Greenville Triumph vs Naples – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football  USL League One Cup Greenville Triumph - Naples
Result
2:1
26/07/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Cup
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.650.77
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
244
Shots on target
61
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
85% (358/419)76% (257/338)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
2.650.77
xG on target (xGOT)
2.640.47
Total shots
244
Shots on target
61
Shots off target
112
Blocked Shots
71
Shots inside the Box
173
Shots outside the Box
71
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
387
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
50
Free Kicks
1514
Passes
85% (358/419)76% (257/338)
Long passes
59% (32/54)35% (19/54)
Passes in final third
66% (70/106)44% (25/57)
Crosses
57% (8/14)50% (2/4)
Expected assists (xA)
1.610.51
Throw-ins
2111
Fouls
1415
Tackles
92% (11/12)75% (6/8)
Duels won
4940
Clearances
1123
Interceptions
117
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
04
xGOT faced
0.472.64
Goals prevented
-0.530.64

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Pasnik T. , Garrett I. (A),
  • 16', Soto E. 🟨,
  • 28', Soto E. , Corvino P. ,
  • 45+2', Pasnik T. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Ferrin A. 🟨,
  • 45+7', 1 - 1, Castro L. , Robles R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 47', Prpa L. 🟨,
  • 59', Ferrin A. , Henderlong K. ,
  • 59', Ritondale T. , Cisneros J. ,
  • 59', Cerro I. , Heckenberg C. ,
  • 62', Herrera C. (Pen),
  • 64', Heckenberg C. 🟨,
  • 67', 2 - 1, Marsh C. ,
  • 69', Castro L. , Mensah R. ,
  • 69', Robles R. , Zakowski B. ,
  • 69', Fricke B. , Patti A. ,
  • 80', Polak T. , Benton D. ,
  • 84', Torrellas M. , Glasser M. ,
  • 84', Fernandes G. , Evans B. ,
  • 84', Prpa L. , Dengler J. ,
  • 90+3', Marsh C. , Lee E. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Greenville Triumph
55.6%
Draw
22.4%
Naples
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.7% 27.3% 24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1% 26.5% 24.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Greenville Triumph has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Greenville Triumph's performance.
  • Naples has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greenville Triumph than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Greenville Triumph that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naples than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • Greenville Triumph - Naples Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.66
    (1.9)
    4.11
    (3.32)
    4.21
    (3.64)
    8.4%
    (10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Greenville has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Naples is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Naples may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Greenville is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Greenville won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    • Including home match between the teams, Greenville won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Greenville Triumph - Naples were as follows:
    07.06.2025 Greenville Triumph - Naples 1:1
    Latest results of Naples