Carlton Blues vs Greater Western Sydney Giants – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

23/05/2025 at 22:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Marvel Stadium (Melbourne).

AFL - Round 11
Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	AFL, Fox Footy
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 2

Match Stats


Goals
12	17
Behinds
10	8
Kicks
201	194
Handballs
158	148
Disposals
359	342
Frees For
26	14
Frees Against
14	26
Clearances Completed
42	38
Marks
77	83
Tackles
53	64
Hitouts
31	34

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Quarter (31 - 32)
03:30, Greene T. (Behind),
04:31, Jones D. (Behind),
06:48, Curnow C. (G),
08:52, Cripps P. (G),
10:39, Curnow C. (Behind),
14:28, Greene T. (G),
17:12, Hollands O. (G),
19:37, Brown C. (G),
21:48, Brown C. (G),
23:26, Fogarty L. (G),
25:52, Riccardi J. (G),
29:29, Curnow C. (G),
32:20, Greene T. (G),
2nd Quarter (11 - 20)
00:25, O'Halloran X. (Behind),
03:07, Hogan J. (G),
05:33, Curnow C. (Behind),
07:33, Cripps P. (Behind),
10:09, White W. (G),
12:35, McKay H. (Behind),
14:35, Hollands O. (Behind),
15:34, Curnow C. (Behind),
20:39, (Behind Rushed),
22:43, Brown C. (G),
26:54, Riccardi J. (G),
3rd Quarter (21 - 25)
02:13, Ward C. (Behind),
03:33, Hogan J. (G),
06:24, Docherty S. (G),
09:16, McGovern M. (Behind),
10:36, White W. (Behind),
15:20, Curnow C. (G),
18:32, Ward C. (G),
23:09, Hogan J. (G),
28:22, Fogarty L. (Behind),
29:55, Motlop J. (G),
31:33, Riccardi J. (G),
4th Quarter (19 - 33)
00:26, Lord C. (G),
03:01, Greene T. (Behind),
04:35, Briggs K. (G),
08:01, (Behind Rushed),
10:42, Cerra A. (Behind),
12:42, Cadman A. (G),
14:49, Cerra A. (G),
15:52, Fogarty L. (G),
17:03, Cadman A. (G),
19:43, Hogan J. (G),
24:11, Greene T. (G),
26:55, Greene T. (Behind),

Chances of winning

Carlton Blues
57.2%

Greater Western Sydney Giants
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlton Blues has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Carlton Blues's performance.

Greater Western Sydney Giants has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Greater Western Sydney Giants might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlton Blues than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carlton Blues that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greater Western Sydney Giants than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Greater Western Sydney Giants could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Carlton Blues - Greater Western Sydney Giants Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.88)		2.15 ↑ (1.94)	7.1% (5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 170.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

What is the prediction for Carlton Blues - Greater Western Sydney Giants?

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. GWS (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 86:86.

Preview Facts

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carlton won 3.
Recent performances by Carlton have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
GWS is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Carlton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Carlton has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Carlton won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1476:1756. (average 77.7:92.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Carlton won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 677:756. (average 84.6:94.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Carlton Blues won against Greater Western Sydney Giants?

Carlton Blues has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Greater Western Sydney Giants won against Carlton Blues?

Greater Western Sydney Giants has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Carlton Blues - Greater Western Sydney Giants were as follows:

28.02.2025 Greater Western Sydney Giants - Carlton Blues 66:124

06.07.2024 Greater Western Sydney Giants - Carlton Blues 116:104

20.04.2024 Carlton Blues - Greater Western Sydney Giants 117:98

27.08.2023 Carlton Blues - Greater Western Sydney Giants 73:105

01.04.2023 Greater Western Sydney Giants - Carlton Blues 64:74

Latest results of Carlton Blues

16.05.2025 Sydney Swans - Carlton Blues 78:62 ✺

09.05.2025 St Kilda Saints - Carlton Blues 62:77 ✺

03.05.2025 Adelaide Crows - Carlton Blues 110:50 ✺

27.04.2025 Carlton Blues - Geelong Cats 94:76 ✺

18.04.2025 North Melbourne Kangaroos - Carlton Blues 71:153 ✺

Latest results of Greater Western Sydney Giants

17.05.2025 Greater Western Sydney Giants - Fremantle Dockers 61:95 ✺

11.05.2025 Geelong Cats - Greater Western Sydney Giants 101:105 ✺

03.05.2025 Sydney Swans - Greater Western Sydney Giants 87:73 ✺

26.04.2025 Greater Western Sydney Giants - Western Bulldogs 81:113 ✺

19.04.2025 Adelaide Crows - Greater Western Sydney Giants 52:34 ✺

AFL Table

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		%%	Pts
1	Sydney Swans	5	4	0	1	581:331	175.53	16
2	Fremantle Dockers	5	4	0	1	444:338	131.36	16
3	Hawthorn Hawks	5	4	0	1	535:442	121.04	16
4	Western Bulldogs	5	4	0	1	502:416	120.67	16
5	Gold Coast Suns	5	3	0	2	541:410	131.95	12
6	Brisbane Lions	5	3	0	2	490:426	115.02	12
7	North Melbourne	5	3	0	2	450:425	105.88	12
8	Geelong Cats	5	3	0	2	460:453	101.55	12
9	Melbourne Demons	5	3	0	2	467:504	92.66	12
10	Port Adelaide Power	5	2	0	3	447:404	110.64	8
11	Adelaide Crows	5	2	0	3	431:405	106.42	8
12	GWS Giants	5	2	0	3	434:469	92.54	8
13	Collingwood Magpies	5	2	0	3	348:377	92.31	8
14	St Kilda Saints	5	2	0	3	412:452	91.15	8
15	West Coast Eagles	5	2	0	3	386:600	64.33	8
16	Carlton Blues	5	1	0	4	393:513	76.61	4
17	Essendon Bombers	5	1	0	4	400:526	76.05	4
18	Richmond Tigers	5	0	0	5	297:527	56.36	0

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