Spain vs Greece, EuroBasket – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball EuroBasket Spain - Greece
04/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Spain
27.2%
Greece
72.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28% 72%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8% 66.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Spain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Greece has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spain than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Spain, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greece than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Greece, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Spain - Greece Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.44
    (3.35)

    1.32
    (1.3)
    4.7%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 154.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)
  • What is the prediction for Spain - Greece?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Spain (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Spain will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 73:81.
  • Preview Facts
    • Greece is Qualified for EuroBasket (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Spain may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Greece is the team to beat.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spain won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 389:393. (average 77.8:78.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Spain - Greece were as follows:
    30.07.2024 Spain - Greece 84:77
    Latest results of Spain
    02.09.2025 Italy - Spain 67:63
    31.08.2025 Spain - Cyprus 91:47
    28.08.2025 Georgia - Spain 83:69
    23.08.2025 Germany - Spain 95:78
    Latest results of Greece
    31.08.2025 Georgia - Greece 53:94
    30.08.2025 Cyprus - Greece 69:96
    28.08.2025 Greece - Italy 75:66
    24.08.2025 Greece - France 77:92
    EuroBasket Table
    Final tournament

    Group A
    PlWLPts
    1Turkey ✔ 440364:2698
    2Serbia ✔ 440344:2738
    3Latvia ✔ 532412:3848
    4Portugal ✔ 523315:3687
    5Estonia514352:3976
    6Czech Republic505338:4345


    Group B
    PlWLPts
    1Lithuania ✔ 541431:3939
    2Germany ✔ 440438:3048
    3Finland ✔ 431365:3157
    4Sweden514403:4186
    5Montenegro514378:4556
    6Great Britain514354:4846


    Group C
    PlWLPts
    1Greece ✔ 431342:2687
    2Italy ✔ 431307:2797
    3Spain422311:2646
    4Georgia422291:3026
    5Bosnia & Herzegovina422317:3256
    6Cyprus404241:3714


    Group D
    PlWLPts
    1France ✔ 431347:3177
    2Israel ✔ 431321:2957
    3Poland ✔ 431331:3177
    4Slovenia ✔ 422363:3566
    5Belgium413293:3345
    6Iceland404289:3254

          Promotion ~ EuroBasket (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Turkey is Qualified for EuroBasket (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Serbia is Qualified for EuroBasket (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Latvia is Qualified for EuroBasket (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Portugal is Qualified for EuroBasket (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Lithuania is Qualified for EuroBasket (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Germany is Qualified for EuroBasket (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Finland is Qualified for EuroBasket (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Greece is Qualified for EuroBasket (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Italy is Qualified for EuroBasket (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    France is Qualified for EuroBasket (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Israel is Qualified for EuroBasket (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Poland is Qualified for EuroBasket (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Slovenia is Qualified for EuroBasket (Play Offs 1/8~finals)