Ferroviária vs Grêmio Novorizontino – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

15/09/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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Serie B Superbet - Round 26
Referee: dos Santos F. (Bra)
Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.37	3.24
Ball Possession
53%	47%
Total shots
10	22
Shots on target
4	6
Big Chances
1	7
Corner Kicks
6	8
Passes
78% (313/399)	80% (281/353)
Yellow Cards
1	3
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37	3.24
xG on target (xGOT)
1.34	2.76
Total shots
10	22
Shots on target
4	6
Shots off target
2	13
Blocked Shots
4	3
Shots inside the Box
8	14
Shots outside the Box
2	8
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
0	2
Big Chances
1	7
Corner Kicks
6	8
Touches in opposition box
14	31
Accurate through passes
0	3
Offsides
0	0
Free Kicks
14	9
Passes
78% (313/399)	80% (281/353)
Long passes
27% (11/41)	55% (28/51)
Passes in final third
56% (42/75)	71% (95/134)
Crosses
19% (5/27)	31% (9/29)
Expected assists (xA)
0.31	2.01
Throw-ins
29	25
Fouls
9	14
Tackles
76% (16/21)	55% (6/11)
Duels won
59	45
Clearances
29	35
Interceptions
11	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	3
xGOT faced
2.76	1.34
Goals prevented
0.76	0.34

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Fabricio Daniel (Pen),
44', 1 - 1, Bruno Jose ⚽, Mayk (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Tarik ↓, Alencar ↑,
47', 1 - 2, Nathan Fogaca ⚽, Bruno Jose (A),
54', Edson Lucas ↓, Ze Mario ↑,
55', Fabricio Daniel ↓, Ze Hugo ↑,
56', Bruno Jose ↓, Tavinho ↑,
63', Fabio Matheus 🟨,
65', Ian Luccas ↓, Vitor Barreto ↑,
69', Nathan Fogaca ↓, Robson ↑,
70', Matheus Frizzo ↓, Patrick Brey ↑,
76', Carlao ↓, Ronaldo ↑,
79', Dantas 🟥,
80', Luis Oyama 🟨,
81', Romulo ↓, Patrick ↑,
86', Robson 🟨,
88', Ronaldo 🟨,
90+8', Robson (Pen),

Chances of winning

Ferroviária
36.5%

Draw
31.7%

Grêmio Novorizontino
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

32.4%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

31.2%

31.6%

Ferroviária - Grêmio Novorizontino Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↓ (2.69)	3.02 ↑ (2.89)	3.11 ↑ (2.86)	5% (6.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Ferroviária - Grêmio Novorizontino?

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ferroviária will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Novorizontino will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 15 and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferroviária won 0.
Recent performances by Ferroviária have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Novorizontino's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Novorizontino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Ferroviária: Albano (Inactive) Denilson (Inactive) Netinho (Inactive) Vitor Mendes (Inactive)
There will not play in Novorizontino: Jean Irmer (Yellow Cards) Marlon (Inactive) Renato Palm (Knee Injury) Vitinho (Inactive)
There are questionable in Ferroviária: Lucas Rodrigues (Inactive)
There are questionable in Novorizontino: Airton (Inactive)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ferroviária won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.8:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Ferroviária won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Ferroviária won against Grêmio Novorizontino?

Ferroviária has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio Novorizontino won against Ferroviária?

Grêmio Novorizontino has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Ferroviária - Grêmio Novorizontino were as follows:

11.05.2025 Grêmio Novorizontino - Ferroviária 2:2

Latest results of Ferroviária

05.09.2025 Coritiba - Ferroviária 4:0 ✺

01.09.2025 Ferroviária - Cuiabá 2:2 ✺

24.08.2025 Ferroviária - Volta Redonda 0:0 ✺

17.08.2025 Atlético Goianiense - Ferroviária 1:3 ✺

08.08.2025 Ferroviária - Amazonas 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Grêmio Novorizontino

08.09.2025 Grêmio Novorizontino - Atlético Goianiense 1:1 ✺

30.08.2025 Athletico Paranaense - Grêmio Novorizontino 2:1 ✺

22.08.2025 Criciúma - Grêmio Novorizontino 2:0 ✺

14.08.2025 Grêmio Novorizontino - Coritiba 1:2 ✺

09.08.2025 Volta Redonda - Grêmio Novorizontino 0:0 ✺

Brazilian Serie B Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coritiba	38	19	11	8	39:23	16	68
2	Athletico-PR	38	19	8	11	53:43	10	65
3	Chapecoense-SC	38	18	8	12	52:35	17	62
4	Remo	38	16	14	8	51:39	12	62
5	Criciuma	38	17	10	11	47:33	14	61
6	Goias	38	17	10	11	42:37	5	61
7	Novorizontino	38	15	15	8	43:32	11	60
8	CRB	38	16	8	14	45:40	5	56
9	Avai	38	14	14	10	50:40	10	56
10	Cuiaba	38	14	12	12	43:44	-1	54
11	Atletico GO	38	13	13	12	39:38	1	52
12	Operario-PR	38	12	12	14	40:44	-4	48
13	Vila Nova FC	38	11	14	13	40:44	-4	47
14	America MG	38	12	10	16	41:44	-3	46
15	Athletic Club	38	12	8	18	43:53	-10	44
16	Botafogo SP	38	10	12	16	32:52	-20	42
17	Ferroviaria	38	8	16	14	43:52	-9	40
18	Amazonas	38	8	12	18	38:55	-17	36
19	Volta Redonda	38	8	12	18	26:43	-17	36
20	Paysandu PA	38	5	13	20	36:52	-16	28

Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )