Result
1:2
15/09/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 26
- Referee: dos Santos F. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.37 | 3.24 |
Ball Possession |
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53% | 47% |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 22 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 6 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 7 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 8 |
Passes |
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78% (313/399) | 80% (281/353) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 3 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.37 | 3.24 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.34 | 2.76 |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 22 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 6 |
Shots off target |
---|
2 | 13 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 14 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
2 | 8 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 2 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 7 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 8 |
Touches in opposition box |
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14 | 31 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 3 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
14 | 9 |
Passes |
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78% (313/399) | 80% (281/353) |
Long passes |
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27% (11/41) | 55% (28/51) |
Passes in final third |
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56% (42/75) | 71% (95/134) |
Crosses |
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19% (5/27) | 31% (9/29) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.31 | 2.01 |
Throw-ins |
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29 | 25 |
Fouls |
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9 | 14 |
Tackles |
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76% (16/21) | 55% (6/11) |
Duels won |
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59 | 45 |
Clearances |
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29 | 35 |
Interceptions |
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11 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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4 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
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2.76 | 1.34 |
Goals prevented |
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0.76 | 0.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 3', 1 - 0, Fabricio Daniel (Pen),
- 44', 1 - 1, Bruno Jose ⚽, Mayk (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Tarik ↓, Alencar ↑,
- 47', 1 - 2, Nathan Fogaca ⚽, Bruno Jose (A),
- 54', Edson Lucas ↓, Ze Mario ↑,
- 55', Fabricio Daniel ↓, Ze Hugo ↑,
- 56', Bruno Jose ↓, Tavinho ↑,
- 63', Fabio Matheus 🟨,
- 65', Ian Luccas ↓, Vitor Barreto ↑,
- 69', Nathan Fogaca ↓, Robson ↑,
- 70', Matheus Frizzo ↓, Patrick Brey ↑,
- 76', Carlao ↓, Ronaldo ↑,
- 79', Dantas 🟥,
- 80', Luis Oyama 🟨,
- 81', Romulo ↓, Patrick ↑,
- 86', Robson 🟨,
- 88', Ronaldo 🟨,
- 90+8', Robson (Pen),
Chances of winning
Ferroviária 36.5% | Draw 31.7% | Grêmio Novorizontino 31.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)Grêmio Novorizontino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Ferroviária - Grêmio Novorizontino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.52 ↓ (2.69) |
3.02 ↑ (2.89) |
3.11 ↑ (2.86) |
5% (6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Ferroviária - Grêmio Novorizontino?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Ferroviária will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Novorizontino will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 15 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferroviária won 0.
- Recent performances by Ferroviária have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Novorizontino's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Novorizontino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Ferroviária: Albano
(Inactive)
Denilson
(Inactive)
Netinho
(Inactive)
Vitor Mendes
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Novorizontino: Jean Irmer
(Yellow Cards)
Marlon
(Inactive)
Renato Palm
(Knee Injury)
Vitinho
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Ferroviária: Lucas Rodrigues
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Novorizontino: Airton
(Inactive)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ferroviária won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.8:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ferroviária won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Ferroviária won against Grêmio Novorizontino?
Ferroviária has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio Novorizontino won against Ferroviária?
Grêmio Novorizontino has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ferroviária - Grêmio Novorizontino were as follows:
11.05.2025
Grêmio Novorizontino
-
Ferroviária
2:2
Latest results of Ferroviária
Latest results of Grêmio Novorizontino
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Goias | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 33:25 | 8 | 48 |
2 | Coritiba | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 28:17 | 11 | 47 |
3 | Criciuma | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 34:21 | 13 | 46 |
4 | Novorizontino | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 30:25 | 5 | 43 |
5 | Athletico-PR | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 39:36 | 3 | 42 |
6 | Chapecoense-SC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 38:28 | 10 | 41 |
7 | Cuiaba | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 32:30 | 2 | 41 |
8 | Remo | 27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 28:24 | 4 | 39 |
9 | Atletico GO | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 30:28 | 2 | 38 |
10 | CRB | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 28:24 | 4 | 37 |
11 | Avai | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 35:30 | 5 | 37 |
12 | Vila Nova FC | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 26:28 | -2 | 36 |
13 | Operario-PR | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 29:26 | 3 | 36 |
14 | Athletic Club | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 29:35 | -6 | 32 |
15 | Ferroviaria | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 30:34 | -4 | 32 |
16 | America MG | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 27:33 | -6 | 30 |
17 | Botafogo SP | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 22:39 | -17 | 29 |
18 | Amazonas | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 27:39 | -12 | 27 |
19 | Volta Redonda | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 16:28 | -12 | 27 |
20 | Paysandu PA | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 21:32 | -11 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )