Ferroviária vs Grêmio Novorizontino – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B Ferroviária - Grêmio Novorizontino
Result
1:2
15/09/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 26
  • Referee: dos Santos F. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.373.24
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1022
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
17
Corner Kicks
68
Passes
78% (313/399)80% (281/353)
Yellow Cards
13
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.373.24
xG on target (xGOT)
1.342.76
Total shots
1022
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
213
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
814
Shots outside the Box
28
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
02
Big Chances
17
Corner Kicks
68
Touches in opposition box
1431
Accurate through passes
03
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
149
Passes
78% (313/399)80% (281/353)
Long passes
27% (11/41)55% (28/51)
Passes in final third
56% (42/75)71% (95/134)
Crosses
19% (5/27)31% (9/29)
Expected assists (xA)
0.312.01
Throw-ins
2925
Fouls
914
Tackles
76% (16/21)55% (6/11)
Duels won
5945
Clearances
2935
Interceptions
119
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
2.761.34
Goals prevented
0.760.34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Fabricio Daniel (Pen),
  • 44', 1 - 1, Bruno Jose , Mayk (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Tarik , Alencar ,
  • 47', 1 - 2, Nathan Fogaca , Bruno Jose (A),
  • 54', Edson Lucas , Ze Mario ,
  • 55', Fabricio Daniel , Ze Hugo ,
  • 56', Bruno Jose , Tavinho ,
  • 63', Fabio Matheus 🟨,
  • 65', Ian Luccas , Vitor Barreto ,
  • 69', Nathan Fogaca , Robson ,
  • 70', Matheus Frizzo , Patrick Brey ,
  • 76', Carlao , Ronaldo ,
  • 79', Dantas 🟥,
  • 80', Luis Oyama 🟨,
  • 81', Romulo , Patrick ,
  • 86', Robson 🟨,
  • 88', Ronaldo 🟨,
  • 90+8', Robson (Pen),

Chances of winning


Ferroviária
36.5%
Draw
31.7%
Grêmio Novorizontino
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.9% 32.4% 32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2% 31.2% 31.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Grêmio Novorizontino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Ferroviária - Grêmio Novorizontino Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.52
    (2.69)
    3.02
    (2.89)
    3.11
    (2.86)
    5%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Ferroviária - Grêmio Novorizontino?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ferroviária will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Novorizontino will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 15 and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferroviária won 0.
    • Recent performances by Ferroviária have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Novorizontino's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Novorizontino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Ferroviária: Albano (Inactive) Denilson (Inactive) Netinho (Inactive) Vitor Mendes (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Novorizontino: Jean Irmer (Yellow Cards) Marlon (Inactive) Renato Palm (Knee Injury) Vitinho (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Ferroviária: Lucas Rodrigues (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Novorizontino: Airton (Inactive)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ferroviária won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.8:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ferroviária won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ferroviária - Grêmio Novorizontino were as follows:
    11.05.2025 Grêmio Novorizontino - Ferroviária 2:2
    Latest results of Ferroviária
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goias27146733:25848
    2Coritiba27138628:171147
    3Criciuma27137734:211346
    4Novorizontino271110630:25543
    5Athletico-PR27126939:36342
    6Chapecoense-SC271251038:281041
    7Cuiaba27118832:30241
    8Remo27912628:24439
    9Atletico GO27911730:28238
    10CRB271141228:24437
    11Avai27910835:30537
    12Vila Nova FC271061126:28-236
    13Operario-PR2799929:26336
    14Athletic Club27951329:35-632
    15Ferroviaria27711930:34-432
    16America MG27861327:33-630
    17Botafogo SP27781222:39-1729
    18Amazonas27691227:39-1227
    19Volta Redonda27691216:28-1227
    20Paysandu PA274101321:32-1122

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