Result
2:1
01/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 21
- Referee: Hameter M. (Aut)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 6 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.90 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (250/323) | 83% (350/424) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.90 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.24 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (250/323) | 83% (350/424) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (24/62) | 51% (18/35) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (37/68) | 69% (93/135) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (1/8) | 0% (0/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.19 | 0.97 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.24 | 0.53 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.24 | -1.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Hofleitner A. ⚽, Schriebl T. (A),
- 26', 2 - 0, Harakate R. ⚽,
- 33', Pomer P. 🟨,
- 44', Schriebl T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Mayer J. ↓, Nasrawe J. ↑,
- 53', Hofleitner A. 🟨,
- 65', Bajlicz N. ↓, Wernitznig C. ↑,
- 65', Maart Y. ↓, Rasner M. ↑,
- 71', Lichtenberger C. ↓, Grosse M. ↑,
- 77', van Wyk A. ↓, Sane S. ↑,
- 78', Pomer P. ↓, Boguo J. ↑,
- 81', Harakate R. ↓, Frieser D. ↑,
- 82', Sollbauer M. 🟨,
- 86', Owusu B. 🟨,
- 86', Italiano J. 🟨,
- 88', Wernitznig C. 🟨,
- 89', Italiano J. ↓, Graf L. ↑,
- 89', Stolz F. 🟨,
- 90+2', 2 - 1, Graf L. (Own goal),
- 90+3', Grosse M. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Grazer AK
30% | Draw
28.8% | Ried
41.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grazer AK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Ried has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grazer AK than the current prediction. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ried than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Grazer AK - Ried Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.16 ↑
(3.15) |
3.25 ↑
(2.95) |
2.3 ↑
(2.29) |
6%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Grazer AK - Ried?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Grazer will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Ried will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ried: 35.2% – 92%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Ried (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Grazer (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Ried (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Grazer (votes: 1 - 25%). Ried (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )).
- Grazer is Bundesliga (Relegation Group )
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Ried may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Grazer: Jano Z.
(Injury)
Oberleitner Y.
(Inactive)
Prenqi A.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Ried: Mesic N.
(Knee Injury)
Mutandwa K.
(Yellow Cards)
Rossdorfer F.
(Inactive)
Stoger D.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Grazer: Kreuzriegler M.
(Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grazer won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 1.6:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Grazer won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Grazer AK won against Ried?
Grazer AK has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ried won against Grazer AK?
Ried has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grazer AK - Ried were as follows:
27.09.2025
Ried
-
Grazer AK
0:0
29.03.2024
Ried
-
Grazer AK
0:1
01.09.2023
Grazer AK
-
Ried
1:0
Latest results of Grazer AK
Austrian Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Salzburg ✔ | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 42:25 | 17 | 37 |
| 2 | Sturm Graz ✔ | 21 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 31:26 | 5 | 35 |
| 3 | LASK ✔ | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 29:29 | 0 | 34 |
| 4 | Austria Vienna ✔ | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 32:30 | 2 | 33 |
| 5 | Hartberg | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 32 |
| 6 | SK Rapid | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 25:25 | 0 | 30 |
| 7 | Altach | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 22:21 | 1 | 29 |
| 8 | Tirol | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 29:30 | -1 | 28 |
| 9 | Ried | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 26:28 | -2 | 28 |
| 10 | Wolfsberger AC ✔ | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 30:29 | 1 | 26 |
| 11 | Grazer AK ✔ | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 22:34 | -12 | 20 |
| 12 | BW Linz ✔ | 21 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 19:35 | -16 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )
Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Salzburg is Qualified for Bundesliga (Championship Group )
Sturm Graz is Qualified for Bundesliga (Championship Group )
LASK is Qualified for Bundesliga (Championship Group )
Austria Vienna is Qualified for Bundesliga (Championship Group )
Wolfsberger AC is Bundesliga (Relegation Group )
Grazer AK is Bundesliga (Relegation Group )
BW Linz is Bundesliga (Relegation Group )
