P. ↑,
- 89', Iannuzzi F. 🟨,
- 89', Dembele F. 🟥,
- 90+9', Bartel J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tenerife 17.4% | Draw 30.6% | Atlético Madrid 51.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tenerife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tenerife's form might have worsened.Atlético Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Madrid's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (+13.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tenerife, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (-9.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Madrid, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Tenerife - Atlético Madrid Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
7.13 ↑ (2.94) |
3.7 ↑ (3.43) |
2.11 ↓ (2.13) |
-11.5% (10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- First leg result: 0-1. Second leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tenerife won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Atlético Madrid could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tenerife won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 13:40. (average 0.7:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tenerife won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:18. (average 1.1:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Tenerife won against Atlético Madrid?
Tenerife has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Madrid won against Tenerife?
Atlético Madrid has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tenerife - Atlético Madrid were as follows:
11.03.2026
Atlético Madrid
-
Tenerife
1:0
23.11.2025
Tenerife
-
Atlético Madrid
2:1
18.04.2025
Atlético Madrid
-
Tenerife
2:0
08.12.2024
Tenerife
-
Atlético Madrid
2:2
04.05.2024
Atlético Madrid
-
Tenerife
1:0
Latest results of Tenerife
Latest results of Atlético Madrid
Draw
2025/261/16-finals| 1 | Guiniguada Apolinario W | Dep. La Coruna W | 1 : 3 |
| 2 | Bye | Real Sociedad W | |
| 3 | CA Osasuna W | Badalona W | 0 : 3 |
| 4 | Bye | Granada CF W | |
| 5 | Valencia W | Espanyol W | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Bye | Real Madrid W | |
| 7 | Alaves W | Levante W | 4 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Barcelona W | |
| 9 | Extremadura W | Alhama W | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Bye | Atl. Madrid W | |
| 11 | CE Europa W | DUX Logrono W | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Bye | Athletic Bilbao W | |
| 13 | Huelva W | Madrid C. W | 1 : 7 |
| 14 | Bye | Eibar W | |
| 15 | Real Oviedo W | Sevilla FC W | 2 : 3 |
| 16 | Bye | Costa Adeje Tenerife W | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Dep. La Coruna W | Real Sociedad W | 1 : 4 |
| 2 | Badalona W | Granada CF W | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Espanyol W | Real Madrid W | 0 : 4 |
| 4 | Alaves W | Barcelona W | 1 : 6 |
| 5 | Alhama W | Atl. Madrid W | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | CE Europa W | Athletic Bilbao W | 0 : 3 |
| 7 | Madrid C. W | Eibar W | 3 : 2 |
| 8 | Sevilla FC W | Costa Adeje Tenerife W | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Real Sociedad W | Badalona W | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Real Madrid W | Barcelona W | 0 : 4 |
| 3 | Atl. Madrid W | Athletic Bilbao W | 4 : 1 |
| 4 | Madrid C. W | Costa Adeje Tenerife W | 0 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Badalona W | Barcelona W | 1 : 4, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Atl. Madrid W | Costa Adeje Tenerife W | 1 : 0, 1 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Barcelona W | Atl. Madrid W | |