Tenerife vs Atlético Madrid – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
17/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa de la Reina Women - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 2
peruPeruDisney+
spainSpainEsport3, RTVE Play, Teledeporte
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN Deportes
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.451.41
Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
914
Shots on target
55
Big chances
00
Corner kicks
23
Passes
68% (188/276)65% (189/292)
Yellow cards
24
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
0.451.41
xG on target (xGOT)
1.031.17
Total shots
914
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
36
Blocked shots
13
Shots inside the box
410
Shots outside the box
54
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
00
Corner kicks
23
Touches in opposition box
914
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free kicks
1516
Passes
68% (188/276)65% (189/292)
Long passes
45% (29/64)27% (23/85)
Passes in final third
60% (53/88)44% (32/73)
Crosses
22% (5/23)14% (2/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.610.69
Throw ins
3128
Fouls
1615
Tackles
69% (9/13)65% (13/20)
Duels won
4350
Clearances
1813
Interceptions
117
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
45
xGOT faced
1.171.03
Goals prevented
0.171.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 14', Gavira Collado P. 🟨,
  • 44', Lauren Leal 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 51', 0 - 1, Jensen S. , Otermin R. (A),
  • 56', Sarriegi A. , Gio Garbelini ,
  • 56', Gramaglia P. , Suarez C. ,
  • 66', Martinez B. , Quiles V. ,
  • 66', Perez I. , Ouzraoui Diki S. ,
  • 70', Boe Risa V. , Bartel J. ,
  • 70', Otermin R. , Menayo C. ,
  • 73', Medina A. 🟨,
  • 74', Verges E. 🟨,
  • 77', Blanco C. , Koko ,
  • 77', Verges E. , Castello S. ,
  • 83', Lauren Leal , Rodriguez L. ,
  • 83', Jensen S. , Chinchilla P. ,
  • 89', Iannuzzi F. 🟨,
  • 89', Dembele F. 🟥,
  • 90+9', Bartel J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Tenerife
17.4%
Draw
30.6%
Atlético Madrid
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.9% 26.4% 42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31% 26.3% 42.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tenerife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tenerife's form might have worsened.
  • Atlético Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Madrid's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (+13.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tenerife, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Madrid, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Tenerife - Atlético Madrid Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    7.13
    (2.94)
    3.7
    (3.43)
    2.11
    (2.13)
    -11.5%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • First leg result: 0-1. Second leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tenerife won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Atlético Madrid could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tenerife won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 13:40. (average 0.7:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tenerife won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:18. (average 1.1:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tenerife - Atlético Madrid were as follows:
    11.03.2026 Atlético Madrid - Tenerife 1:0
    23.11.2025 Tenerife - Atlético Madrid 2:1
    18.04.2025 Atlético Madrid - Tenerife 2:0
    08.12.2024 Tenerife - Atlético Madrid 2:2
    04.05.2024 Atlético Madrid - Tenerife 1:0
    Latest results of Tenerife
    14.03.2026 Tenerife - Levante 4:0
    22.02.2026 Real Madrid - Tenerife 2:0
    14.02.2026 Badalona - Tenerife 0:2
    08.02.2026 Tenerife - Alhama 1:0
    Latest results of Atlético Madrid
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/16-finals
    1Guiniguada Apolinario WDep. La Coruna W1 : 3
    2ByeReal Sociedad W
    3CA Osasuna WBadalona W0 : 3
    4ByeGranada CF W
    5Valencia WEspanyol W1 : 2
    6ByeReal Madrid W
    7Alaves WLevante W4 : 0
    8ByeBarcelona W
    9Extremadura WAlhama W1 : 2
    10ByeAtl. Madrid W
    11CE Europa WDUX Logrono W2 : 1
    12ByeAthletic Bilbao W
    13Huelva WMadrid C. W1 : 7
    14ByeEibar W
    15Real Oviedo WSevilla FC W2 : 3
    16ByeCosta Adeje Tenerife W

    1/8-finals
    1Dep. La Coruna WReal Sociedad W1 : 4
    2Badalona WGranada CF W1 : 0
    3Espanyol WReal Madrid W0 : 4
    4Alaves WBarcelona W1 : 6
    5Alhama WAtl. Madrid W1 : 2
    6CE Europa WAthletic Bilbao W0 : 3
    7Madrid C. WEibar W3 : 2
    8Sevilla FC WCosta Adeje Tenerife W1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Real Sociedad WBadalona W0 : 1
    2Real Madrid WBarcelona W0 : 4
    3Atl. Madrid WAthletic Bilbao W4 : 1
    4Madrid C. WCosta Adeje Tenerife W0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Badalona WBarcelona W1 : 4, 0 : 0
    2Atl. Madrid WCosta Adeje Tenerife W1 : 0, 1 : 0

    Final
    1Barcelona WAtl. Madrid W